Pinkerton Security
04-20-2010, 09:59 AM
This story appears in the April 19 issue of ESPN The Magazine.
For each team's picks from 2000 to 2007, Footballl Outsiders calculated the Games Started Above Average (GSAA), a weird-science metric that compares the number of starts a player had during his first five seasons to the starts of a baseline player of similar draft value. But we also factored in the draft history, expertise of decision-makers and overall efficiency of every operation to get our 1-32 ranking. Sorry, Oakland!
*Denotes teams where the current decision-makers didn't take over until 2006 or later.
30. Buffalo Bills (http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/clubhouse?team=buf)
This year, former national scout Buddy Nix, who used to be A.J. Smith's right-hand man in San Diego, runs the show for the first time. The Bills still need help at several positions, especially now that they're adopting a 3-4 D and expecting DE Aaron Maybin (http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/players/profile?playerId=12456) ('09, RD1) to switch to OLB.
GSAA: 0.69*
http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/insider/news/story?id=5114845
For each team's picks from 2000 to 2007, Footballl Outsiders calculated the Games Started Above Average (GSAA), a weird-science metric that compares the number of starts a player had during his first five seasons to the starts of a baseline player of similar draft value. But we also factored in the draft history, expertise of decision-makers and overall efficiency of every operation to get our 1-32 ranking. Sorry, Oakland!
*Denotes teams where the current decision-makers didn't take over until 2006 or later.
30. Buffalo Bills (http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/clubhouse?team=buf)
This year, former national scout Buddy Nix, who used to be A.J. Smith's right-hand man in San Diego, runs the show for the first time. The Bills still need help at several positions, especially now that they're adopting a 3-4 D and expecting DE Aaron Maybin (http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/players/profile?playerId=12456) ('09, RD1) to switch to OLB.
GSAA: 0.69*
http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/insider/news/story?id=5114845