The Bills Draft Position

[Ingtar33]

Alright, well today, scribbling on a pad, I came up with the bills likely draft positions, so we will be able to discuss this, a little better.

There are two scenarios at play, basically one if the Bills lose, one if they win next week.

The tiebreaker in the NFL Draft for teams tied for draft position is strength of schedule.

Interestingly, the Buffalo Bills have one of the hardest strength of schedules in the entire league, and among the teams they could potentially tie in record, they have (currently) and will have (after week17) the hardest strength of schedule, regardless of the results (they had That hard of a schedule)

Thankfully this greatly simplifies the math.

If the Bills lose against Baltimore, they will draft anywhere from 10-16

If the Bills win against Baltimore, they will draft anywhere from 17-21

If the season ended today, they would draft 17th.

For the Bills to draft 10th, they will need to lose, while all of the 6 win teams to lose, and all the 7 win teams to win (which is possible, but extremely unlikely)

For the Bills to draft 22nd, they will need all of the 8 win teams to lose, while they win against Balt (this is the worst case scenario).

**updated due to some confusion over nfl tiebreaker rules: thanks yardrat

[THE END OF ALL DAYS]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

some serious mental gymnastics must have been required to figure this out :) good job!

[SABURZFAN]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

i'll worry about it on Monday.

[BuffaloBillsStampede]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

Thanks a lot I was wondering about this earlier today!

[YardRat]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

http://www.draftking.com/nfl/2007/mockdraft.shtml

17. Buffalo Bills - Levi Brown, OT, Penn St.

http://www.nfldraftcountdown.com/sub/mockdraft.html

14. Buffalo Bills - JaMarcus Russell, QB, LSU

http://www.footballsfuture.com/2007/nflmockdraft.html

15. Buffalo - Justin Blalock, OL, Texas
The Bills hope Blalock doesn’t go down the path Mike Williams did after leaving Texas.

[Marvelous]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

I still wanna get a win to carry me the whole offseason. 18-22 is fine by me :)

[SABURZFAN]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

14. Buffalo Bills - JaMarcus Russell, QB, LSU

[BILLSROCK1212]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

when this mock came out we were 50-50 on JP it is pretty old

[ublinkwescore]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

who the hell makes mock drafts before the midway point in the season???

I'd say even now is a little premature.

Start on it as soon as the regular season is over at the earliest.

[Coach Sal]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

Awesome job.

But just an FYI. If the season ended today, the Bills would draft 17th, not 16th.

[Mr. Cynical]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

I don't care what people say about this but I completely hope the Bills play a great game but lose on Sunday. The probability of getting a true impact player at 10 is LIGHT YEARS ahead of 22nd, and that will do ALOT more good for the team than winning the last game of a lost season.

[Dozerdog]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

...and I'm sure you will ***** and moan about Jauron costing us the game...blah..blah..blah..

[clumping platelets]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

FB Brian Leonard, Rutgers

[Lexwhat]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

FB Brian Leonard, Rutgers

In the 1st round?

[YardRat]

Re: The Bills Draft Position

It's impossible for the Bills to draft any lower than 20, as far as I know. Play-off teams are ranked at the end of the round regardless of record, in order of elimination, and the rest are ranked according to regular season record. Considering there are twelve playoff teams, Buffalo can't fall into the 21st position or beyond.