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DonCanabis
09-18-2009, 04:11 PM
THE DON'S
Crystal Ball


2009 SEASON


WEEK 2 PICKS



By DonCanabis/D'BOYZ
Analyst/Godfather
http://i46.photobucket.com/albums/f125/atw217/brando.png

I didn't have the best start this season there were some huge surprises and crazy endings but that's the NFL. I hate the first week you can do all the analysis you want but you just can't completely know until you see them on the field. Week 2 and 3 of the NFL are known for being filled with HUGE surprises because no team wants to be 0-2 or 0-3; they know historically that if you fell to those numbers you can almost kiss your season Goodbye.

Ok some Quick Hits from last week.

• I gave Cincinnati the benefit of the doubt, but didn’t like what I saw from either team it was a bad game with a Crazy finish. One thing Denver’s defense looks a lot better.

• I have to say I didn’t give too much respect to the 49ers and the defense Coach Singletary has developed and gave too much to the Cardinals. SF surprised me and could be better than I expected

• Where was this Houston’s amazing offense everyone has talked about it’s amazing how Rex Ryan can make a team look foolish. The Jets looked like the Falcons of last year.

• The WildCat got his ass kicked on week one, after an offseason for DC to prepare for it, the new formation quickly looks old and in a need of an overhaul.

• Injuries there’s nothing more I hate to see in week 1 that season ending injuries. I feel for those guys they prepare for months work hard and 1 one play at the start of the season their year is over sick. Some Big games were lost for the season or for most part of the year that will really hurt their teams. You know the names just sick.

• There’s no place for me guys and Divas in the NFL, they can have all the talent they want but I haven’t seen one of those players win a SB. You can see that Cutler didn0t learn anything from this past offseason, and McKelvin what a douche, after his dumb play lost the effort on a great game by the other 45 guys and cost the improbable win to his teammates, to come out and say he will do that every time is just stupid.

• Oakland put a great fight and has a very good smash mouth defense but in the end it looks like Russell will be the downfall for this team yes he threw one big deep ball but he missed most of his passes all day. Oh and Heyward-Bey looks like another great pick by Al davis, NOT.

On to the games

Carolina at Atlanta -6 .5 Ovr/Und 43

Well Delhome is on playoffs form, we know that much, Carolina looked bad and in home where they’re usually good. I expect them to be better this week Atlanta doesn’t have the passrush of philly but I was impressed with how they controlled a Miami’s team last week. I’ll take the home team this week

Straight: Atl
Spread: Atl
Ovr/Und: Ovr

St. Louis at Washington -10 Ovr/Und 37

Washington’s offense looks bad but the Rams offense it’s nonexistent. The line is a little too high for me but I do expect the home team to take the W

Straight: Was
Spread: Stl
Ovr/Und: Ovr

Houston at Tennessee -6.5 Ovr/Und 40.5

Ten defenses looks great and we know how many TD’s Houston scored last week against a good defense. I just don’t see how Houston can win this game. Bet the Und.

Straight: Ten
Spread: Ten
Ovr/Und: Und

New Orleans at Philadelphia PK Ovr/Und 46

Well it looks McNabb injury is a little worse that said otherwise they wouldn’t have brought Garcia if it was only for 1 week. So, with McNabb hurt and Kobb in the commands (at least for 1 qrt), I would go with Brees and that Offense.

Straight: NO
Spread: NO
Ovr/Und: Ovr

New England at New York Jets 4 Ovr/Und 46

New England started slow but at the end found their groove, I’m worried about their defense it didn’t showed much and they lost Mayo. Rex Ryan’s team showed a lot more than I expected…. But I do believe NE team will be better this week after last week close call.

Straight: NE
Spread: NYJ
Ovr/Und: OVR

Cincinnati at Green Bay -9 Ovr/Und 42

Palmer doesn’t look like his old self Green Bay looked good against Chicago they just have too many weapons for the Bengals. Take the bay guys

Straight: GB
Spread: GB
Ovr/Und: Ovr

Arizona at Jacksonville -3 Ovr/Und 42.5

I’m having problems with this game on paper Arizona should be the team to take the W but on the field it looks totally different, Jacksonville played pretty good defense against the Colts, their running game looks way better than last year .I expect Arizona to bounce back but not this week

Straight:Jac
Spread:Jac
Ovr/Und:Und

Minnesota at Detroit 10 Ovr/Und 46.5

The Vikings started slow last week against Cleveland but at the end pulled out the guns. Detroit at least put up a fight something they didn0t do last year. I do expect them to win some games but not this week

Straight: Min
Spread: Min
Ovr/Und: Und

Oakland at Kansas City -3 Ovr/Und 38.5

These both teams impressed me more than I expected, I anticipate Cassel to start this week go for the home team.

Straight: KC
Spread: KC
Ovr/Und: UND

Tampa Bay at Buffalo -5 Ovr/Und 42

Buffalo played a perfect game against a great team for 58min, they are the best team here but you don’t know how bad the loss has affected this team.

Straight: Buf
Spread: TB
Ovr/Und: Und

Seattle at San Francisco -1.5 Ovr/Und 39.5

I like what SF showed last week and even if SEA beat a bad St. Louis team there were too many mistakes that a better team would had explode. I prefer a good defense against an ok offense.

Straight: SF
Spread: SF
Ovr/Und: Ovr

Pittsburgh at Chicago 3 Ovr/Und 38

Both teams lost their QB on their defense and have very good defense, one has a franchise QB one has a big douche guess who I’m taking

Straight: PIT
Spread: PIT
Ovr/Und: OVR

Cleveland at Denver : -3 Ovr/Und 37.5

Denver barely won a game that they needed to win. Cleveland put up a good fight against a great team. Hmmm this one is though take the under

Straight:Den
Spread: Cle
Ovr/Und: Und

Baltimore at San Diego : -3 Ovr/Und 40

For once the ravens showed offense, San Diego defense didn’t look great for the first half of the game and didn’t look so great at offense for the most part but at the end like they always do they pulled the Win…. If they don’t play for the whole 30 min they won’t get the W.

Straight:Bal
Spread:Bal
Ovr/Und: Ovr

New York Giants at Dallas : -3 Ovr/Und 44

Well the Giants are going to Arlington to try to spoils Jerry’s big debut. Both teams showed last week potential both also deficiencies, Dallas at defense especially against the run and New York in passing. These games are usually great games to watch NY might try to spoil Jerry’s party but I don’t think they will

Straight:Dal
Spread: Dal
Ovr/Und:Ovr

Indianapolis at Miami : 3 Ovr/Und 42
UPSET OF THE WEEK

Miami got totally dominated last week and the Colts almost lost the game at home. Week 2 it’s about surprises and this one is for me. They are playing home against a team they match up well if Miami doesn’t turn the ball over like in Atlanta they should take this win

Straight: Mia
Spread: Mia
Ovr/Und: Und

Hot Picks (3-3) 50%
Tennessee (league)
New Orleans (league)
Baltimore (league)
Atlanta
Pittsburgh
Minnesota

Yasgur's Farm
09-18-2009, 05:59 PM
Straight up...

Falcons
Vikings
Packers
Titans
Raiders - Never know with AFCW rivalry
Patriots - I don't want the Jets with a big head
Saints
Redskins
Cardinals
Bills
49ers
Steelers - I'm concerned here - Cutler needs a good performance
Broncos
Ravens
Cowboys - Jone's stadium debut... If the NFL is fixed... No way they lose here
Colts

PECKERWOOD
09-18-2009, 08:36 PM
Carolina over Atlanta

Washington over St. Louis

Tennessee over Houston

New Orleans over Philadelphia

New England over New York Jets

Green Bay over Cincinnati

Jacksonville over Arizona

Minnesota over Detroit

Oakland over Kansas City

Buffalo over Tampa Bay

Seattle over San Francisco

Chicago over Pittsburgh

Cleveland over Denver

Baltimore over San Diego

New York Giants over Dallas

Indianapolis over Miami


8-8 last week, Don. What was your score??

yordad
09-18-2009, 09:10 PM
Straight up...

Falcons
Vikings
Packers
Titans
Raiders - Never know with AFCW rivalry
Patriots - I don't want the Jets with a big head
Saints
Redskins
Cardinals
Bills
49ers
Steelers - I'm concerned here - Cutler needs a good performance
Broncos
Ravens
Cowboys - Jone's stadium debut... If the NFL is fixed... No way they lose here
ColtsRemember that game last year? BadThingsMan started it. You should run it! Or maybe Shelby will.

DonCanabis
09-18-2009, 11:46 PM
11-5 straight up last week

PECKERWOOD
09-18-2009, 11:54 PM
I'm sorry Don, but unfortunately for you and fortunately for me, I will have to steal the lead from you this week. :lmao:

Yasgur's Farm
09-19-2009, 07:37 AM
Remember that game last year? BadThingsMan started it. You should run it! Or maybe Shelby will.
Yup I remember... Zone pickem... You picked the upset game like the last 3 weeks in a row to knock me off... $50K ZoneBucks!!

That was fun but I don't wanna run it. I'm playing a couple zone pickems on yahoo.
:cheers:

Yasgur's Farm
09-19-2009, 07:38 AM
8-8 last week, Don. What was your score??

11-5 straight up last week
13-3 straight up for me last week.

Billz_fan
09-19-2009, 10:11 AM
I don't hold alot of stock in straight up records. I have had many 1 loss weeks over the years in straight ups.

The spread is what matters for betting and Im not trying to dog you Don thats all I pay attention to in your picks. I don't know why you choose to pick every game thats a big no no where I learned to pick. Once again Im only talking pt. spread here.

DonCanabis
09-19-2009, 04:40 PM
I don't hold alot of stock in straight up records. I have had many 1 loss weeks over the years in straight ups.

The spread is what matters for betting and I'm not trying to dog you Don that's all I pay attention to in your picks. I don't know why you choose to pick every game that's a big no no where I learned to pick. Once again I'm only talking pt. spread here.

I'm with you on that one Spread it's the only one that matter to me but somebody asked me for the straight up record of last week.

Straight up is meaningless when it comes to sportsbooks.

I predict every game but I don't pick every game... My hot pics are my recommendations for every week especially the top 3 that say (league) those 3 are the ones that I'm more confident.... I have to do every game and that hurts my record but it's part of being an analyst.

BADTHINGSMAN
09-19-2009, 04:57 PM
Remember that game last year? BadThingsMan started it. You should run it! Or maybe Shelby will.

It was fun running it, wasnt to much work really. Had some family issues that I was dealing with so had to stop running it. I believe Shelby or Cntry picked it up and ran it and did great job with it.

BADTHINGSMAN
09-19-2009, 05:09 PM
Falcons over Panthers
Redskins over Rams
Titans over Texans
Saints over Eagles
Patriots over Jets
Packers over Bengals
Cardinals over Jaguars
Vikings over Lions
Chiefs over Raiders
Bills over Bucs
49ers over Seahawks
Steelers over Bears
Broncos over Browns
Chargers over Ravens
Giants over Cowboys
Colts over Dolphins

PECKERWOOD
09-19-2009, 06:31 PM
In reality, I will probably get my ass kicked. I always include 2-3 upsets in my predictions for ****s and giggles.

Billz_fan
09-20-2009, 01:35 PM
I'm with you on that one Spread it's the only one that matter to me but somebody asked me for the straight up record of last week.

Straight up is meaningless when it comes to sportsbooks.

I predict every game but I don't pick every game... My hot pics are my recommendations for every week especially the top 3 that say (league) those 3 are the ones that I'm more confident.... I have to do every game and that hurts my record but it's part of being an analyst.

Ok, Cool. I thought it might be something like that. Im on the same page now. The straight ups are well...... you know, We have all been in the office pools where some guys wife or 4 year old son picks all the games correctly because of helmet color or dart throws yada yada yada :D

PECKERWOOD
09-21-2009, 08:42 AM
8-7 so far, damn.

Billz_fan
09-21-2009, 11:26 PM
Tough week for the Don.

Straight ups 8-8

vs Spread 7-9

ov/un 8-8

hot picks 4-2


First 2 weeks totals

Straight ups 19-13

vs spread 15-17

ov/un 19-13

hot picks 7-5


You gotta get going vs spread or start punching a time clock :laughter:

DonCanabis
09-25-2009, 06:14 PM
hahah thxs this is my worst start ever... In my defense 5 games turn south for me in the 4th Quarter or last drive. Pittsburgh lost a 7 point lead and missed 2 Fg to lose that game. Romo threw a stupid hailmary int when they were putting the last nail in the coffin to NY and let them back in and couldn't stop them at the end. Ten Blew a 14 point lead and a 7 point lead in the 4th quarter, Miami let the colts comeback after holding them the whole game and did a really bad hurry up offense in the end. Finally KC after scoring the late TD let the worse QB in the league move the ball for the winning score.

You can't predict those things.

PECKERWOOD
09-25-2009, 06:52 PM
I'm having fun with this though, Don. I'm keeping my season long 'straight up' record to compare with the ESPN gurus over there.