Interesting stuff to duscuss

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  • Yasgur's Farm
    Moderator
    • Feb 2005
    • 7091

    Interesting stuff to duscuss

    Originally posted by BillsChick'sPatsGuy@bb.com
    I decided to calculate what each QB did per drive to see if there can be a better comparison. Part of this is because some people on the board only point to the won loss percentage of the Bills when the QBs were starting. This is a very flawed measure because in the New England start JP was injured the first drive and in the Jets start, JP scored a majority of the points. It is also flawed because it considers the accomplishments of special teams and defense as accomplishments of either QB. While Offense and Defense may be inter-related to a degree, JP doesn't go up to Roscoe and say "Run this one back kiddo" and then Roscoe gets all fired up and runs it back. Neither does Trent go to George Wilson and say, "Get a couple of INTs for the Trentski," and then Wilson obeys. Rationally, many things that the defense and special teams accomplish is independent of what the QB is doing (this is true of offense as well, but at least Trent and JP had mostly the same offensive personnel each game and were integral to offenses functioning).

    Some useful information is here. Two big gaps are the quality of Buffalo's defense and special teams play (mostly for field position) and the quality of defenses the two played (it looks to be equal aggregately, but I've only looked at PPG of defenses faced). I will probably write some stuff up on that later but I have a final to write and then moving preparations.

    The stats were all accumulated from nfl.com. The drives, plays per drive, pass plays per drive, run plays per drive, scrambling first down, and any stats that are gathered from the first New England game or the second Jets game are counted from the play by play section of nfl.com. All other stats are based off of either the box scores of the games on nfl.com or the player stat pages on nfl.com.

    "Drives" counts all drives the offense had a play so it doesn't include kickoff or punt returns for TDs but EVERYTHING else.

    Plays count all plays from scrimmage excluding plays nullified by penalty. This is why if you add pass plays and run plays, it will not equal total plays because of field goals and punts.

    A called run play for a QB (a sneak) is considered a run play while a scramble is considered a pass play. nfl.com distinguishes between the two in their play by play so the judgment call on whether a play was a designed QB run play or a scramble via decision by the QB is theirs. I did this because it gives more insight into the decision making of the coaches and QBs, whether or not they intended to call a run play or a pass play and how likely the QB is to scramble. The running yards and 1st downs from running for each QB does not follow this distinction.

    All sacks, QB scrambles, and pass attempts (including the Marshawn option) are pass plays. All runs (including fake punts) and QB sneaks are run plays. Punts and Field Goals are plays but neither run nor pass.

    Offensive points scored includes all points from TDs by the offense and FGs. Returns for TDs (INT, FUM, kickoff returns, punt returns) and safeties are not included.

    All rate stats will be to 2 decimal places.

    If you think I counted something wrong then point it out and I will eventually post my per game calculations for the numbers. I am pretty busy and I used this as a pretty extensive procrastination tool so I need to get stuff done so it may take me a while.

    Have fun with this.

    Total number of Drives:
    Trent Edwards - 111
    JP Losman - 66

    Plays per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 632/111 - 5.69
    JP Losman - 388/66 - 5.88

    Pass Plays per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 284/111 - 2.56
    JP Losman - 197/66 - 2.98

    Run Plays per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 267/111 - 2.41
    JP Losman - 153/66 - 2.32

    Time of Possession per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 17045 sec/111 - 2:33
    JP Losman - 10645 sec/66 - 2:41

    Passing First Downs per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 81/111 - .73
    JP Losman
    - 59/66 - .89

    Running First Downs per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 53/111 - .48
    JP Losman - 36/66 - .55

    First Down per Drive (excluding Penalty):
    Trent Edwards - 134/111 - 1.21
    JP Losman - 95/66 - 1.44

    Sacks per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 12/111 - .11
    JP Losman - 14/66 - .21

    Sack Yardage per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 105/111 - (.95)
    JP Losman - 103/66 - (1.56)

    Passing Yardage per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 1630/111 - 14.68
    JP Losman - 1204/66 - 18.24

    Rushing Yardage per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 1115/111 - 10.05
    JP Losman - 793/66 - 12.02

    QB Rushing Yardage per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 49/111 - .44
    JP Losman - 110/66 - 1.67

    QB Rushing 1st Down per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 4/111 - .04
    JP Losman - 8/66 - .12

    QB Fumbles per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 4/111 - .04
    JP Losman - 5/66 - .08

    QB INT per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 8/111 - .07
    JP Losman - 6/66 - .09

    QB Turnover per Drive (includes lost fumbles):
    Trent Edwards - 8/111 - .07
    JP Losman - 8/66 - .12

    Passing TDs per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 7/111 - .06
    JP Losman - 4/66 - .06

    Rushing TDs per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 4/111 - .04
    JP Losman - 4/66 - .06

    Offensive Points per Drive:
    Trent Edwards - 125/111 - 1.13
    JP Losman - 88/66 - 1.33
    17 stat categories
    JP wins 11 categories
    Trent wins 5 categories
    1 category tied

    Sounds about right... It seems even though JP has more frequent "negg plays", he still outshines Trent in just about every positive category.
  • feelthepain
    All-Pro Zoner
    • Mar 2005
    • 4663

    #2
    Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

    JP is a veteran Edwards was a rookie.

    Comment

    • hydro
      Registered User
      • Oct 2005
      • 20160

      #3
      Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

      Originally posted by feelthepain
      JP is a veteran Edwards was a rookie.
      /thread
      BERNIAC!

      Comment

      • yordad
        Registered User
        • Dec 2007
        • 11867

        #4
        Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

        Originally posted by hydrosmak
        /thread
        How does that show he was the better QB again? Did you read those figures? The figures say it all. They are cut and dry. JPs negative plays were outweight by his positive ones when compared to Trent. It is clear.
        "Heck, now I am glad his overrated arce made the pro bowl, else we would have only got a 3rd." ~ yordad

        "I've just been hit with a piece of sky. " ~ yordad

        "Forgive my opinion, but...." ~ yordad

        "Warning: I might be hammered." ~ yordad

        "I don't care if the word is "your" or "you're", so buzz off. Its (it's) a frickin(') message board." ~ yordad

        Comment

        • Philagape
          WIN NOW
          • Jul 2002
          • 19432

          #5
          Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

          Originally posted by yordad
          The figures say it all.
          And that says it all about the pro-JP mentality.
          "It is better to be divided by truth than to be united by error." -- Martin Luther

          "Those who appease the crocodile will simply be eaten last." -- Winston Churchill

          2003 BZ Pick Em Champion
          2004 BZ Big Money League Champion

          Comment

          • EDS
            Registered User
            • Jan 2003
            • 5216

            #6
            Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

            Originally posted by yordad
            How does that show he was the better QB again? Did you read those figures? The figures say it all. They are cut and dry. JPs negative plays were outweight by his positive ones when compared to Trent. It is clear.
            JP has great physical tools and all, but his head is just not there. People who know him can confirm this.

            Comment

            • yordad
              Registered User
              • Dec 2007
              • 11867

              #7
              Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

              Originally posted by Philagape
              And that says it all about the pro-JP mentality.
              Well call it what you want. I call it the pro-Objective, pro-Bills mentality. The one who produces MORE should play MORE. What a crazy idea, huh.
              "Heck, now I am glad his overrated arce made the pro bowl, else we would have only got a 3rd." ~ yordad

              "I've just been hit with a piece of sky. " ~ yordad

              "Forgive my opinion, but...." ~ yordad

              "Warning: I might be hammered." ~ yordad

              "I don't care if the word is "your" or "you're", so buzz off. Its (it's) a frickin(') message board." ~ yordad

              Comment

              • yordad
                Registered User
                • Dec 2007
                • 11867

                #8
                Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

                Originally posted by EDS
                JP has great physical tools and all, but his head is just not there. People who know him can confirm this.
                Then why did he PRODUCE more? And, isn't PRODUCTION what matters? Dan Marino was dumber then a box of rocks, but he produced.

                Not that I buy that arguement anyways.
                "Heck, now I am glad his overrated arce made the pro bowl, else we would have only got a 3rd." ~ yordad

                "I've just been hit with a piece of sky. " ~ yordad

                "Forgive my opinion, but...." ~ yordad

                "Warning: I might be hammered." ~ yordad

                "I don't care if the word is "your" or "you're", so buzz off. Its (it's) a frickin(') message board." ~ yordad

                Comment

                • Philagape
                  WIN NOW
                  • Jul 2002
                  • 19432

                  #9
                  Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

                  Originally posted by yordad
                  Well call it what you want. I call it the pro-Objective, pro-Bills mentality. The one who produces MORE should play MORE. What a crazy idea, huh.
                  Not crazy, just simple-minded.

                  Originally posted by yordad
                  Dan Marino was dumber then a box of rocks
                  Now THAT's crazy.
                  "It is better to be divided by truth than to be united by error." -- Martin Luther

                  "Those who appease the crocodile will simply be eaten last." -- Winston Churchill

                  2003 BZ Pick Em Champion
                  2004 BZ Big Money League Champion

                  Comment

                  • Philagape
                    WIN NOW
                    • Jul 2002
                    • 19432

                    #10
                    Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

                    Originally posted by yordad
                    Then why did he PRODUCE more?
                    Because he didn't have to play in a blizzard and a monsoon, and he wasn't a rookie.
                    "It is better to be divided by truth than to be united by error." -- Martin Luther

                    "Those who appease the crocodile will simply be eaten last." -- Winston Churchill

                    2003 BZ Pick Em Champion
                    2004 BZ Big Money League Champion

                    Comment

                    • EDS
                      Registered User
                      • Jan 2003
                      • 5216

                      #11
                      Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

                      Originally posted by yordad
                      Then why did he PRODUCE more? And, isn't PRODUCTION what matters? Dan Marino was dumber then a box of rocks, but he produced.

                      Not that I buy that arguement anyways.
                      I wish the guy the best but the light just hasn't gone on for him and I don't think it ever will.

                      I think the real question is why do so many Bills fans want Losman, despite his struggles, to get another chance at the expense of Edwards? Edwards may end up failing also but the Bills need to find out one way or the other and give him the same chances Losman had.

                      Comment

                      • Yasgur's Farm
                        Moderator
                        • Feb 2005
                        • 7091

                        #12
                        Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

                        Originally posted by Philagape
                        Because he didn't have to play in a blizzard and a monsoon, and he wasn't a rookie.
                        Someone should keep track of the excuses in this thread... I don't count any for JP to this point...

                        Comment

                        • yordad
                          Registered User
                          • Dec 2007
                          • 11867

                          #13
                          Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

                          Originally posted by Philagape
                          Because he didn't have to play in a blizzard and a monsoon, and he wasn't a rookie.
                          So.... he did produce more? I guess we should take this a few words at a time so you can't say I am twisting yours.
                          "Heck, now I am glad his overrated arce made the pro bowl, else we would have only got a 3rd." ~ yordad

                          "I've just been hit with a piece of sky. " ~ yordad

                          "Forgive my opinion, but...." ~ yordad

                          "Warning: I might be hammered." ~ yordad

                          "I don't care if the word is "your" or "you're", so buzz off. Its (it's) a frickin(') message board." ~ yordad

                          Comment

                          • yordad
                            Registered User
                            • Dec 2007
                            • 11867

                            #14
                            Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

                            Originally posted by EDS
                            I wish the guy the best but the light just hasn't gone on for him and I don't think it ever will.

                            I think the real question is why do so many Bills fans want Losman, despite his struggles, to get another chance at the expense of Edwards? Edwards may end up failing also but the Bills need to find out one way or the other and give him the same chances Losman had.
                            Why do I want JP given another chance? Easy question. Because he produced more. If you think TE will be better in the future.... first, I disagree; second, if he does get better then JP start him then and not before.
                            "Heck, now I am glad his overrated arce made the pro bowl, else we would have only got a 3rd." ~ yordad

                            "I've just been hit with a piece of sky. " ~ yordad

                            "Forgive my opinion, but...." ~ yordad

                            "Warning: I might be hammered." ~ yordad

                            "I don't care if the word is "your" or "you're", so buzz off. Its (it's) a frickin(') message board." ~ yordad

                            Comment

                            • Dr. Lecter
                              Zero for Zero!
                              • Mar 2003
                              • 67930

                              #15
                              Re: Interesting stuff to duscuss

                              Originally posted by Philagape

                              Now THAT's crazy.
                              Actually it is not. His wonderlic was something like a 12.
                              Originally posted by mysticsoto
                              Lecter is right in everything he said.

                              Comment

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