Just looking at the point spread Bills favored by 2. Who isn't going to take the jets with points. Most likely 70-80% of the money will be on the Jets, and you know what that means. Watch for those phantom holding and pass interference calls against the Jets. I can almost guarantee this one.
Point Spread = Good news
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Re: Point Spread = Good news
It started at 1.5, so it has not moved too much.
If anything it is low - home field is worth 3 points. So this is saying that on neutral site the Jets are a favorite. Most picks I have seen take the Bills. I would think the money is kind equal or else it would have moved more.Originally posted by mysticsotoLecter is right in everything he said.
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Re: Point Spread = Good news
Originally posted by TurfJust looking at the point spread Bills favored by 2. Who isn't going to take the jets with points. Most likely 70-80% of the money will be on the Jets, and you know what that means.
Let's take a look at your supposition that 70 percent of the money could be on the Jets. Suppose that you're a bookmaker looking for action on the Jets-Bills game. Now suppose that you take bets from 10 people, each of whom bets $1 against 1:1 odds. And suppose further that seven of those 10 people bet on the Jets while only three bet on the Bills. What happens if the Jets win? Well, you'd have to pay the Jets bettors a total of $7 while collecting only $3 from the disappointed Bills bettors. You know what that means? A $4 loss for your book.
Not smart, huh? Yeah, Vegas doesn't think so either. That's where the spread comes from. The spread is used to handicap the games and thus manipulate the amount of money placed on a particular team. If they didn't use the spread, who would bet on Miami in a game at Green Bay? No one. So when Vegas lists the line on Monday, it takes note of how much action comes in. If too many bets come in for one team, Vegas adjusts the spread to make betting for the other team more attractive. And Vegas will continue to adjust the spread throughout the week until the handle is evenly distributed among both teams.Last edited by Maybin's Revenge; 11-04-2011, 10:59 PM.
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Re: Point Spread = Good news
Originally posted by Maybin's RevengeYeah, it means you don't know what you're talking about. The house will NEVER allow 80 or even 70 percent of the money to be bet on one team. The house wants the amount of money bet on each team to be roughly equal, thereby safeguarding the house against a loss.
Let's take a look at your supposition that 70 percent of the money could be on the Jets. Suppose that you're a bookmaker looking for action on the Jets-Bills game. Now suppose that you take bets from 10 people, each of whom bets one dollar against 1:1 odds. And suppose further that seven of those 10 people bet on the Jets while only three bet on the Bills. What happens if the Jets win? Well, you'd have to pay the Jets bettors a total of $7 while collecting only $3 from the disappointed Bills bettors. You know what that means? A $4 loss for your book.
Not smart, huh? Yeah, Vegas doesn't think so either. That's where the spread comes from. The spread is used to handicap the games and thus manipulate the amount of money placed on a particular team. If they didn't use the spread, who would bet on Miami in a game at Green Bay? No one. So when Vegas lists the line on Monday, it takes note of how much action comes in. If too many bets come in for one team, Vegas adjusts the spread to make betting for the other team more attractive. And Vegas will continue to adjust the spread throughout the week until the handle is evenly distributed among both teams.
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Re: Point Spread = Good news
Originally posted by Maybin's RevengeIt's not a fact that Maybin has three sacks and three forced fumbles in four games?
Did I make that up?
Bills fans, get your cameras ready for Sunday; you're about to witness the man that's going to take down Bruce's record. Oh, and to top it off, Maybin will have about 200 forced fumbles at the end of his career.
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Originally posted by cocamideNope. Maybin is clearly one of the greatest players that has ever lived. Let's extrapolate these stats, since clearly these past four games, and not his previous two seasons, are indicitative of the type of player he is. Let's say he gets .75 sacks a game for the remainder of his career. He'll play for another 15 years at least because of what a freak of nature he is. With approximately 12 sacks in each of his next 15 seasons, and assuming he gets 12 this year, he'll wind up with about 192 sacks. He'll definitely have at least one season with 20 sacks, because he's just that good. This will give him 200 sacks. He'll most likely get 13 in one of those other seasons, thus giving him 201 sacks and just enough to beat the great Bruce Smith.
Bills fans, get your cameras ready for Sunday; you're about to witness the man that's going to take down Bruce's record. Oh, and to top it off, Maybin will have about 200 forced fumbles at the end of his career.
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Re: Point Spread = Good news
Originally posted by Maybin's RevengeYeah, it means you don't know what you're talking about. The house will NEVER allow 80 or even 70 percent of the money to be bet on one team. The house wants the amount of money bet on each team to be roughly equal, thereby safeguarding the house against a loss.
Let's take a look at your supposition that 70 percent of the money could be on the Jets. Suppose that you're a bookmaker looking for action on the Jets-Bills game. Now suppose that you take bets from 10 people, each of whom bets $1 against 1:1 odds. And suppose further that seven of those 10 people bet on the Jets while only three bet on the Bills. What happens if the Jets win? Well, you'd have to pay the Jets bettors a total of $7 while collecting only $3 from the disappointed Bills bettors. You know what that means? A $4 loss for your book.
Not smart, huh? Yeah, Vegas doesn't think so either. That's where the spread comes from. The spread is used to handicap the games and thus manipulate the amount of money placed on a particular team. If they didn't use the spread, who would bet on Miami in a game at Green Bay? No one. So when Vegas lists the line on Monday, it takes note of how much action comes in. If too many bets come in for one team, Vegas adjusts the spread to make betting for the other team more attractive. And Vegas will continue to adjust the spread throughout the week until the handle is evenly distributed among both teams.
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