ok.. hear me out..
the boards will be lit up for weeks to come with the raging debate about draft picks and Henry's feelings and McGahee's recovery and contract... but i just wanted you guys to look at this for a second.
The Bills FO believes that WM is going to be 100% again.. seem that the thought is by the end of this year. So he will either be on PUP or IR.. regardless... this is Henry's year to really shine. All the pieces are in place for henry to do extremely well and he should surpass last years numbers.. there is no question in my mind. He will catch more with no Centers around, and we wont be passing as much, therefore his carries should go up. i am going to predict henry getting at least the 1500 yards rushing he got last year. and at least 500 yards receiving that he would have got if he was not sharing with centers last year.
take a look at henry over the first 3 years then with his projected numbers for this year (these projection could very well end up much higher)
Henry -
2001 - 213 carries for 729 yards and 22 catches for 179 yards + 4 TDs
2002 - 325 carries for 1438 yards and 43 catches for 309 yards + 14 TDs
2003 - 350 carries for 1500 yards and 60 catches for 500 yards + 14 TDs (projected)
*27 total fumbles in that time (using last years 11 fumbles again for 2003)
Now look at Ricky Williams career when he was traded...
1999 - 253 carries for 884 yards and 28 catches for 172 yards + 2 TDs
2000 - 248 carries for 1000 yards and 44 catches for 409 yards + 9 TDs
2001 - 313 carries for 1245 yards and 60 catches for 511 yards + 7 TDs
*20 total fumbles in that time.
From what i can see.. Henry is much further along than Williams was when he netted 2 first rounders. so your telling me that a back with better numbers and just as much potential is gonna get anything less than 2 firsts? if not more? no way..
so look at it this way guys.. Henry is now money (actually draft picks) in the bank if he performs like he should this year and WM gets healthy and looks like the stud we expect.
and if WM doesnt come back, then we keep travis for the next three years.. which is really the window for our superbowl win that we are all hoping for.
the boards will be lit up for weeks to come with the raging debate about draft picks and Henry's feelings and McGahee's recovery and contract... but i just wanted you guys to look at this for a second.
The Bills FO believes that WM is going to be 100% again.. seem that the thought is by the end of this year. So he will either be on PUP or IR.. regardless... this is Henry's year to really shine. All the pieces are in place for henry to do extremely well and he should surpass last years numbers.. there is no question in my mind. He will catch more with no Centers around, and we wont be passing as much, therefore his carries should go up. i am going to predict henry getting at least the 1500 yards rushing he got last year. and at least 500 yards receiving that he would have got if he was not sharing with centers last year.
take a look at henry over the first 3 years then with his projected numbers for this year (these projection could very well end up much higher)
Henry -
2001 - 213 carries for 729 yards and 22 catches for 179 yards + 4 TDs
2002 - 325 carries for 1438 yards and 43 catches for 309 yards + 14 TDs
2003 - 350 carries for 1500 yards and 60 catches for 500 yards + 14 TDs (projected)
*27 total fumbles in that time (using last years 11 fumbles again for 2003)
Now look at Ricky Williams career when he was traded...
1999 - 253 carries for 884 yards and 28 catches for 172 yards + 2 TDs
2000 - 248 carries for 1000 yards and 44 catches for 409 yards + 9 TDs
2001 - 313 carries for 1245 yards and 60 catches for 511 yards + 7 TDs
*20 total fumbles in that time.
From what i can see.. Henry is much further along than Williams was when he netted 2 first rounders. so your telling me that a back with better numbers and just as much potential is gonna get anything less than 2 firsts? if not more? no way..
so look at it this way guys.. Henry is now money (actually draft picks) in the bank if he performs like he should this year and WM gets healthy and looks like the stud we expect.
and if WM doesnt come back, then we keep travis for the next three years.. which is really the window for our superbowl win that we are all hoping for.
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