How the Bills can make the playoffs

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  • Scumbag College
    Registered User
    • Oct 2002
    • 4949
    #1

    How the Bills can make the playoffs

    Considering that in all likelihood every team in first place in their respective divisions will win that division, there are eight teams still mathematically alive for two wild card spots. Of course, the Bills will have to win out, but using the tiebreaker info used here:

    http://football.about.com/cs/football101/a/nfl_tiebreakers.htm


    the Bills will need all but one of the following scenarios to happen in order to make the playoffs. (This is not counting if there is a three way tie, which I would try to figure out but my head might explode.)

    NYJ- If the Jets lose to Miami on Christmas and end up at 9-7, the Bills will win the tiebreaker due to the fourth tiebreaker within division opponents, conference record. The Jets will have the same record both within the division and between common opponents if they lose to Miami.

    Pitt- Due to a poor conference record (4-7) Bills will win a tiebreaker even if Pitt finishes 9-7.

    Tenn- if the Bills beat them next week, the best they can do is 8-8.

    KC- Also has a poor conference record (3-6) and if they lose only one more game and the Bills win out, Buffalo wins that tiebreaker.

    Denver- will win a tiebreaker between Buf and themselves due to a strong conference record (7-4) They're beating ARI right now, but have Cincy @ home next week and SF @home the week after that. They have a one game lead over the Bills right now.

    Jax- The Bills win against them a couple weeks ago means they win any tie breaker if they finish with the same record. They have NE next week and then are at KC and are only a game up on the Bills right now.

    Cincy- currently have a one game lead on the Bills, but have the toughest schedule (@Indy Monday, vs. @Denver, vs. Pitt.) If they lose to the Colts tomorrow, that will mean that The Bills and Denver will have to move into the fourth tiebreaker between non division opponents, strength of victory. Just eyeballing this, I think Cincy would have the advantage.

    I hope I figured all this stuff, but here's the biggest things the Bills will need (besides winning out.)

    1. The Jets to lose next week @ Miami.
    2. KC and Jax to lose one of their remaining games.
    3. To have either Cincy and/or Denver fall apart.
    Remember Kevin Everett in your thoughts.

    Vote Nader in 2008!

    http://www.votenader.org/
    Tags: None
    • 👍 1
  • Kerr
    Hall of Fame Zoner
    • Feb 2005
    • 6656
    #2
    Re: How the Bills can make the playoffs

    Sounds possible.

    The only thing I think people will have a tough time doing is rooting for the fins.

    Comment

    • MikeInRoch
      Registered User
      • Sep 2003
      • 10446
      #3
      Re: How the Bills can make the playoffs

      people will have a tough time doing is rooting for the fins.
      It will require a LOT of alcohol...
      "'Clean up your room.', 'Stand up straight.', 'Pick up your feet.', 'Take it like a man.', 'Be nice to your sister.', 'Don't mix beer and wine, ever.'. Oh yeah, 'Don't drive on the railroad track.'"

      "Eh, Phil. That's one I happen to agree with."

      Comment

      • Billzz
        Registered User
        • Sep 2003
        • 1131
        #4
        Re: How the Bills can make the playoffs

        Hate the phish, but if it means our Bills going the the playoffs, then so be it.

        Comment

        • MikeInRoch
          Registered User
          • Sep 2003
          • 10446
          #5
          Re: How the Bills can make the playoffs

          Of course, I can look at it this way...

          Everyone additional win for the Dolphins = a worse draft position for them.
          "'Clean up your room.', 'Stand up straight.', 'Pick up your feet.', 'Take it like a man.', 'Be nice to your sister.', 'Don't mix beer and wine, ever.'. Oh yeah, 'Don't drive on the railroad track.'"

          "Eh, Phil. That's one I happen to agree with."

          Comment

          • BlackMetalNinja
            I'm not Jewish, I'm just in it for the hats.
            • May 2005
            • 31525
            #6
            Re: How the Bills can make the playoffs

            So basically we need the Phins to beat the Jets, KC and Jacksonville to each lose once and either Cinncy or Denver to lose twice still right?

            Comment

            • Devin
              The Octagon
              • Apr 2003
              • 23878
              #7
              Re: How the Bills can make the playoffs

              Fins over the Jets - Knocks out the Jets
              NE over the Jags - Knocks out the Jags
              San Diego over KC - Knocks out KC (I think we have the tie breaker anyway)
              Denver or Cincy lose twice

              Basically if Denver wins tonight, we need to pull for Indy on monday night and Denver next week.
              http://gridironjunkies.net/forums/index.php

              Comment

              • Scumbag College
                Registered User
                • Oct 2002
                • 4949
                #8
                Re: How the Bills can make the playoffs

                Originally posted by BlackMetalNinja
                So basically we need the Phins to beat the Jets, KC and Jacksonville to each lose once and either Cinncy or Denver to lose twice still right?
                I think so except for Cincy...

                as far as Cincy, if there is a tiebreaker it's going to come down to "Strength of Victory," which is the winning percentage of teams that you've beaten. I really think the Bills would lose this though. So, I think the best shot here is to have Cincy lose out, which is very possible looking at their schedule.

                Now, there might be a three way tiebreaker to look at. However, there are so many permutations and variables regarding this, it would take all week to figure out all the different scenarios.. If the Bills beat Tenn next week, probably nothing could be done about this until after the Jets-Fins game on Christmas night.
                Remember Kevin Everett in your thoughts.

                Vote Nader in 2008!

                http://www.votenader.org/

                Comment

                • Elminster
                  #1 Kelsay Fan
                  • Oct 2006
                  • 928
                  #9
                  Re: How the Bills can make the playoffs

                  Looks like the Donkeys are getting in. Now we need to the Bengals to bungle...
                  Good riddance Fairchild. Of course, the knowledge of your departure will only make TE more hateable than the typical Bills QB. Good luck, hope we don't mess you up like JP.

                  Comment

                  • YardRat
                    Well, lookie here...
                    • Dec 2004
                    • 86146
                    #10
                    Re: How the Bills can make the playoffs

                    Just beat Tennessee next week, and take it from there.
                    YardRat Wall of Fame
                    #56 DARRYL TALLEY                     #29 DERRICK BURROUGHS#22 FRED JACKSON #95 KYLE WILLIAMS
                    • 👍 1

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