Bills Are 6.5 Point Underdogs Against Kansas City

[BillsImpossible]

http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_point_spreads.shtml

The line opened at 3.5.

[YardRat]

Uh-oh...sucker bet.

[Scumbag College]

Wow, that's pretty lopsided for a betting line to move like that. Probably a short week with questions about Tyrod's shoulder have something to do with it. Also, KC's D has been playing lights out the past two weeks, albeit it was against a hurt Peyton and a SD OL and WR corps decimated by injuries.

If I still bet on football, I would consider putting a large chunk on the Bills getting 6.5 and the under in this one.

[Novacane]

KC will win by 6. Vegas wins, Bills lose. Everyone's happy but us.

[BuffaloRedleg]

Wow lose to the Pats and all of a sudden you're chopped liver. Not saying the Bills are a lock or anything, but this is a classic case of people over-reacting to a loss on national TV. Bet the Bills to cover for sure.

[BertSquirtgum]

They should be. The Bills don't have a quarterback on the roster that can win them more than seven games this year.

[DynaPaul]

KC will win by 6. Vegas wins, Bills lose. Everyone's happy but us.

The Cheaters won by 7 last week on a 7.5 point spread. Vegas wins again.

[SpikedLemonade]

This is the season for the Bills.

I am not feeling good about this game.

[Victor7]

Road game vs a red hot team ?? Can't blame the gamblers for taking the Chiefs

[Uncle Jesse]

No Mario, no John Miller. Kyle Williams done for the year....not good.

[Forward_Lateral]

Bills 42
Chefs 3

[Frenchman]

Hey it seems that people thrive as underdogs! Go Bills!

[feldspar]

Vegas will create spreads they think they can make money on. Nothing else...that is their goal. The ONLY goal.

[swiper]

KC has the #6 overall defense in the league.

[swiper]

No Mario, no John Miller. Kyle Williams done for the year....not good.

At first glance that's hard to argue with. But they didn't have K Williams at all or John Miller for most of the Patriots game and it didn't seem to matter. And many here would argue that Mario Williams worth is over-valued. I used to believe the argument that MW's value shouldn't be based on his sack stats alone. But IDK any more. He doesn't seem to be contributing too much this season.

Schwartz just got so much more out of these players. The two corners are the only real improvement to the 2015 defense over the 2014 I see.

[swiper]

Vegas will create spreads they think they can make money on. Nothing else...that is their goal. The ONLY goal.

That's why I don't bet. Doesn't matter how smart you think you are, the system is rigged against you - to one degree or another. I'd like to hold on to my money.

[swiper]

KC has a better defense, QB, pretty much everything outside of, perhaps, their RB. Playing at home. Line seems right.

[Mike]

Vegas will create spreads they think they can make money on. Nothing else...that is their goal. The ONLY goal.

Clearly you have no idea how sports gambling works.
It's not Vegas who sets the line

[Mike]

That's why I don't bet. Doesn't matter how smart you think you are, the system is rigged against you - to one degree or another. I'd like to hold on to my money.

There was a 60 Minute special not too long ago about a Sports Gambler that was making millions doing it. Guy was worth nearly 100M for sports bets. As you would imagine he had a team of statisticians and runners working for him.

Sports Betting is structured like Poker. Vegas doesn't know whose gonna win anymore than you do. They make their money on the 'juice or vig'. Your really playing against every other sport gambler. Questions is, 'Can you outsmart the average Sports Gambler Consistanlty?'

[swiper]

You must gamble. Because that all sounds like someone justifying a bad habit.

[Mike]

You must gamble. Because that all sounds like someone justifying a bad habit.

Actually, I'm not a gambler at all. Generally, I stay away from zero sum games and prefer investing in things that can scale. That being said, knowing how something works is a positive.

Poker, Daily Fantasy Sports, & Sportsbook all have about the same odds and REALLY favor a certain type of temperament. Great Poker players for instance tend to kill it in Daily Leagues. It's a similar skill set.