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Skooby
10-25-2017, 05:30 AM
Pretty neat:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html (https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html#buf-oak-8=win&nyj-buf-9=loss&buf-no-10=win&lac-buf-11=loss&kc-buf-12=win&buf-ne-13=loss&buf-ind-14=win&buf-mia-15=win&ne-buf-16=win&mia-buf-17=win)
bdutton
10-25-2017, 09:51 AM
Interesting. The Chargers game may be the most important on the schedule. We lose, we have 33% chance. We win, it goes up to 67%.
Thurmal
10-25-2017, 10:21 AM
Very cool. I played around with this thing a little bit, and one thing is pretty clear -- if they don't win the next two games against OAK and NYJ, then they pretty much have to find a way to split with NE.
Bill Cody
10-25-2017, 11:38 AM
Bills Mafia is simulating breaking tables, shooting beers, setting themselves on fire just in case we get in. Oh wait...
Homegrown
10-25-2017, 03:06 PM
pfft .... brought to you by the Failing New York Times
Skooby
10-25-2017, 03:16 PM
Interesting. The Chargers game may be the most important on the schedule. We lose, we have 33% chance. We win, it goes up to 67%.

Wow, huge leap there.
golfball323
10-25-2017, 03:39 PM
I get a sinking feeling looking at the rest of our schedule.

So many tough AFC games to be played...
Skooby
10-25-2017, 03:44 PM
I get a sinking feeling looking at the rest of our schedule.

So many tough AFC games to be played...

They might look at us the same way.
Chet
10-25-2017, 03:48 PM
I crunched some numbers that included a "historical" metric, and found our playoff chances to be 2%
Skooby
10-25-2017, 05:12 PM
I crunched some numbers that included a "historical" metric, and found our playoff chances to be 2%
Change happens, just my $.02.
YardRat
10-25-2017, 06:06 PM
I plugged in every game except the last one as a win and our chances were 99%. The remaining 1% on the final week is known as 'The Op Factor'.
Skooby
10-25-2017, 07:00 PM
I plugged in every game except the last one as a win and our chances were 99%. The remaining 1% on the final week is known as 'The Op Factor'.
I’ll be there and enjoying New Years that night.
Skooby
10-30-2017, 01:15 AM
Pretty neat:
(https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html#buf-oak-8=win&nyj-buf-9=loss&buf-no-10=win&lac-buf-11=loss&kc-buf-12=win&buf-ne-13=loss&buf-ind-14=win&buf-mia-15=win&ne-buf-16=win&mia-buf-17=win)https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html
It got better with the victory over the Raiders & if we beat the Jets, it gets pretty likely we make it to the Play.....