Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

[Skooby]

If you combine the odds of winning the right to draft first (20% + 13.5%), you have a 33.5% chance to draft at least 2nd. Those aren't terrible odds even if we finish second & could stay there, just to be clear. That's about 3 times more likely than the 3rd place finisher, obviously all based on having 2 generation players to be had. Pretty neat scenario actually.

http://www.mynhldraft.com/2015-draft/draft-lottery-odds/

[coastal]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

Dont start stupid

[JATMtheJATM]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

Last 14 Teams have a 100% chance of drafting mceichel. True story.

[YardRat]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

NHL and MLB would be a lot more popular if they ditched the antiquated idea of farm systems and adopted a more NFL-type approach to the draft. Go ahead and pick a guy, but either play him or cut him. Probably wouldn't be able to go full-blown, but including only the parent club and one minor league entity as 'the team' would work. And ditch the lottery, it's just a bad idea that lends itself to perceptions of rigging the game.

[Ginger Vitis]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

Incredibly Mitch is worse at Math than BillsImpossible lol

[JATMtheJATM]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

NHL and MLB would be a lot more popular if they ditched the antiquated idea of farm systems and adopted a more NFL-type approach to the draft. Go ahead and pick a guy, but either play him or cut him. Probably wouldn't be able to go full-blown, but including only the parent club and one minor league entity as 'the team' would work. And ditch the lottery, it's just a bad idea that lends itself to perceptions of rigging the game.

the development required for those sports is alot more steep and takes years.

plus, going to minor league games is fun as hell. in both baseball and hockey.

[Dude]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

I'm 5% impressed.

[Dr. Lecter]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

Gotta work 43% in this, so I'm 43% sure this thread is typical of the starter

[coastal]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

Blow me

[YardRat]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

the development required for those sports is alot more steep and takes years.

plus, going to minor league games is fun as hell. in both baseball and hockey.

Yeah, bull****...it's because they draft them younger, plain and simple, and stash them in the farm systems while they grow up.

I'm not advocating trashing minor league games completely, they can still exist, just in a manner where if a drafted player doesn't make the big league or immediate farm team, they are considered 'cut' and can sign with anybody they want. Kinda like the CFL, Arena League, etc.

[JATMtheJATM]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

Yeah, bull****...it's because they draft them younger, plain and simple, and stash them in the farm systems while they grow up.

I'm not advocating trashing minor league games completely, they can still exist, just in a manner where if a drafted player doesn't make the big league or immediate farm team, they are considered 'cut' and can sign with anybody they want. Kinda like the CFL, Arena League, etc.

No, it's that's exactly why they have farm systems. and it's not a troubled system.

[Downinfloflo]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

I got good news, You can save 100% on car insurance by not paying it, And the Rangers have a 16.4% chance to win he Cup.

And a 54.9% chance to win the presidents trophy..

[Skooby]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

Drunken math, LOL. Lets just finish last and be done with it.

[Dr. Lecter]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

Yeah, bull****...it's because they draft them younger, plain and simple, and stash them in the farm systems while they grow up.

I'm not advocating trashing minor league games completely, they can still exist, just in a manner where if a drafted player doesn't make the big league or immediate farm team, they are considered 'cut' and can sign with anybody they want. Kinda like the CFL, Arena League, etc.

NFL rosters are also 53 players

[YardRat]

Re: Last 2 teams have a 33.50% chance of drafting #1 in 2015

No, it's that's exactly why they have farm systems. and it's not a troubled system.

I'm not saying it's troubled, it's a reason they aren't as popular as the NFL.