"Bob in Seattle: I am ALREADY tired of sports-writers saying that the "home town team's schedule for 2007 is really, really tough because the combined record of the teams is XXX-YYY." AAGGHHHH! I hope you'll be publishing 2007 Strength of Schedule for each team based on the Final 2006 DVOA so the informed NFL fan can accurately evaluate schedules for next season.
Aaron Schatz: Your wish is my command. Of course, DVOA this season doesn't tell you which teams will be good or bad next season. We can get a good idea of what's up by looking at the average 2006 DVOA of 2007 opponents. I'll use weighted DVOA so we account for the fact that teams like Tennessee are likely to be better next year.
When it comes to regular schedule, it isn't even close: The four hardest schedules in the league belong to the four teams in the AFC East.
Here's the whole list:
1. BUF 6.7%
2. NYJ 6.4%
3. NE 5.7%
4. MIA 3.7%
5. IND 3.6%
...
Sweet.
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