DonCanabis
10-24-2009, 07:23 PM
THE DON'S<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
Crystal Ball<o:p></o:p>
2009 SEASON<o:p></o:p>
WEEK 7 PICKS<o:p></o:p>
By DonCanabis/D'BOYZ<o:p></o:p>
Analyst/Godfather<o:p></o:p>
http://i46.photobucket.com/albums/f125/atw217/brando.png<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Well… I did better against the line this past week… I almost got right 6 out of <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:metricconverter w:st="on" ProductID="8 in">8 in</st1:metricconverter> the morning games but <st1:State w:st="on">Minnesota</st1:State> decided to let <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Baltimore</st1:place></st1:City> get back in the game. The late games, well… that was a whole different story. We had another week of huge upsets… This season it’s getting too weird!<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
We had 6 upsets where the underdog won the game and 9 lines upsets where the underdog either won the game or lost by a smaller margin. That’s 65% of games won by the underdogs… huge in the NFL. <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Time too change strategies once again!<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Quick Hits<o:p></o:p>
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<o:p> </o:p>
•This year we are seeing good teams with lots of wholes, like <st1:City w:st="on">Baltimore</st1:City>’s and <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">New York</st1:place></st1:State>’s defense specially their secondary. It used to be that teams took almost 10 games to find out their adversaries weaknesses and that’s why we were used to see hot teams in September fade away in November and December, but we’re only in October and some teams that started hot can’t seem to find their way back up!<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
•I have never seen a season with so many bad teams. Some bad teams won last week but who really believes any of the following teams have a real shot to make it to the playoffs even if we’re only 6 games into the season: <st1:City w:st="on">Kansas City</st1:City>, <st1:City w:st="on">Oakland</st1:City>, <st1:City w:st="on">St. Louis</st1:City>, <st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Tampa</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">Bay</st1:PlaceType>, <st1:City w:st="on">Detroit</st1:City>, <st1:State w:st="on">Washington</st1:State>, <st1:City w:st="on">Buffalo</st1:City>, <st1:City w:st="on">Jacksonville</st1:City>, <st1:City w:st="on">Cleveland</st1:City> and <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Tennessee</st1:place></st1:State>. That’s 10 teams with only 5 to 6 games in the season that are already playing for next year.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
•Now it makes sense why Coach McDaniel’s listened to the Cutler trade talks when teams brought it up. Yes, the kid has a great arm and can give you great games but most of the time he’s a time bomb; too many dumb interceptions that cost his team the victory. It was painful to watch that Sunday’s night game I felt that every time they got near the red zone he would do something stupid.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
•Can somebody explain me how and why a team like the Eagles can lose to <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Oakland</st1:place></st1:City>? And, why Andy Reid facing the one of the worst defenses against the run decides not to use it? <o:p></o:p>
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•Could M. Vick be a bigger non factor in the game? Talk about an offseason buzz that was not even worth the paper it was printed! And what about Favre: How good has he been and who expected that after coming back during the preseason?<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
On to the games <o:p></o:p>
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<st1:City w:st="on">Green Bay</st1:City> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Cleveland</st1:place></st1:City> 7.5 Ovr/Und 42<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Green Bay</st1:place></st1:City> hasn’t been as good as I expected this season, their running game and Oline are their biggest problems but one thing is clear, they have been able to soundly beat teams they’re supposed to beat so take the Packers in this one. Plus, half of the <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Cleveland</st1:place></st1:City> team is ill.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: GB<o:p></o:p>
Spread:J GB<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Und<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">San Diego</st1:City> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Kansas City</st1:place></st1:City> 4.5 Ovr/Und 44<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
In any other season, I would pick San Diego blindfolded but this year, with so many upsets each week and San Diego’s talent playing so bad I have to go with the upset in this one.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: KC<o:p></o:p>
Spread: KC<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Und<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">Indianapolis</st1:City> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">St. Louis</st1:place></st1:City> 13 Ovr/Und 46<o:p></o:p>
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Peyton has had two weeks to prepare for this team and they get Bob Sanders back for the first time sorry but I smell blood!<o:p></o:p>
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Straight: <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Ind</st1:place></st1:State><o:p></o:p>
Spread: <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Ind</st1:place></st1:State><o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
New England at <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Tampa</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">Bay</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> 14.5 Ovr/Und 45<o:p></o:p>
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<st1:place w:st="on">New England</st1:place> just beat a 0-5 team 59-<st1:metricconverter w:st="on" ProductID="0 in">0 in</st1:metricconverter> the snow sure 2 of their RB’s are out but do they really need to run against that secondary? Lord, have mercy… but not too much!<o:p></o:p>
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Straight: NE<o:p></o:p>
Spread: NE<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:State w:st="on">Minnesota</st1:State> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Pittsburgh</st1:place></st1:City> -4 Ovr/Und 45.5<o:p></o:p>
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<st1:City w:st="on">Pittsburg</st1:City> has the kind of team that can bring trouble to <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Minnesota</st1:place></st1:State> but if the Steelers keep their trend and keep them in the game in the 4<SUP>th</SUP> qtr this game can turn on them faster than a Mexican Burrito! Min has done a good job of keeping Favre clean and keeping him away of difficult situations; it will be interesting to see if he can respond to this new challenge. <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: Pit<o:p></o:p>
Spread: Min<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Und<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">San Francisco</st1:City> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Houston</st1:place></st1:City> -3 Ovr/Und 44<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Teams coming from a bye are 6-2 this season; it’s a clear advantage being able to prepare for 2 weeks. I really liked how <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Houston</st1:place></st1:City> dismantled Cin defense last week and if they can do the same to SF they can take this game. <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">San Francisco</st1:City></st1:place> went to the bye with a lot of questions specially the speed of the secondary. Who knows… the return of Gore could bring a spark to this offense. <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: Hou<o:p></o:p>
Spread: Hou<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Und<o:p></o:p>
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Buffalo at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Carolina</st1:place></st1:City> -6.5 Ovr/Und 40<o:p></o:p>
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<st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Carolina</st1:place></st1:City> found their running game these past weeks and should put it at work this week too. <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Buffalo</st1:place></st1:City> defense gave their team a chance last week and if they could make Mark Sanchez throw 5 int, imagine Jake Delhome? On the other hand, Edwards won’t play but it’s not like he has brought anything to the offense. This game will come down too if buffalo can stop <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Carolina</st1:place></st1:City> run game and provoke Jake to make some mistakes!<o:p></o:p>
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Straight:Car<o:p></o:p>
Spread:Car<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und:Und<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:State w:st="on">New York</st1:State> Jets at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Oakland</st1:place></st1:City> 6 Ovr/Und 35<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Redemption week for Mark Sanchez?… Who believes the Raiders can win two hard games in a row? Any one?... Scratch that! – In fact, who here believes that the Raiders can win two games in a row point blank? Guess, I don’t have any takers.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: NYJ<o:p></o:p>
Spread: NYJ<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">Chicago</st1:City> at <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Cincinnati</st1:City></st1:place> -1.5 Ovr/Und 42<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
I don’t feel comfortable with either team, but I believe three things will factor in to this game. 1) Cedric Benson’s motivation: we can pretend this is a business and there’s no loyalty to a team but we all know that when a player faces he’s old team they want to show the mistake they made, especially if there’s some bad blood; 2) Chicago LB’s condition: do they have any healthy ones left? That middle of the field is going to be attacked all day; and 3) <st1:City w:st="on">Cincinnati</st1:City>’s secondary against <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Chicago</st1:place></st1:City>’s WR: I just feel there’s a huge advantage in this area with the home team. Too bad the Bengals lost their best passrusher for the year.<o:p></o:p>
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Straight:Cin<o:p></o:p>
Spread: Cin<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">Atlanta</st1:City> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Dallas</st1:place></st1:City> -4 Ovr/Und 47<o:p></o:p>
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Can’t believe <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Dallas</st1:City></st1:place> is the favorite in this game… I’m torn by this game! My head tells me that teams coming from the bye especially at home are more likely to win their games, but I keep in mind all the upsets of these past weeks and <st1:City w:st="on">Atlanta</st1:City> surely has the team to beat <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Dallas</st1:City></st1:place>! The Cowboys can win this game but as of right now they haven’t beat any real contender so… I have to go with the upset.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: Atl<o:p></o:p>
Spread: Atl<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">New Orleans</st1:City> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Miami</st1:place></st1:City> 6.5 Ovr/Und 47<o:p></o:p>
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Many experts predict this game as an upset. They believe the wildcat can bring some trouble to the Saints defense because they see it like the NYJ game. I see it more like the <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Indianapolis</st1:place></st1:City>’ game.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: NO<o:p></o:p>
Spread: NO<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:State w:st="on">Arizona</st1:State> at <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">New York</st1:place></st1:State> Giants -7 Ovr/Und 46.5<o:p></o:p>
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<st1:State w:st="on">Arizona</st1:State> comes from a long trip win to <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Seattle</st1:place></st1:City>… Can they take another long trip to the East and beat the Giants? <st1:State w:st="on">Arizona</st1:State> has the means to hurt that secondary like <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">New Orleans</st1:place></st1:City> did last week although they might be without one of their best wideouts. After <st1:State w:st="on">New York</st1:State>’s defeat, <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">New Orleans</st1:City></st1:place> might be scratching their heads; I’m sure some changes were made...<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: NYG<o:p></o:p>
Spread: NYG<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">Philadelphia</st1:City> at <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Washington</st1:place></st1:State> : -7 Ovr/Und 37.5<o:p></o:p>
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<st1:City w:st="on">Philadelphia</st1:City> will come out guns blazing after not giving <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Oakland</st1:place></st1:City> enough respect last week; they should control and dominate a completely unfocussed Redskin’s team. What this front office is doing to this team it’s almost like Al Davis: they think they can patch things up and win championships! Zorn’s misery ends this week, sadly the fans’ misery will continue until the end of the season. <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: Phi<o:p></o:p>
Spread: Phi<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
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The Not so Hot Picks (15-23) 40% <o:p></o:p>
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<st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Philadelphia</st1:place></st1:City> (league)<o:p></o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Green Bay</st1:place></st1:City> (league)<o:p></o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Indianapolis</st1:place></st1:City> (league)<o:p></o:p>
Kansas City<o:p></o:p>
Carolina<o:p></o:p>
Minnesota<o:p></o:p>
Crystal Ball<o:p></o:p>
2009 SEASON<o:p></o:p>
WEEK 7 PICKS<o:p></o:p>
By DonCanabis/D'BOYZ<o:p></o:p>
Analyst/Godfather<o:p></o:p>
http://i46.photobucket.com/albums/f125/atw217/brando.png<o:p></o:p>
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<o:p> </o:p>
Well… I did better against the line this past week… I almost got right 6 out of <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:metricconverter w:st="on" ProductID="8 in">8 in</st1:metricconverter> the morning games but <st1:State w:st="on">Minnesota</st1:State> decided to let <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Baltimore</st1:place></st1:City> get back in the game. The late games, well… that was a whole different story. We had another week of huge upsets… This season it’s getting too weird!<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
We had 6 upsets where the underdog won the game and 9 lines upsets where the underdog either won the game or lost by a smaller margin. That’s 65% of games won by the underdogs… huge in the NFL. <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Time too change strategies once again!<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Quick Hits<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
•This year we are seeing good teams with lots of wholes, like <st1:City w:st="on">Baltimore</st1:City>’s and <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">New York</st1:place></st1:State>’s defense specially their secondary. It used to be that teams took almost 10 games to find out their adversaries weaknesses and that’s why we were used to see hot teams in September fade away in November and December, but we’re only in October and some teams that started hot can’t seem to find their way back up!<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
•I have never seen a season with so many bad teams. Some bad teams won last week but who really believes any of the following teams have a real shot to make it to the playoffs even if we’re only 6 games into the season: <st1:City w:st="on">Kansas City</st1:City>, <st1:City w:st="on">Oakland</st1:City>, <st1:City w:st="on">St. Louis</st1:City>, <st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Tampa</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">Bay</st1:PlaceType>, <st1:City w:st="on">Detroit</st1:City>, <st1:State w:st="on">Washington</st1:State>, <st1:City w:st="on">Buffalo</st1:City>, <st1:City w:st="on">Jacksonville</st1:City>, <st1:City w:st="on">Cleveland</st1:City> and <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Tennessee</st1:place></st1:State>. That’s 10 teams with only 5 to 6 games in the season that are already playing for next year.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
•Now it makes sense why Coach McDaniel’s listened to the Cutler trade talks when teams brought it up. Yes, the kid has a great arm and can give you great games but most of the time he’s a time bomb; too many dumb interceptions that cost his team the victory. It was painful to watch that Sunday’s night game I felt that every time they got near the red zone he would do something stupid.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
•Can somebody explain me how and why a team like the Eagles can lose to <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Oakland</st1:place></st1:City>? And, why Andy Reid facing the one of the worst defenses against the run decides not to use it? <o:p></o:p>
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•Could M. Vick be a bigger non factor in the game? Talk about an offseason buzz that was not even worth the paper it was printed! And what about Favre: How good has he been and who expected that after coming back during the preseason?<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
On to the games <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">Green Bay</st1:City> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Cleveland</st1:place></st1:City> 7.5 Ovr/Und 42<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Green Bay</st1:place></st1:City> hasn’t been as good as I expected this season, their running game and Oline are their biggest problems but one thing is clear, they have been able to soundly beat teams they’re supposed to beat so take the Packers in this one. Plus, half of the <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Cleveland</st1:place></st1:City> team is ill.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: GB<o:p></o:p>
Spread:J GB<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Und<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">San Diego</st1:City> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Kansas City</st1:place></st1:City> 4.5 Ovr/Und 44<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
In any other season, I would pick San Diego blindfolded but this year, with so many upsets each week and San Diego’s talent playing so bad I have to go with the upset in this one.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: KC<o:p></o:p>
Spread: KC<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Und<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">Indianapolis</st1:City> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">St. Louis</st1:place></st1:City> 13 Ovr/Und 46<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Peyton has had two weeks to prepare for this team and they get Bob Sanders back for the first time sorry but I smell blood!<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Ind</st1:place></st1:State><o:p></o:p>
Spread: <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Ind</st1:place></st1:State><o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
New England at <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Tampa</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">Bay</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> 14.5 Ovr/Und 45<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:place w:st="on">New England</st1:place> just beat a 0-5 team 59-<st1:metricconverter w:st="on" ProductID="0 in">0 in</st1:metricconverter> the snow sure 2 of their RB’s are out but do they really need to run against that secondary? Lord, have mercy… but not too much!<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: NE<o:p></o:p>
Spread: NE<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:State w:st="on">Minnesota</st1:State> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Pittsburgh</st1:place></st1:City> -4 Ovr/Und 45.5<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">Pittsburg</st1:City> has the kind of team that can bring trouble to <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Minnesota</st1:place></st1:State> but if the Steelers keep their trend and keep them in the game in the 4<SUP>th</SUP> qtr this game can turn on them faster than a Mexican Burrito! Min has done a good job of keeping Favre clean and keeping him away of difficult situations; it will be interesting to see if he can respond to this new challenge. <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: Pit<o:p></o:p>
Spread: Min<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Und<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">San Francisco</st1:City> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Houston</st1:place></st1:City> -3 Ovr/Und 44<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Teams coming from a bye are 6-2 this season; it’s a clear advantage being able to prepare for 2 weeks. I really liked how <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Houston</st1:place></st1:City> dismantled Cin defense last week and if they can do the same to SF they can take this game. <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">San Francisco</st1:City></st1:place> went to the bye with a lot of questions specially the speed of the secondary. Who knows… the return of Gore could bring a spark to this offense. <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: Hou<o:p></o:p>
Spread: Hou<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Und<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Buffalo at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Carolina</st1:place></st1:City> -6.5 Ovr/Und 40<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Carolina</st1:place></st1:City> found their running game these past weeks and should put it at work this week too. <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Buffalo</st1:place></st1:City> defense gave their team a chance last week and if they could make Mark Sanchez throw 5 int, imagine Jake Delhome? On the other hand, Edwards won’t play but it’s not like he has brought anything to the offense. This game will come down too if buffalo can stop <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Carolina</st1:place></st1:City> run game and provoke Jake to make some mistakes!<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight:Car<o:p></o:p>
Spread:Car<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und:Und<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:State w:st="on">New York</st1:State> Jets at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Oakland</st1:place></st1:City> 6 Ovr/Und 35<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Redemption week for Mark Sanchez?… Who believes the Raiders can win two hard games in a row? Any one?... Scratch that! – In fact, who here believes that the Raiders can win two games in a row point blank? Guess, I don’t have any takers.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: NYJ<o:p></o:p>
Spread: NYJ<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">Chicago</st1:City> at <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Cincinnati</st1:City></st1:place> -1.5 Ovr/Und 42<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
I don’t feel comfortable with either team, but I believe three things will factor in to this game. 1) Cedric Benson’s motivation: we can pretend this is a business and there’s no loyalty to a team but we all know that when a player faces he’s old team they want to show the mistake they made, especially if there’s some bad blood; 2) Chicago LB’s condition: do they have any healthy ones left? That middle of the field is going to be attacked all day; and 3) <st1:City w:st="on">Cincinnati</st1:City>’s secondary against <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Chicago</st1:place></st1:City>’s WR: I just feel there’s a huge advantage in this area with the home team. Too bad the Bengals lost their best passrusher for the year.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight:Cin<o:p></o:p>
Spread: Cin<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">Atlanta</st1:City> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Dallas</st1:place></st1:City> -4 Ovr/Und 47<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Can’t believe <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Dallas</st1:City></st1:place> is the favorite in this game… I’m torn by this game! My head tells me that teams coming from the bye especially at home are more likely to win their games, but I keep in mind all the upsets of these past weeks and <st1:City w:st="on">Atlanta</st1:City> surely has the team to beat <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Dallas</st1:City></st1:place>! The Cowboys can win this game but as of right now they haven’t beat any real contender so… I have to go with the upset.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: Atl<o:p></o:p>
Spread: Atl<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">New Orleans</st1:City> at <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Miami</st1:place></st1:City> 6.5 Ovr/Und 47<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Many experts predict this game as an upset. They believe the wildcat can bring some trouble to the Saints defense because they see it like the NYJ game. I see it more like the <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Indianapolis</st1:place></st1:City>’ game.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: NO<o:p></o:p>
Spread: NO<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:State w:st="on">Arizona</st1:State> at <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">New York</st1:place></st1:State> Giants -7 Ovr/Und 46.5<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:State w:st="on">Arizona</st1:State> comes from a long trip win to <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Seattle</st1:place></st1:City>… Can they take another long trip to the East and beat the Giants? <st1:State w:st="on">Arizona</st1:State> has the means to hurt that secondary like <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">New Orleans</st1:place></st1:City> did last week although they might be without one of their best wideouts. After <st1:State w:st="on">New York</st1:State>’s defeat, <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">New Orleans</st1:City></st1:place> might be scratching their heads; I’m sure some changes were made...<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: NYG<o:p></o:p>
Spread: NYG<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">Philadelphia</st1:City> at <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Washington</st1:place></st1:State> : -7 Ovr/Und 37.5<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on">Philadelphia</st1:City> will come out guns blazing after not giving <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Oakland</st1:place></st1:City> enough respect last week; they should control and dominate a completely unfocussed Redskin’s team. What this front office is doing to this team it’s almost like Al Davis: they think they can patch things up and win championships! Zorn’s misery ends this week, sadly the fans’ misery will continue until the end of the season. <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Straight: Phi<o:p></o:p>
Spread: Phi<o:p></o:p>
Ovr/Und: Ovr<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
The Not so Hot Picks (15-23) 40% <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Philadelphia</st1:place></st1:City> (league)<o:p></o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Green Bay</st1:place></st1:City> (league)<o:p></o:p>
<st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Indianapolis</st1:place></st1:City> (league)<o:p></o:p>
Kansas City<o:p></o:p>
Carolina<o:p></o:p>
Minnesota<o:p></o:p>