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Intrigue will surround the Bills in the draft this year because we all know they will be drafting a QB, are likely to even start the rookie, and it's highly likely we will draft one early.
Will Geno Smith or Matt Barkley fall to us at 8? Will both?
Will Tyler Wilson be our choice at 8?
Will we move back up from the second round to draft Ryan Nassib? Do we need to?
Let's look at who needs QB's and who's picking in front of us:
KC- No, Alex Smith assured us they won't do it in round 1. Round 2 may still be possible.
Oakland- Maybe, but it really depends on what they do with Carson Palmer
Jaguars- Maybe, really depends on whether they will risk the egg on their face by giving up on Gabbert so early
Eagles- No, but apparently Chip Kelly may want a prospect to develop. I still think they won't draft a QB in the 1st.
Cards- Yes, I don't see the legit starter that makes them think they can just ignore it.
Browns- Maybe to yes, Another situation where they would be giving up on a guy they took early just a few years ago
Teams after us with QB needs:
Jets- They are in the market and it's the Jets who traded up for a one year college wonder in Sanchez. They will be drafting one.
So we have 5 teams in front of us who may be interested in round 1 (KC is out). 7 teams total that could take one before our 2nd round pick. One thing that's likely is that no team will take 2 in the first 2 rounds. So it may be 14 spots to watch but really it's 7 teams since no one will take 2. 7 is really the magic number.
To me, the Bills are probably thinking 4 prospects are worthy to be drafted by their 2nd rounder. Geno, Barkley, Wilson, and Nassib.
So 7 teams before our 2nd rounder and 4 players. It's possible that if we wait until our 2nd rounder all will be gone. But the odds aren't terrible.
But, if we want to take one at 8, we will are almost guaranteed to get one of the top 4. Unless all 5 teams take a QB which I think is highly unlikely to almost guaranteed not to happen.
I think the Bills will not move up from 8. They may move down but finding a willing partner may be tough. And the Jets need a QB as well and are right behind us.
My gut tells me this:
Geno Smith and Matt Barkley won't fall to 8. I think it's 50/50 on one of them being there and 50/50 on who. I think teams may like Barkley better as a pro-style passer. And if a team like the Cards thinks that way, Barkley may get drafted before Geno. The opposite is also true. Teams like the Eagles or Raiders may love Geno's athleticism and see that Geno is not a run first QB like but is patient enough in going through progressions as a passer. Barkley may fall to us.
Tyler Wilson will be there and may be the choice. I think that he will be there but we still may go another direction. And that if we don't take Wilson at 8 we will move down in the 1st or up from the 2nd for Nassib.
I think it's either Tyler Wilson at 8 or a move down or up into the later 1st for Nassib.
One of those 2 QB's will be our next QB.
Just my guess.
Will Geno Smith or Matt Barkley fall to us at 8? Will both?
Will Tyler Wilson be our choice at 8?
Will we move back up from the second round to draft Ryan Nassib? Do we need to?
Let's look at who needs QB's and who's picking in front of us:
KC- No, Alex Smith assured us they won't do it in round 1. Round 2 may still be possible.
Oakland- Maybe, but it really depends on what they do with Carson Palmer
Jaguars- Maybe, really depends on whether they will risk the egg on their face by giving up on Gabbert so early
Eagles- No, but apparently Chip Kelly may want a prospect to develop. I still think they won't draft a QB in the 1st.
Cards- Yes, I don't see the legit starter that makes them think they can just ignore it.
Browns- Maybe to yes, Another situation where they would be giving up on a guy they took early just a few years ago
Teams after us with QB needs:
Jets- They are in the market and it's the Jets who traded up for a one year college wonder in Sanchez. They will be drafting one.
So we have 5 teams in front of us who may be interested in round 1 (KC is out). 7 teams total that could take one before our 2nd round pick. One thing that's likely is that no team will take 2 in the first 2 rounds. So it may be 14 spots to watch but really it's 7 teams since no one will take 2. 7 is really the magic number.
To me, the Bills are probably thinking 4 prospects are worthy to be drafted by their 2nd rounder. Geno, Barkley, Wilson, and Nassib.
So 7 teams before our 2nd rounder and 4 players. It's possible that if we wait until our 2nd rounder all will be gone. But the odds aren't terrible.
But, if we want to take one at 8, we will are almost guaranteed to get one of the top 4. Unless all 5 teams take a QB which I think is highly unlikely to almost guaranteed not to happen.
I think the Bills will not move up from 8. They may move down but finding a willing partner may be tough. And the Jets need a QB as well and are right behind us.
My gut tells me this:
Geno Smith and Matt Barkley won't fall to 8. I think it's 50/50 on one of them being there and 50/50 on who. I think teams may like Barkley better as a pro-style passer. And if a team like the Cards thinks that way, Barkley may get drafted before Geno. The opposite is also true. Teams like the Eagles or Raiders may love Geno's athleticism and see that Geno is not a run first QB like but is patient enough in going through progressions as a passer. Barkley may fall to us.
Tyler Wilson will be there and may be the choice. I think that he will be there but we still may go another direction. And that if we don't take Wilson at 8 we will move down in the 1st or up from the 2nd for Nassib.
I think it's either Tyler Wilson at 8 or a move down or up into the later 1st for Nassib.
One of those 2 QB's will be our next QB.
Just my guess.
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