The chase for the president's trophy mid-season report

[Mitchy moo]

Sabres have 3 games in hand on the Ducks (who have some major injuries now) and a 6 point lead on the wings.

National Hockey League
	GP	W	L	OTL	PTS	GF	GA	PP%	PK%	HOME	AWAY	L10
Anaheim	42	28	8	6	62	144	102	22.3	84.9	15-2-4	13-6-2	5-5-0
Buffalo	39	29	7	3	61	155	109	16.9	83.9	14-4-2	15-3-1	7-2-1
Detroit	39	25	9	5	55	117	85	15.2	83.2	14-3-3	11-6-2	8-1-1
Nashville	40	26	11	3	55	133	104	18.4	85.0	12-3-3	14-8-0	7-3-0
Atlanta	42	24	12	6	54	131	126	17.7	79.6	11-5-3	13-7-3	6-3-1
San Jose	40	26	14	0	52	116	94	22.4	84.6	13-7-0	13-7-0	5-5-0
Montreal	39	23	11	5	51	123	106	22.7	87.9	13-4-3	10-7-2	7-3-0
Dallas	40	25	15	0	50	108	91	17.4	84.6	13-6-0	12-9-0	5-5-0
New Jersey	39	22	13	4	48	103	95	19.5	88.1	13-3-3	9-10-1	5-3-2
Carolina	42	21	17	4	46	126	129	16.3	83.7	11-6-1	10-11-3	6-4-0

CREDit GOES TO ESPN

[SkateZilla]

Re: The chase for the president's trophy mid-season report

if your gonna copy and paste from espn.com, give them credit.. i dont want errant webmasters coming down on the site for stupid lil things

[Mitchy moo]

Re: The chase for the president's trophy mid-season report

1. 6 out of 20 is 30%
2. That's still really good.

The Presidents' Trophy was introduced in 1986. In the past 20 years, 8 Presidents' Trophy Winners have made it to the Cup Finals and 6 have won.

2006 - Carolina (4) d. Edmonton (14)
2004 - Tampa Bay (2) d. Calgary (12)
2003 - New Jersey (4) d. Anaheim (12)
2002 * Detroit(1) d. Carolina (11)
2001 * Colorado(1) d. New Jersey (3)
2000 - New Jersey(4) d. Dallas(6)
1999 * Dallas(1) d. Buffalo (9)
1998 - Detroit (3) d. Washington (8)
1997 - Detroit (5) d. Philadelphia (4)
1996 - Colorado (2) d. Florida (7)
1995 - New Jersey (9) d. Detroit (1)
1994 * New York(1) d. Vancouver (14)
1993 - Montreal (5) d. Los Angeles (11)
1992 - Pittsburgh (6) d. Chicago (7)
1991 - Pittsburgh (7) d. Minnesota (15)
1990 - Edmonton (5) d. Boston (1)
1989 * Calgary (1) d. Montreal (2)
1988 - Edmonton (3) d. Boston (4)
1987 * Edmonton (1) d. Philadelphia (2)
1986 - Montreal (7) d. Calgary (6)

Note: I ordered teams by number of points with tie-breakers going to the team with the most wins. This is different from Playoff seeding, because the top teams from each division get ranked first. (Ex. Detroit was 3rd seed in West in 1998, but I count them as second (3rd overall behind Dallas and NJ). They had more points then Colorado, but Colorado won the Pacific division and thus got 2nd seed.)

So, probability of making it to the Stanley Cup based on your regular season record:

Seed	Wins	Appearances	Win Percentage	Appearance Percentage
1	6	8	30%	40%
2	2	4	10%	20%
3	2	3	10%	15%
4	3	5	15%	25%
5	3	3	15%	15%
6	1	3	5%	15%
7	2	4	10%	20%
8	0	1	0%	5%
9	1	2	5%	10%
10	0	0	0%	0%
11	0	2	0%	10%
12	0	2	0%	10%
13	0	0	0%	0%
14	0	2	0%	10%
15	0	1	0%	5%
16	0	0	0%	0%

All of this to say, "The winner of the Presidents' Trophy usually does fairly well compared to everyone else."

(thx to Baumann)