For the BPA draft mindset

[YardRat]

Based on CBS Sportsline's 'big board' here is a list of potential draft picks for Buffalo going strictly by 'best player available' at their current spots for selections. The bolded are what the picks would be if the Bills war room board mirrored this list, but I'm going to extend the BPA premise a little bit and assume for discussion sake that the team has 5 players scored the same (equal draft value) at each pick. Also assumed is that players slotted prior to Buffalo's picks have come off the board and already been selected...

#50-
Danielle Hunter, DE, LSU
Nate Orchard, DE, Utah
Carl Davis, DT, Iowa
Laken Tomlinson, OG, Duke
Jalen Collins, CB, LSU

#81-
Phillip Dorsett, WR, Miami
Trey Flowers, DE, Arkansas
Arie Kouandijo, OG, Bama
Tre McBride, WR, W & M
Grady Jarrett, DT, Clemson

#155-
Justin Cox, CB, Miss St
Darren Waller, WR, Ga Tech
Jalston Fowler, FB, Bama
Geneo Grissom, OLB, Okla
Lorenzo Doss, CB, Tulane

#187-
Justin Manton, K, La-Monroe
Austin Hill, WR, Ariz
Quandre Diggs, CB, Texas
Wes Saxton, TE, S.Ala
Terry Poole, OT, SD St

#193-
Erick Dargan, SS, Oregon
Stefan Diggs, WR, Mary
Xzavier Dickson, OLB, Bama
Hayes Pullard, ILB, USC
Nick Boyle, TE, Delaware

#234-
Edmond Robinson, OLB, Newberry
Cam Thomas, CB, W.Kent
Laurence Gibson, OT, VTech
Jamarcus Nelson, WR, UAB
Cody Fajardo, QB, Nevada

Happy with that draft? Substitute someone, somewhere, within the five listed for each pick? Go off the board and take somebody ranked lower?

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/prospectrankings/2015/all

[sudzy]

Kicker??? No F...ing way.
I like Tomlinson at #50. QB at #81 Greyson, Hundley or Petty
BPA No Kickers

[tomz]

[QUOTE=YardRat;4081589]

#50-
Danielle Hunter, DE, LSU
Nate Orchard, DE, Utah
Carl Davis, DT, Iowa
Laken Tomlinson, OG, Duke
Jalen Collins, CB, LSU

#81-
Phillip Dorsett, WR, Miami
Trey Flowers, DE, Arkansas
Arie Kouandijo, OG, Bama
Tre McBride, WR, W & M
Grady Jarrett, DT, Clemson
------------

Those highlighted at #50 are all interesting to me. Wasn't Orchard a major handful as an edge rusher at the Senior Bowl? I recall reports that Davis was also very tough to handle. And of course the power guard.

Dorsett is Roscoe Parrish 2.0.

Beyond that, who the hell knows.

[YardRat]

Kicker??? No F...ing way.
I like Tomlinson at #50. QB at #81 Greyson, Hundley or Petty
BPA No Kickers

Yeah, I know, but for the sake of accuracy I had to use him.

[YardRat]

Same thing, using drafttek's big board...

#50-
Xavier Cooper, DE, Wash St
Nate Orchard, DE, Utah
Clive Walford, TE, Miami
Breshad Perriman, WR, C.Fla
Laken Tomlinson, OG, Duke

#81-
Jeremy Langford, RB, Mich St
Hroniss Grasu, C, Oregon
Kwon Alexander, OLB, LSU
Tre Jackson, OG Fla St
Travis Raciti, DE, SJ St

#155-
Robert Myers, OG, Tenn St
Lorenzo Doss, CB, Tulane
Ben Koyack, TE, ND
BJ Catalon, RB, TCU
Dezmon Lewis, WR, Cent Ark

#187-
Jeff Heuermann, TE, Ohio St
Max Garcia, OC, Florida
Austin Hill, WR, Ariz
Zach Vigil, ILB, Utah St
Clayton Geathers, SS, Cent Fla

#193-
Derrick Lott, DT, Chatt
Jesse James, TE, Penn St
Ben Beckwith, OG, Miss St
Chris Conley, WR, Georgia
Sean Mannion, QB, Oregon St

#234-
Kyle Loomis, P, Port St
Thomas Rawls, RB, Cent Mich
JaCorey Shepherd, CB, Kansas
Conner Halliday, QB, Wash St
Zach Wagenmann, OLB, Montana

http://www.drafttek.com/Top-100-NFL-Draft-Prospects-2015.asp

[Mace]

Yeah, I know, but for the sake of accuracy I had to use him.

Any time kickers and punters get in there it rattles me.

Besides that, not having a clue with what they'll do this draft, nothing much will get me crazy upset this draft.

[psubills62]

Arie Kouandjio, OG, Bama

Who wouldn't want another Kouandjio on the team?

[jimmifli]

I think most boards give scores or tiers rather than just a ranked list. So BPA is really a choice that means all these players have about the same value. So there isn't really a need to take a kicker just to satisfy BPA.

[YardRat]

I think most boards give scores or tiers rather than just a ranked list. So BPA is really a choice that means all these players have about the same value. So there isn't really a need to take a kicker just to satisfy BPA.

That's why I grouped them.

[The Jokeman]

Same thing, using drafttek's big board...



http://www.drafttek.com/Top-100-NFL-Draft-Prospects-2015.asp
I like this group more than the first.

[swiper]

Arie Kouandjio, OG, Bama

Who wouldn't want another Kouandjio on the team?

Can't one suck bad enough for two of them?

[Night Train]

Reagrdless of what they say, teams rank need first and pick the best from the group...unless the group as a whole is poor (see QB).

Would be very surprised if 1 of our 2 picks on Friday wasn't an OL. I expect at least 2 by the end of the draft.

[Buddo]

Tbh, I think you need to do more of a 'spread' for the values. Chances are there are going to be a couple of guys before the #50 pick, who aren't taken, so limiting the 'choice' to 50 and below, in whichever set of rankings you want to use, seems to me to be likely to miss out on a couple of options. Same for other rounds, but you could possibly have a slightly larger 'spread' for those, due to more guys being taken who aren't ranked where expected.

I do think that it's a more interesting exercise this year, than in years past, as the Bills really don't have too many holes to fill, and are much more likely to be 'BPA' on a simple talent basis, than in years past, where 'need' would factor in much more heavily.

[DraftBoy]

Based on CBS Sportsline's 'big board' here is a list of potential draft picks for Buffalo going strictly by 'best player available' at their current spots for selections. The bolded are what the picks would be if the Bills war room board mirrored this list, but I'm going to extend the BPA premise a little bit and assume for discussion sake that the team has 5 players scored the same (equal draft value) at each pick. Also assumed is that players slotted prior to Buffalo's picks have come off the board and already been selected...

#50-
Danielle Hunter, DE, LSU
Nate Orchard, DE, Utah
Carl Davis, DT, Iowa
Laken Tomlinson, OG, Duke
Jalen Collins, CB, LSU

#81-
Phillip Dorsett, WR, Miami
Trey Flowers, DE, Arkansas
Arie Kouandijo, OG, Bama
Tre McBride, WR, W & M
Grady Jarrett, DT, Clemson

#155-
Justin Cox, CB, Miss St
Darren Waller, WR, Ga Tech
Jalston Fowler, FB, Bama
Geneo Grissom, OLB, Okla
Lorenzo Doss, CB, Tulane

#187-
Justin Manton, K, La-Monroe
Austin Hill, WR, Ariz
Quandre Diggs, CB, Texas
Wes Saxton, TE, S.Ala
Terry Poole, OT, SD St

#193-
Erick Dargan, SS, Oregon
Stefan Diggs, WR, Mary
Xzavier Dickson, OLB, Bama
Hayes Pullard, ILB, USC
Nick Boyle, TE, Delaware

#234-
Edmond Robinson, OLB, Newberry
Cam Thomas, CB, W.Kent
Laurence Gibson, OT, VTech
Jamarcus Nelson, WR, UAB
Cody Fajardo, QB, Nevada

Happy with that draft? Substitute someone, somewhere, within the five listed for each pick? Go off the board and take somebody ranked lower?

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/prospectrankings/2015/all

Gimme...

OLB Danielle Hunter LSU
OG Arie Kouandijo Alabama
CB Justin Cox Miss St
WR Austin Hill Airzona
SS Erick Dargan Oregon
OT Laurence Gibson Va Tech

[DraftBoy]

Same thing, using drafttek's big board...

#50-
Xavier Cooper, DE, Wash St
Nate Orchard, DE, Utah
Clive Walford, TE, Miami
Breshad Perriman, WR, C.Fla
Laken Tomlinson, OG, Duke

#81-
Jeremy Langford, RB, Mich St
Hroniss Grasu, C, Oregon
Kwon Alexander, OLB, LSU
Tre Jackson, OG Fla St
Travis Raciti, DE, SJ St

#155-
Robert Myers, OG, Tenn St
Lorenzo Doss, CB, Tulane
Ben Koyack, TE, ND
BJ Catalon, RB, TCU
Dezmon Lewis, WR, Cent Ark

#187-
Jeff Heuermann, TE, Ohio St
Max Garcia, OC, Florida
Austin Hill, WR, Ariz
Zach Vigil, ILB, Utah St
Clayton Geathers, SS, Cent Fla

#193-
Derrick Lott, DT, Chatt
Jesse James, TE, Penn St
Ben Beckwith, OG, Miss St
Chris Conley, WR, Georgia
Sean Mannion, QB, Oregon St

#234-
Kyle Loomis, P, Port St
Thomas Rawls, RB, Cent Mich
JaCorey Shepherd, CB, Kansas
Conner Halliday, QB, Wash St
Zach Wagenmann, OLB, Montana

http://www.drafttek.com/Top-100-NFL-Draft-Prospects-2015.asp

Gimme...

Nate Orchard DE Washington St
Tre Jackson OG FSU
Lorenzo Doss CB Tulane
Jeff Heuermann TE Ohio State
Chris Conley WR UGA
Conner Halliday QB Wash St

[YardRat]

Tbh, I think you need to do more of a 'spread' for the values. Chances are there are going to be a couple of guys before the #50 pick, who aren't taken, so limiting the 'choice' to 50 and below, in whichever set of rankings you want to use, seems to me to be likely to miss out on a couple of options. Same for other rounds, but you could possibly have a slightly larger 'spread' for those, due to more guys being taken who aren't ranked where expected.

I do think that it's a more interesting exercise this year, than in years past, as the Bills really don't have too many holes to fill, and are much more likely to be 'BPA' on a simple talent basis, than in years past, where 'need' would factor in much more heavily.

Truth, but it's impossible to try and guess what guys are going to drop, who's going to jump up, and especially how any of the 32 teams actually have their boards set up. I thought about expanding the lists as the rounds went deeper, but eschewed the idea in favor of a little bit of brevity. Hell, realistically once you get beyond the first round or 40 or so picks guys start popping up all over the place.