Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Coach Sal
    Registered User
    • Aug 2006
    • 2475

    Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

    I've seen three different early lines:
    1
    1.5
    2
    ...mostly from offshore bookmaking sites.

    This is a bit surprising to me. I figured the Bills would be anywhere from 3-5 point favorites.
    Click to listen:

    Buffalo Bills Now! and NFL Now! podcasts
    And every Saturday at 11am on WGR



    "A good name is more desirable than great riches, and high esteem is better than silver and gold."

    Class Character Commitment Consistency Courage
  • Mitchy moo
    Roways rooking ahread!
    • Sep 2005
    • 18380

    #2
    Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

    Originally posted by Coach Sal
    I've seen three different early lines:
    1
    1.5
    2
    ...mostly from offshore bookmaking sites.

    This is a bit surprising to me. I figured the Bills would be anywhere from 3-5 point favorites.
    Time to load the boat up on this fact. It will probably end up at 4 or so after heavy abuse.

    Comment

    • TacklingDummy
      Unreachable Douche
      • Jul 2002
      • 71725

      #3
      Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

      Whens the last time Miami beat Buffalo? Miami is due. Trap game.

      Comment

      • Turbo.GUN.Hawk!
        Registered User
        • May 2007
        • 349

        #4
        Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

        Trap game!
        I am the rocker, I am the roller, I am the out-of-controller!

        Comment

        • Mr. Miyagi
          Lecter's Little *****

          • Sep 2002
          • 53616

          #5
          Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

          Put me down for $500!

          Comment

          • Ingtar33
            Dances With Buffaloes
            • Sep 2002
            • 15469

            #6
            Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

            how can this be a trap game. it's a division and rivalry game. if you can't get up for this you should just go home.
            My wife told me that if I had a dollar for every girl who found me unattractive, girls would find me VERY attractive.

            MY WIFE SAID THAT!!!

            Comment

            • Mitchy moo
              Roways rooking ahread!
              • Sep 2005
              • 18380

              #7
              Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

              Originally posted by Ingtar33
              how can this be a trap game. it's a division and rivalry game. if you can't get up for this you should just go home.
              It's not a trap game, we know what's at stake and so do the players. That is one of the main reasons why I think we will do well. There is no room for a let down and this game, like all divisional games, will haunt you until the season is over.

              Comment

              • yordad
                Registered User
                • Dec 2007
                • 11867

                #8
                Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

                I thought we would be about -6.5.
                "Heck, now I am glad his overrated arce made the pro bowl, else we would have only got a 3rd." ~ yordad

                "I've just been hit with a piece of sky. " ~ yordad

                "Forgive my opinion, but...." ~ yordad

                "Warning: I might be hammered." ~ yordad

                "I don't care if the word is "your" or "you're", so buzz off. Its (it's) a frickin(') message board." ~ yordad

                Comment

                • Antoni
                  Registered User
                  • Sep 2007
                  • 78

                  #9
                  Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

                  This is clearly a funny line. If you're the books you release a BUF -1 line only if you want everyone on one side of the bet. Good news for Dolphin fans

                  Comment

                  • Antoni
                    Registered User
                    • Sep 2007
                    • 78

                    #10
                    Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

                    Originally posted by yordad
                    I thought we would be about -6.5.
                    -6.5 would be as close to the "true line" as you'd get. However, that line would distribute the betting a bit. They want everyone backing Buffalo because they think there's a good chance Miami will win. Similar line came out for our game against New England and like 95% of the public took NE that game.

                    Edit: and it's a bit too early to worry. It's not so much the line that raises eyebrows but rather the line movement. If this stays at -1 or even goes to a PK then you know Vegas is trying to clean house

                    Comment

                    • Ebenezer
                      Give me a minute...
                      • Jul 2002
                      • 73867

                      #11
                      Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

                      Originally posted by Turbo.GUN.Hawk!
                      Trap game!
                      The Jets game is the trap game. Sandwiched between two games against big rivals and both of those games are on the road.




                      For all the education and practice each of us undergoes, the achievment of mastery is ultimately the outcome of a personal quest for understanding.

                      Comment

                      • yordad
                        Registered User
                        • Dec 2007
                        • 11867

                        #12
                        Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

                        Originally posted by Antoni
                        -6.5 would be as close to the "true line" as you'd get. However, that line would distribute the betting a bit. They want everyone backing Buffalo because they think there's a good chance Miami will win. Similar line came out for our game against New England and like 95% of the public took NE that game.

                        Edit: and it's a bit too early to worry. It's not so much the line that raises eyebrows but rather the line movement. If this stays at -1 or even goes to a PK then you know Vegas is trying to clean house
                        So... do you think all the bookies know something all the fans don't?

                        Because if the whole population is convinced the Bills will win, why would the bookies be convinced enough to bet their practice on the opposite?
                        "Heck, now I am glad his overrated arce made the pro bowl, else we would have only got a 3rd." ~ yordad

                        "I've just been hit with a piece of sky. " ~ yordad

                        "Forgive my opinion, but...." ~ yordad

                        "Warning: I might be hammered." ~ yordad

                        "I don't care if the word is "your" or "you're", so buzz off. Its (it's) a frickin(') message board." ~ yordad

                        Comment

                        • yordad
                          Registered User
                          • Dec 2007
                          • 11867

                          #13
                          Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

                          Maybe they are considering Toronto a neutral sight(?). Maybe at the Ralph they would be 4.5 point favorites (which still sounds low, IMO). If not, it is like they are saying the Fins would be 5 point favorites in Miami(?). No way.
                          "Heck, now I am glad his overrated arce made the pro bowl, else we would have only got a 3rd." ~ yordad

                          "I've just been hit with a piece of sky. " ~ yordad

                          "Forgive my opinion, but...." ~ yordad

                          "Warning: I might be hammered." ~ yordad

                          "I don't care if the word is "your" or "you're", so buzz off. Its (it's) a frickin(') message board." ~ yordad

                          Comment

                          • BlackMetalNinja
                            I'm not Jewish, I'm just in it for the hats.
                            • May 2005
                            • 31525

                            #14
                            Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

                            My usual source has us -1.5

                            Comment

                            • BlackMetalNinja
                              I'm not Jewish, I'm just in it for the hats.
                              • May 2005
                              • 31525

                              #15
                              Re: Bills are only 1-2 point favorites at Miami

                              Originally posted by yordad
                              Maybe they are considering Toronto a neutral sight(?). Maybe at the Ralph they would be 4.5 point favorites (which still sounds low, IMO). If not, it is like they are saying the Fins would be 5 point favorites in Miami(?). No way.
                              This game is in Miami...

                              Comment

                              Working...
                              X