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View Full Version : Breaking down the game using DVOA, DYAR, and other statistics you don't understand



Stewie
09-03-2008, 08:50 PM
This guy is writing a blog about the seahawks.. he will use DVOA, DYAR and other footballoutsiders.com statistics to break down all the seahawks games this year. This weeks post is a good read if you like number crunching.

http://blog.seattletimes.nwsource.com/seahawks/2008/09/03/inside_the_numb.html

his semi-mathematically-based conclusions:

"The biggest challenge for the Bills against the Seahawks will be in controlling what could be a lethal pass rush without left tackle Jason Peters, one of the NFL's best. Peters is holding out for a better deal, and if the Kerney/Jackson/Tapp combo has anything to say about it, he could get his wish after this game."

"Seattle's primary concern should be Marshawn Lynch and the Buffalo running game. Despite the loss of Peters, a left side line of Walker and guard Derrick Dockery can open holes in any defense, and Seattle's run defense looked troublesome in the preseason."

"Buffalo has long had one of the best total special teams units in the NFL, and it's no different this year. With a bevy of return men and the punter/kicker combo of Brian Moorman and Rian Lindell, the Bills will win games doing the little things right, and special teams is their secret weapon. This could be the difference for the Seahawks, playing as they are 3,000 miles from home, without half their receivers, and with a new offensive backfield in place."

"Seattle's best bet is to "beat the box" -- if they can run for production despite defenses focusing away from their receivers until the full group is back, they'll overcome the short-term roster deficits. The challenge starts now, and if the Seahawks win this game, that's how they'll have to do it. "

Goobylal
09-03-2008, 09:14 PM
The Bills will beat them by running the ball, thereby negating the concerns over Walker and Chambers starting against their excellent ends, with ST's, and by stacking the box because their WR corps is severely depleted.

Mitchy moo
09-03-2008, 09:19 PM
The right play calling by Turk will force seattle to make changes in their strategy against us, then we will change it up again and again. We control how we can win, not Seattle. Seattle isn't going to score much, hass is going to be one hurting cookie. Expect a few late Seattle turnovers to turn the game into a joke, Bills crush them going away.