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If anybody else has watched the Rams play at all to this point, you'd realize that the 2 worst teams in the NFL reside in the same state. At least one of them has a bunch of injuries they can blame part of their awfulness on...
8.5 points is way too much for the Bills to be giving on the road, regardless of the quality of the opponent.
Now, depending on how the game goes, the Bills might cover, but I don't see them being a team that is really built to blow teams out by a big margin.
The Bills are a team that is designed to win by having all three phases of the game--offense, defense and special teams--working well together.
The offense, with Edwards at QB, is designed to run the ball and put together those kinds of 10+ play, long drives that eat up a lot of time and keep the defense on the sidelines and well rested for the 4th quarter. It is not really a "quick strike" offense that will put up a lot of points quickly (although it can do that, when necessary).
The defense has really improved against the run, but still is a "bend but don't break" defense that still can be run on and allow the opponent to hold the ball for extended periods of time on occasion. In the first three games, there have been occasions when they have allowed receivers to get deep on them, but, except for the Higgins "quick strike", they haven't really been made to pay for those lapses in the secondary--something that Bulger and Holt are capable of doing if Bulger can get enough time.
And, while the kickers and return men have been good on special teams, the coverage teams have not always been up to the standards of previous seasons--especially the kickoff coverage. The Bills rely on their special teams to get them field position on both offense and defense. The Oakland game showed how vulnerable especially the offense can be when the Bills do not win the special teams battle.
The Rams may not be particularly good, especially on defense, but the Bills tend to play things "close to the vest", particularly on the road and the Rams have enough playmakers on offense to be able to get a couple of scores in the game. To expect the Bills to win essentially by a TD and FG might be asking too much, even if they should beat the Rams by that much.
Until the Bills show me a bit more consistency in their play across the board, I still wouldn't risk any money on them giving up what amounts to a lot of points on the road at this stage of the season.
Those who do not learn from the past are doomed to repeat it. And, thus it was that they surrendered their freedom; not with a bang, but without even a whimper.
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