• In 2012 Byrd was ranked #2 among safeties by Pro Football Focus, 2nd only to Eric Weddle.
• According to PFF, in 2012 Byrd was the #1 safety targeted while in primary coverage.
• Over the past year, Byrd has been the #1 most efficient tackler against the pass, and #3 best against the run.
• In 2011 Byrd had 3 INT - 2 of which he took back for touchdowns.
• According to PFF, in 2012 Byrd was the #1 safety targeted while in primary coverage.
• Over the past year, Byrd has been the #1 most efficient tackler against the pass, and #3 best against the run.
• In 2011 Byrd had 3 INT - 2 of which he took back for touchdowns.
Our results here show a pretty favorable position for Byrd in comparison to his colleagues statistically, with just slight underperforming numbers in tackles and catch percentage. Byrd stands out tremendously in terms of turnovers, setting himself way ahead of these variables both in forced fumbles and interceptions. This makes him a rare "looks great on paper" defensive back. Add in a more than comparable Opposing WR Catch %, and it's clear Byrd is deserved of a deal well within the confines of these variable safeties.
Length of the Contract
Looking at safety contracts in recent years the 5 year deal seems to be status quo. While Byrd is on the younger side of our variables, it's still safe to assume he'll garner the standard deal.
Value of the Contract
Our initial age-adjusted regression provided an average annual salary just north of $7.6M, a figure that would place him 5th highest on the average annual safety list. It's clear though with performance, durability, age and our statistical comparisons that Byrd certainly deserves a look at a maximum deal - either with Buffalo or on the free agent market. By factoring in our 18% Prime Percentage figure to our original base value we're able to output the following forecast:
Spotrac's Prediction: 5 years, $45,112,652
• Average annual salary: $9,022,530
• Guaranteed money: $19,669,116
Looking at safety contracts in recent years the 5 year deal seems to be status quo. While Byrd is on the younger side of our variables, it's still safe to assume he'll garner the standard deal.
Value of the Contract
Our initial age-adjusted regression provided an average annual salary just north of $7.6M, a figure that would place him 5th highest on the average annual safety list. It's clear though with performance, durability, age and our statistical comparisons that Byrd certainly deserves a look at a maximum deal - either with Buffalo or on the free agent market. By factoring in our 18% Prime Percentage figure to our original base value we're able to output the following forecast:
Spotrac's Prediction: 5 years, $45,112,652
• Average annual salary: $9,022,530
• Guaranteed money: $19,669,116
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