There is some noise about how may QB's may go in round 1.
By my estimation, that number should only be 2.
However, I'm hearing numbers like 5 or even 6. Personally, I think that's nuts and don't see anymore than 3, or maybe 4.
But, If the number is 5 or 6 and the Bills hope to get one in the 2nd round, they may not address it early at all. Some of you may jump up and down with joy. But those of us who don't think Fitz is any better than average will feel like we will then go into the next year with QB as one of our top needs again. Because, we won't feel like the 6th or 7th best QB is much of a legit prospect as our long term answer. Obviously a player may over achieve, but it's far from likely. for those of us wanting the most legit answer this year, a QB at 3 makes sense. Because if you wait (under this scenario, you are way down on your list by your next pick).
And, if you think that player is going to go at 4, 5, 6, or 7 overall It's not a reach to take him at 3... that comment is based on where they will go, not where you think they should go. The league sets the value, not the scouts or fans.
If you think only 2 will go in the 1st, you could wait until the 2nd and have a decent selection of guys with a good chance to make it. The value at that point, if you skipped it round 1, is better where you get pick of the litter of your 3rd ranked guy. That said, the rankings of the top two could easily be the same which makes either Newton or Gabbert a viable option at 3.
One quick note:
If we don't add a legit prospect this year, Fitz will be our 2011 starter and will go into his FA year as our 2 year starter... Starting pay is between 7 and 10 mill per year for a QB. He should and will ask that. If we choose not to pay it, we have no starter in 2012, and go into next years draft with a monstrous and transparent need. And (using our plan for building our team) will end up with a rookie as our starting QB with no time to groom him from the bench.
We can talk trades for a legit QB but that just doesn't seem like a real option under the Nix regime.
By my estimation, that number should only be 2.
However, I'm hearing numbers like 5 or even 6. Personally, I think that's nuts and don't see anymore than 3, or maybe 4.
But, If the number is 5 or 6 and the Bills hope to get one in the 2nd round, they may not address it early at all. Some of you may jump up and down with joy. But those of us who don't think Fitz is any better than average will feel like we will then go into the next year with QB as one of our top needs again. Because, we won't feel like the 6th or 7th best QB is much of a legit prospect as our long term answer. Obviously a player may over achieve, but it's far from likely. for those of us wanting the most legit answer this year, a QB at 3 makes sense. Because if you wait (under this scenario, you are way down on your list by your next pick).
And, if you think that player is going to go at 4, 5, 6, or 7 overall It's not a reach to take him at 3... that comment is based on where they will go, not where you think they should go. The league sets the value, not the scouts or fans.
If you think only 2 will go in the 1st, you could wait until the 2nd and have a decent selection of guys with a good chance to make it. The value at that point, if you skipped it round 1, is better where you get pick of the litter of your 3rd ranked guy. That said, the rankings of the top two could easily be the same which makes either Newton or Gabbert a viable option at 3.
One quick note:
If we don't add a legit prospect this year, Fitz will be our 2011 starter and will go into his FA year as our 2 year starter... Starting pay is between 7 and 10 mill per year for a QB. He should and will ask that. If we choose not to pay it, we have no starter in 2012, and go into next years draft with a monstrous and transparent need. And (using our plan for building our team) will end up with a rookie as our starting QB with no time to groom him from the bench.
We can talk trades for a legit QB but that just doesn't seem like a real option under the Nix regime.
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