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Week 10, the model has KC winning 53% of the time by less than 1pt.
Bills chances to win division declined to 7% from last week (mainly due to the strength of Miami's win). Chances to make playoffs remained stable at 22% and winning a superbowl is <1% (which isn't really meaningful because only a few teams have higher than 4% chance)
As i usually state, i like his articles. His model is 94-39-1 in 9 weeks (without the spread). that's 70% accuracy and pretty good compared to the talking heads.