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From his Bills Blog:
FINAL NOTE: Initially when I put this together I didn't think the Bills could control their own destiny in Week 17, so I figured that Cincinnati beating Denver would be best to keep both Wild Card spots open until the final week, but after looking at it more it appears that Denver beating Cincinnati is better for Buffalo even though you're pretty much giving Denver one of the Wild Card spots.
Here's why. If the Jets, Bengals and Jaguars all lose and Buffalo beats Tennessee, all four teams are even at 8-7. Buffalo would have the tiebreaker on all of those teams (Jets - conf. record), (Bengals - strong chance on strength of victory), (Jaguars - head-to-head). They also have the edge on Kansas City (conference record) who can finish no better than 9-7.
Buffalo could control their own destiny for the final Wild Card spot!!! Unbelievable!
WORST SCENARIO: The worst case scenario this weekend is if the Jets and Broncos both win. If that happens we can't catch Denver or Jets even if all three teams finish 9-7. Bills would lose to Jets on division record tiebreaker and to Denver on common opponents tiebreaker.
Here's why. If the Jets, Bengals and Jaguars all lose and Buffalo beats Tennessee, all four teams are even at 8-7. Buffalo would have the tiebreaker on all of those teams (Jets - conf. record), (Bengals - strong chance on strength of victory), (Jaguars - head-to-head). They also have the edge on Kansas City (conference record) who can finish no better than 9-7.
Buffalo could control their own destiny for the final Wild Card spot!!! Unbelievable!
WORST SCENARIO: The worst case scenario this weekend is if the Jets and Broncos both win. If that happens we can't catch Denver or Jets even if all three teams finish 9-7. Bills would lose to Jets on division record tiebreaker and to Denver on common opponents tiebreaker.
Devin
>>>> everybody
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