There are four teams ahead of Buffalo in the wild card race. They are the Jets, either the Broncos or Chargers, the Ravens and the Jaguars. Assuming Buffalo runs the table, this is what has to happen for Buffalo to squeek in:
The Jaguars are not a huge obstacle if Buffalo runs the table. They are a win and a tiebreaker ahead of Buffalo. I think they have two games left on the schedule they can't win; home versus Pittsburgh and at Green Bay.
Baltimore is two wins and a tiebreaker ahead of Buffalo. That means they have to lose three games for Buffalo to finish ahead of them. They have games against Indianpolis and Pittsburgh remaining. There is a good chance they'll lose both of those. We h ave to find one more loss for them. It won't be agains the Giants or in the last game of the season, at home versus. . Miami. The best chance is next week, at home against Cincinnati. That's asking quite a bit.
The Jets are three wins ahead of Buffalo. I think the second tiebreaker is division record. The Jets are just ahead of Buffalo there too. They have two losses just about guaranteed in games versus NE and Pittsburgh. The NE game also takes away the second tiebreaker from the Jets. The problem is The Jets also own the third tiebreaker. That will be a tough one to overcome, conference record. Top come out ahead of the Jets, The Jets have to lose two additional games. They are home against Houston and Seattle, and on the road against St. Louis. Hopefully, Seattle and St. Louis aren't as bad as they both looked against Buffalo. Houston is a plucky team but not all that good either.
Ideally, Oakland beats Denver tonight. That would leave them two games ahead of Buffalo. They play San Diego next week. A loss would drop them to one ahead of Buffalo. They have two aditional losable games, at KC and home to Indianopolis. An additional loss might be tough to come up with if Denver wins tonight. The only other games they have are home to Miami, and at Tennessee.
That's it. Odds are pretty long against everything falling into place even if Buffalo runs the table.
The Jaguars are not a huge obstacle if Buffalo runs the table. They are a win and a tiebreaker ahead of Buffalo. I think they have two games left on the schedule they can't win; home versus Pittsburgh and at Green Bay.
Baltimore is two wins and a tiebreaker ahead of Buffalo. That means they have to lose three games for Buffalo to finish ahead of them. They have games against Indianpolis and Pittsburgh remaining. There is a good chance they'll lose both of those. We h ave to find one more loss for them. It won't be agains the Giants or in the last game of the season, at home versus. . Miami. The best chance is next week, at home against Cincinnati. That's asking quite a bit.
The Jets are three wins ahead of Buffalo. I think the second tiebreaker is division record. The Jets are just ahead of Buffalo there too. They have two losses just about guaranteed in games versus NE and Pittsburgh. The NE game also takes away the second tiebreaker from the Jets. The problem is The Jets also own the third tiebreaker. That will be a tough one to overcome, conference record. Top come out ahead of the Jets, The Jets have to lose two additional games. They are home against Houston and Seattle, and on the road against St. Louis. Hopefully, Seattle and St. Louis aren't as bad as they both looked against Buffalo. Houston is a plucky team but not all that good either.
Ideally, Oakland beats Denver tonight. That would leave them two games ahead of Buffalo. They play San Diego next week. A loss would drop them to one ahead of Buffalo. They have two aditional losable games, at KC and home to Indianopolis. An additional loss might be tough to come up with if Denver wins tonight. The only other games they have are home to Miami, and at Tennessee.
That's it. Odds are pretty long against everything falling into place even if Buffalo runs the table.
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