my feeling is this draft is going to be the rich getting richer. The weak teams who needed qb's are going to hesitate on taking a qb because they have a little stability on the cheap. maybe KC takes geno smith because he doesn't need to start and they can work on him for 2 years as a backup, etc. Reid isn't shy of having good qb's as backups.
But then from there, Raiders, Bills, Cards will all say, "listen we got a guy who can play QB, we want value of the BPA to fill other needs. Oh and we can get our guy in round 2"
Then its the teams who are traditionally pretty good with QB's or aging QB's that are going to stick it to the lower teams like the raiders, cards, bills and take their QB in Wilson, Nassib, Barkely in spots 15-32. And the gamble that the bad teams took that their guy would be there in round 2 will not necessarily be true.
Not all those guys have to go to teams in 15-32, but just having one QB go to a team you didn't see coming means that the raiders, cards, jets, bills might trade up to get back to get their guy. or the pickings will be slim in round 2 and guys like a landry jones or bray who should go in rounds 3-4 might squeak up into the second in a mass qb sale.
And this will keep the good teams stay good because the weak qb class won't have to start, will learn in a stable environment, and learn from good QB's. Meanwhile the bad teams will be trading picks to good teams, or taking a flyer ahead of other possible needs from guaranteed good players. They'll start their guy way before they should and won't have the depth to help the rookie QB out.
Of course, it could not happen like this at all. And you can rag on me all you want. but this is what my gut is saying. But if the bills get BPA (aka. not a qb in round 1) and get nassib/wilson/bray in round 2.....i'm going to be relieved and start buying into the fact that these next three years just might have a playoff appearance at the end of it.
But then from there, Raiders, Bills, Cards will all say, "listen we got a guy who can play QB, we want value of the BPA to fill other needs. Oh and we can get our guy in round 2"
Then its the teams who are traditionally pretty good with QB's or aging QB's that are going to stick it to the lower teams like the raiders, cards, bills and take their QB in Wilson, Nassib, Barkely in spots 15-32. And the gamble that the bad teams took that their guy would be there in round 2 will not necessarily be true.
Not all those guys have to go to teams in 15-32, but just having one QB go to a team you didn't see coming means that the raiders, cards, jets, bills might trade up to get back to get their guy. or the pickings will be slim in round 2 and guys like a landry jones or bray who should go in rounds 3-4 might squeak up into the second in a mass qb sale.
And this will keep the good teams stay good because the weak qb class won't have to start, will learn in a stable environment, and learn from good QB's. Meanwhile the bad teams will be trading picks to good teams, or taking a flyer ahead of other possible needs from guaranteed good players. They'll start their guy way before they should and won't have the depth to help the rookie QB out.
Of course, it could not happen like this at all. And you can rag on me all you want. but this is what my gut is saying. But if the bills get BPA (aka. not a qb in round 1) and get nassib/wilson/bray in round 2.....i'm going to be relieved and start buying into the fact that these next three years just might have a playoff appearance at the end of it.
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