Super Bowl pick? Recent trend says AFC again, and it'll be Miami

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  • ajsdx
    Registered User
    • Aug 2003
    • 1436

    Super Bowl pick? Recent trend says AFC again, and it'll be Miami

    The 2004 season is less than four months away, but if you want to get a jump on the Super Bowl favorite, look no further than these eight teams: Tennessee, Indianapolis, Miami, New England, Baltimore, Oakland, Denver and Pittsburgh.

    ...

    • Dolphins -- Forget a quarterback controversy; Jay Fiedler is the best man for the job, but A.J. Feeley is a nice insurance policy for when Fiedler goes down. And he will go down. Fiedler has missed 13 games the past two seasons.

    Dolphins QBs
    Career Statistics
    Player G Comp. Att. Yards TD Int. Rating
    Feeley 7 96 168 1,154 8 6 79.3
    Fiedler 66 899 1,514 10,551 61 58 78.1



    Fiedler and Feeley's career numbers are comparable, both throwing a TD about every 22 attempts and a pick once every 27 attempts, and their passer ratings are similar. Familiarity with the Dolphins' system -- even under first-year offensive coordinator Chris Foerster -- should give Fiedler the edge coming out of training camp. After that, it's up to him to a) make the offense click and b) stay healthy.

    "Chris is going to do a great job for the Dolphins," Peyton Manning said. "When he was here in Indianapolis, I appreciated his input in our offense, and I know our tight ends, Marcus Pollard and Dallas Clark, did as well. He brings knowledge and passion to the game and will be a true asset in Miami."

    Miami's offense is in good shape (the cross-your-fingers O-line overhaul not withstanding), especially if David Boston escapes the funk he's been in the past two seasons. If the line holds up, Ricky Williams can be counted on for 1,800 yards -- or more. But the breakout performer may be tight end Randy McMichael, who doesn't get the hype of Jeremy Shockey, but is equally as talented.

    Defensively, time is growing short for linebackers Junior Seau and Zach Thomas, but ends Jason Taylor and Adewale Ogunleye are the best bookends on one team in the game. The departure of Brock Marion will shake up the defensive backfield, but the foursome of Sam Madison, Patrick Surtain, Arturo Freeman and Sammy Knight remains solid (and don't be surprised if rookie CB Will Poole doesn't make his presence felt early in the season).

    The Dolphins have 50 wins since 1999, third most in the AFC, but Miami is only 10-12 in the month of December. By comparison, the Patriots are 13-7 (8-0 in their Super Bowl-winning seasons), so winning down the stretch is something Dave Wannstedt must improve.

    Miami plays five games against 2003 playoff teams, but the schedule makers cut the Dolphins a two-fold break by having the team go to New England in October (Week 5), which is early enough in the season that weather shouldn't be a factor, but far enough into the year that the offense and newcomers should have a feel for the game plan.

    The toughest stretch of the season will be Weeks 11-17. After a bye in Week 10, Miami makes back-to-back trips to the left coast to play the Seahawks and Niners before playing host to the Bills, traveling to Denver, then hosting the Pats and Browns before wrapping up the regular season at Baltimore.

    If the Dolphins survive that stretch at no worse than 5-2, they should be in position to make the short run up I-95 to Jacksonville's ALLTEL Stadium, site of Super Bowl XXXIX -- and win the AFC's second consecutive title to keep the two-out-of-three streak alive.

  • B-DON
    hi
    • Mar 2004
    • 1985

    #2
    yeah right i will bet money they dont win the bowl let alone make it there

    Comment

    • Earthquake Enyart
      Legendary Zoner
      • Jul 2002
      • 27521

      #3
      Hope they put the fins on the cover.

      Comment

      • Aero II
        RWS Grounds Keeper. Why won't my grass grow?
        • Jul 2002
        • 1026

        #4
        Yah right. And Tampa was going to repeat too. :eyeroll:

        Comment

        • B-DON
          hi
          • Mar 2004
          • 1985

          #5
          i was thinking the samething.ROFL

          Comment

          • TigerJ
            Registered User
            • Jul 2002
            • 22575

            #6
            Now let me get this straight. If David Boston can stay out of a funk, and if the offensive line actually works, and if Randy McMichael has a breakout year, and if the linebackers don't hit the wall, and if the Dolphins can have a great stretch in the middle of the season, and if they can avoid their typical December swoon, they can go to the Super Bowl? I could add some more "ifs." If disgruntled DE Ogunleye doesn't manifest his disgruntlement either on the field or in the lockerroom, and if Dave Wannstedt proves he actually has what it takes to win, and if Foerster can really step in as OC and run an offence with which he has no first hand experience having never worked with Norv Turner, then the Dolphins might be something other than a late fading pretender.

            If every one of my stocks gains 10 times their present value, I can put my kids through college and have money left over for a big down payment on a house.

            I could create a similar scenario for the Bills, that IMHO has every bit as much chance as happening as the one concocted by Duane Cross. If Mularkey can resurrect Bledsoe's career as he has done to other QBs in the past, and if Travis Henry and Willis McGahee ca combi9ne to make a potent RB threat, and if Jim McNally, arguably the best O-line coach in the NFL, can take an athletic group of linemen and turn them into a productive line, and if Eric Moulds returns to his preinjury form, and if Lee Evans can have a reasonably productive rookie campaign, and it Tom Clements is the capable offensive coordinator that a lot of people think he is, and if Ryan Denney and Chris Kelsay justify the optimism placed in them by the coaching staff, and if Jerry Gray can be a great DC without Dick LeBeau looking over his shoulder, and if Buffalo can go 4-2 in the division, then Buffalo has a great chance to go to the Super Bowl. Hey, I like my chances!
            I've made up my mind. Don't confuse me with the facts.

            I'm the most reasonable poster here. If you don't agree, I'll be forced to have a hissy fit.

            Comment

            • Jan Reimers
              Thank You, Terry and Kim, for Saving the Bills. Now, Work on the Sabres.
              • May 2003
              • 17353

              #7
              Great post TigerJ. If ifs and buts were candy and nuts...
              Should have known, way back in 1960 when we drafted Richie Lucas Number 1, that this would be a long, hard ride. But who could have known it would be THIS bad?

              Comment

              • tampabay25690
                Registered User
                • Feb 2004
                • 9670

                #8
                Yea RIGHT........................With all the drama that is going on right now in Miami......I don't see it happeneing at all.....Ricky williams is blazing another fatty reading this post!!!!!!!!

                My pick is Philly to the Bowl!!
                GO Gators!!!!!!
                GO GATORS!!

                Comment

                • Goobylal
                  Registered User
                  • Jan 2004
                  • 19371

                  #9
                  B. Duane Cross isn't too bright, is he? However that's the nature of sportswriters: make a prediction, change it later-on, and don't be held accountable for it. I guess Miami can fight through their problems and do what they haven't done in the past with more talented/younger teams, but I wouldn't bet a plug nickel. I'll even go so far as to say they won't make the playoffs this year.

                  Comment

                  • tomdonahoe
                    Registered User
                    • May 2004
                    • 166

                    #10
                    WHAT??????????????? I just checked the calendar to make sure this wasn't the first of April. Now that I've picked myself off the floor...

                    All you have to say is that Miami has five folding chairs as an offensive line with Alfred E. Newman under center and Cheech Marin running the ball.

                    B. Duane Cross sounds like he should be commenting on local fishing or hunting rather than football.
                    Tommy D.
                    The Voice of Reason

                    Comment

                    • Samphin1
                      Registered User
                      • Mar 2004
                      • 1109

                      #11
                      Originally posted by tampabay25690
                      Yea RIGHT........................With all the drama that is going on right now in Miami......I don't see it happeneing at all.....Ricky williams is blazing another fatty reading this post!!!!!!!!

                      My pick is Philly to the Bowl!!
                      Ok, but the Eagles are in the NFC, Dolphins are in the AFC. See how that works? I think this article is like all the other ones that deal with power polls and predictions. It is worthless. Tiger J is right, a lot of ifs in there. I imagine some of them will happen but all of them is kind of stretchign it. It is nice to see some national media have faith in Miami as opposed to our own beat writers blasting us every chance they get. Again though, its May, people need to stop with the silly predictions.

                      Comment

                      • Goobylal
                        Registered User
                        • Jan 2004
                        • 19371

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Samphin1


                        Ok, but the Eagles are in the NFC, Dolphins are in the AFC. See how that works? I think this article is like all the other ones that deal with power polls and predictions. It is worthless. Tiger J is right, a lot of ifs in there. I imagine some of them will happen but all of them is kind of stretchign it. It is nice to see some national media have faith in Miami as opposed to our own beat writers blasting us every chance they get. Again though, its May, people need to stop with the silly predictions.
                        As I said, it's possible that Miami becomes a SB contender, but to predict that they'll win the SB at this point is ludicrous.

                        Comment

                        • ShadowHawk7
                          Ground your Jets Vilma, no way you're shooting this guy down.
                          • Mar 2003
                          • 2274

                          #13
                          Geez, how overrated can Ricky get?
                          "It's not whether you win or lose; it's how you play the game."
                          -Vince Lombardi

                          Comment

                          • tampabay25690
                            Registered User
                            • Feb 2004
                            • 9670

                            #14
                            Well in the AFC again I will say New England again!!!!!!!!!!
                            GO Gators!!!!!!
                            GO GATORS!!

                            Comment

                            • clumping platelets

                              #15
                              With their OL, they will be lucky to make the playoffs.

                              Comment

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