Early line on Bills/Bengals

[BuffaloBlitz83]

Bills the 4.5 favorite. I expected it closer to pick em.

[kscdogbillsfan1221]

Bills the 4.5 favorite. I expected it closer to pick em.
Agreed
This surprises me

[helmetguy]

Bills the 4.5 favorite. I expected it closer to pick em.

I'd rather be the underdog. Seems like when we're favored, we get complacent. When we're favored by double digits, we get careless.

[BuffaloBlitz83]

I'd rather be the underdog. Seems like when we're favored, we get complacent. When we're favored by double digits, we get careless.

We have been the favorite in every game this season. Crazy stat

[Forward_Lateral]

It should be down to 3 by game time I'd imagine. A pick em game, and the home team usually gets a FG

[TacklingDummy]

Vegas is creaming their pants with all the people who are going to take the Bengals +3.5, +4.5.

Any see that person who bet $1.4 million the Chargers were going to win the game when they were up 27-0? He would have only won $11,000.

[Woodman]

Vegas is creaming their pants with all the people who are going to take the Bengals +3.5, +4.5.

Any see that person who bet $1.4 million the Chargers were going to win the game when they were up 27-0? He would have only won $11,000.

Holy crap gotta be crazy.

[Lone Stranger]

With that particular point spread one might think the experts are not so displeased with the Bills performance.

[YardRat]

We have been the favorite in every game this season. Crazy stat

They are 8-9 against the spread including yesterday. Which means they fail to meet expectations more times than not.

[Woodman]

They are 8-9 against the spread including yesterday. Which means they fail to meet expectations more times than not.
8-9 ATS interesting.

14-3 in the actual outcomes ........ I'm good with that.

[Chet]

Soon to be 8-10 ATS.

[TigerJ]

Cincinnati may be missing three of their five starting offensive linemen. That may have something to do with the line. Cincinnati is a tough opponent for the Bills but the injuries on their Oline gives Buffalo something they need to exploit.

[Turf]

Sounds like people will be jumping on Cincy with the points. Bodes well for us.

[BuffaloBlitz83]

8-9 ATS interesting.

14-3 in the actual outcomes ........ I'm good with that.

Bills lines are very much inflated all year due to being heavy public favorites

[Woodman]

Bills lines are very much inflated all year due to being heavy public favorites
absolutely.

[BuffaloBlitz83]

absolutely.

I believe I read the chiefs are like 7-10 ats

Inflated

[Woodman]

I believe I read the chiefs are like 7-10 ats

Inflated
I read the same thing.

[TacklingDummy]

Im taking the Jags + whatever and the Bills - whatever.

[BuffaloBlitz83]

Im taking the Jags + whatever and the Bills - whatever.

I'm on eagles too. Giants off an over achievement win now play a strong D in the cesspool

[notacon]

They are 8-9 against the spread including yesterday. Which means they fail to meet expectations more times than not.

What a rather meaningless stat.

This site (https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/trends/ats_trends/) has the Bills at .500 ATS.

Interestingly, KC is near the bottom at .375.

So what????....it means nothing.

If the Bills beat Cincy by 3 points.....they go on to the AFC Championship game, but Cincy will pad their ATS record!! BFD!!! :rolleyes:

I’d be very happy with that result.

[OpIv37]

What a rather meaningless stat.

This site (https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/trends/ats_trends/) has the Bills at .500 ATS.

Interestingly, KC is near the bottom at .375.

So what????....it means nothing.

If the Bills beat Cincy by 3 points.....they go on to the AFC Championship game, but Cincy will pad their ATS record!! BFD!!! :rolleyes:

I’d be very happy with that result.

Well, the stat does mean one thing: the oddsmakers are giving us a little too much credit.

[notacon]

Well, the stat does mean one thing: the oddsmakers are giving us a little too much credit.

The oddsmakers only care about setting the line to ensure money being put on both sides of the spread to minimize their risk.

I could not care any less.

This season, the Bills were favored in every game. They only lost three game (exactly like I predicted) which means they had an .824 record.

Your college football bias is rearing its head again, where style points DO matter in the rankings. Not so in the NFL.

If the Bills (or any other team) went 20-0 for the season but 0-20 against the spread, does that change anything??? Of course not.

The Bills are favored in the Cincy game. Do I care if they win by one or fifty???? What do you think???

You are obsessing about the wrong stuff....the irrelevant stuff....the fluffy stuff....the distracting stuff.

[notacon]

Almost forgot. In the playoffs Miami is 1-0 vs the spread. The Bills are 0-1.

Which team is cleaning out their lockers and which is playing next week???

Baltimore is 1-0 vs the spread. Cincy is 0-1.

Which team is cleaning out their lockers and which is playing next week???

The only people that give a flying **** about the point spread are the suckers that bet money on it.

[YardRat]

What a rather meaningless stat.

This site (https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/trends/ats_trends/) has the Bills at .500 ATS.

Interestingly, KC is near the bottom at .375.

So what????....it means nothing.

If the Bills beat Cincy by 3 points.....they go on to the AFC Championship game, but Cincy will pad their ATS record!! BFD!!! :rolleyes:

I’d be very happy with that result.

This is a thread about the point spread.

Try and keep up.

[POTLAND PSILBYLO]

They are 8-9 against the spread including yesterday. Which means they fail to meet expectations more times than not.

Chalk that up to winning close games

[notacon]

This is a thread about the point spread.

Try and keep up.

Jesus. YOU were the one that brought up the Bills record vs the point spread. And my post (responding to yours) was about the point spread. What are you whining about?????

Of course, the Bills record vs the point spread (that YOU brought up) is irrelevant. Certainly irrelevant to any team's ability to win actual games. Which the Bills have 14 times so far this season.

Just like the point spread for the upcoming game is irrelevant. Again, what are you whining about???

[YardRat]

Jesus. YOU were the one that brought up the Bills record vs the point spread. And my post (responding to yours) was about the point spread. What are you whining about?????

Of course, the Bills record vs the point spread (that YOU brought up) is irrelevant. Certainly irrelevant to any team's ability to win actual games. Which the Bills have 14 times so far this season.

Just like the point spread for the upcoming game is irrelevant. Again, what are you whining about???

It's relevant to the subject of the thread.

Try and keep up.

[notacon]

It's relevant to the subject of the thread.

Try and keep up.

What?!?!? Your tap dancing is silly and childish. Jeez.


I repeat....YOU were the one that brought up the Bills record vs the point spread. And my post (responding to yours) was about the point spread. What are you whining about?????

What pointless nonsense.

[YardRat]

What?!?!? Your tap dancing is silly and childish. Jeez.


I repeat....YOU were the one that brought up the Bills record vs the point spread. And my post (responding to yours) was about the point spread. What are you whining about?????

What pointless nonsense.

Your first four posts are about how irrelevant and meaningless records against the point spread are in a thread where the subject is point spread.

[Woodman]

Chalk that up to winning close games

Are you sure :D

[Woodman]

What a rather meaningless stat.

This site (https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/trends/ats_trends/) has the Bills at .500 ATS.

Interestingly, KC is near the bottom at .375.

So what????....it means nothing.

If the Bills beat Cincy by 3 points.....they go on to the AFC Championship game, but Cincy will pad their ATS record!! BFD!!! :rolleyes:

I’d be very happy with that result.

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Was this you when proven to be correct??

[BuffaloBlitz83]

Great take. All the sharps on buffalo and Joe's like op on bengals.

https://youtu.be/3C2aGZisPWw

[Woodman]

Interesting and spot on ..... if you're a gambler.

We should destroy the Bengals OL period.

[BuffaloBlitz83]

66% bets on bengals line increased to 5.5 now. It was 3.5 at one point. Books trying to get this to 75% bets on Cincinnati.

[THE END OF ALL DAYS]

I don't understand gambling. Nor the metrics of manipulating where the money is bet. Don't get it/don't care.

[Night Train]

Weather forecast - Light snow, maybe an inch and temps in the mid 30's F for the game.

[TacklingDummy]

66% bets on bengals line increased to 5.5 now. It was 3.5 at one point. Books trying to get this to 75% bets on Cincinnati.
Bills haven't beat anyone by double digits lately. It's coming this Sunday. Suckers are taking the Bengals with the points.

[Chet]

Bills haven't beat anyone by double digits lately. It's coming this Sunday. Suckers are taking the Bengals with the points.
Maybe it’s the moonshine talking or my general mental deterioration, but I think Buffalo covers too

[BuffaloBlitz83]

Bills haven't beat anyone by double digits lately. It's coming this Sunday. Suckers are taking the Bengals with the points.

All the sharps are on Buffalo

[BuffaloBlitz83]

Line moved to 6. All that wise guy money on bills

[Lexwhat]

Bills haven't beat anyone by double digits lately. It's coming this Sunday. Suckers are taking the Bengals with the points.

I rarely bet or gamble (maybe $250 a year max), but I just put $50 on the Bengals to win straight up.

Can't wait to throw my money away.

[Novacane]

Great take. All the sharps on buffalo and Joe's like op on bengals.

https://youtu.be/3C2aGZisPWw

That was interesting! Public money was on KC and NY today. Big money was on Jacksonville and closely split on the night game but slightly favoring Philly.

Bodes well for tomorrow. Big money seems to know things we don't.

[Novacane]

That was funny when Colin explains why he's taking Cincinnati and the points. The guy tells him all the wise guys are on the Bills. "OK, I'm taking buffalo to cover". What a man of conviction!

[BuffaloBlitz83]

That was funny when Colin explains why he's taking Cincinnati and the points. The guy tells him all the wise guys are on the Bills. "OK, I'm taking buffalo to cover". What a man of conviction!

Colin is a punk. Last year he was riding Allen’s jock this year he turned on him and sucks Up to burrow.

[notacon]

Colin is a punk. Last year he was riding Allen’s jock this year he turned on him and sucks Up to burrow.
I stopped listening to CC many years ago. He tries too hard for the controversial take, which makes him sound like a shrill whiner.

He shows up in my Apple New Feed from time to time, and he is a Bills basher. **** him!!