Thinking out picking the Bills this week

[ghz in pittsburgh]

with $12000 prize money at stake.

So far I had Arizona in week 1 and Baltimore in week 2. Had the Bills upset NE in week 1, I'd have 1/3 of the people to contend with by now.

I just don't see a lot of lopsided matchups in week 3 (save for the Ravens vs the Browns but I used Ravens last week). I did see both Bills and Jets games last week and I believe the Bills have a favorable matchup in terms style, and strength/weakness. It looks to be the best lock I can see of week 3.

Let me get this out of the way: Pennington is on a roll right now. He'll bring the best pass offense the Bills have yet to face in this young season on Sunday. Otherwise the Bills will be a slam-dump pick throughout the country for knockout pools.

But I really like the following match-ups:

The Bills biggest weakness is stopping the run and yet the Jets has trouble in run offense. Kevin Barlow compared to Maroney/Dillon and Brown? Please.
The Jets are soft up front and the Bills like to run. Most of you think this is the week JP finally gets to open up air attack. I actually think this is the week McGahee finally gets to run for 140 yards. Run and stop the otherside from running, you should win most of the games.
Jets' air attack is strong in short to medium range. Pennington's smarts and accuracy should give the Bills fits. But at least scheme wise, the Bills have an advantage because the Tampa 2 scheme floods the short to medium zone with 3 linbackers and 2 corners. Pass defense is arguably the best the Bills can do (other than ST) right now so they are hitting on our strength.
Finally the Jets are the 3rd straight team the Bills offense will face playing 3-4 defense - the 3rd straight Belichick flavored 3-4 no less. It gotta help our offense, particularly the O-Line in terms of actually fighting through the different looks and continue to work on those they had trouble with.I never really get into the business of predicting scores. But I think the Bills should have a big advantage, being at home, to win this game.

[HHURRICANE]

This weeks picks are brutal. I almost never play the Bills but I did last week with Miami giving us 7 points. Is this a suicide pick or do you have to play the 5 1/2 points?!

[mybills]

$12000??? :eek:
Good luck, I hope you win! :up:

[Jimbuktu]

I face the same quandary that you do ... I also took zona and baltimore in weeks 1 and 2 respectively, and now feel that the bills SHOULD be my pick this week. Home opener, on somewhat of a roll, against a team that we definitely SHOULD beat.


But honestly, my first instict was to take Miami at home over the Titans. Those guys are desperate, and there are a lot of proud players on that team that I doubt would allow themselves to fall to 0-3 at home against a god-awful team ... here's to hoping though

what do you guys think?

[Jimbuktu]

If I win, I'm gonna trade in my maxima and use the winnings to get a Nissan Frontier so I can tailgate in style at Bills vs. Miami in December ... oh lord that would be hot

[djjimkelly]

bills are a lock this weekend 82% of the money is on jets that exactly why bills win and cover


http://www.sportsbook.com/sportsbook/betting-trends.php

[ScottLawrence]

I am also in a knockout pool, It really is a tough week to pick.

Luckly for me, I still have the Ravens to pick, and am leaning towards picking them @ Cleveland.

The first two weeks I went San Diego, and Cincinnati.

Another team who I really don't see losing is Carolina, there too good to go 0-3, IMO, and I just can't see them losing to what looks like a pretty bad Tampa Bay team.

I might consider going with them, if I were you.

[Forward_Lateral]

I wouldn't risk a possible 12 G's on the Bills. I am in a pool where $220 is the prize, and I'm not taking them.

[ghz in pittsburgh]

No points. Just pick a winner.

Yes it is $12000. A lot of people in this pool pitching in $100 a piece. Some buy more, even 4 chances. Last year 4 guys shared the pot of $10000 at the end. It just went up $2000 this year.

[HHURRICANE]

No points. Just pick a winner.

Yes it is $12000. A lot of people in this pool pitching in $100 a piece. Some buy more, even 4 chances. Last year 4 guys shared the pot of $10000 at the end. It just went up $2000 this year.

I'm in a good size one as well. I went Philly, Indy. Miami is a slam dunk. They will not lose to arguably the worst team in football. They won't go 0-3. I don't think a Miami team has ever gone 0-3.

[Jimbuktu]

i would watch out for that Baltimore Cleveland game ... that's a blood feud with the cleveland fans involved after modell and what not. Cleveland isn't pitiful either, and the ravens are flying a bit TOO high. but that's definitely the most obvious choice on he board

[RedEyE]

Cincy is a much better team then Pittsburgh and as long as carson palmer remains healthy I predict they beat the Steelers soundly.

[ghz in pittsburgh]

I never picked the Bills before. I knew heart and money are often at different ends.

Miami is an attractive option. But I never watched the Titans this year and I just don't have any idea what they would do. Is Vince Young going to play or are they starting Collins? Just too much uncertainty. Depending on how Jets are holding up, I may pick Miami when the Jets go down there in December, particularly if they are still in contention (I wish I get that chance which means I'm two weeks away from $12000).

I guess I'm not comfortable picking any team on a losing streak. Had the Bills lost last week, doesn't matter by a point or a bad call, I'd not even consider pick them this week.

As soon as I knew the Bills would win and the Ravens were beating Raiders on Sunday, I made a point to watch the Jets/Pats game because I really want to see how the Jets are going to match up to the Bills. There is just no obvious slam dunk this week in my view so I have to scout a bit myself. Anything can happen but I'm feeling better about the Bills/Jets game than any other games.

HHurricane, you are pretty brave picking the Bills last week. I'd never do that.

[DBrown77]

Mypick would be Washington over Houston @ Houston. The foreskins cannot be as bad as they looked the first couple weeks and Houston looks like they did last year. Then again I went out in the first week of my eliminator picking Tenessee over the Jets