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I know the playoff possibilities have been done already this week but I thought I would just simplify it as much as I could. This is what I figured out. If you find a mistake in my work just let me know.
We make the playoffs if,
1. Buffalo - We win all 5 remaining games.
2. NYJ – They lose to Pits, NE and either Stl or Sea
3. Baltimore – They lose to Indy, Pits and one of the following, Cin, NYG, Mia
4. Jacksonville – They lose to Pits and GB
5. Houston – They lose any game.
That doesn’t look so bad.
Breakdown,
1. Buffalo – We win all 5 games and finish 10-6. The win over Cincy means they can’t catch us.
2. NY Jets – If they lose to Pitts, NE and one of the NFC West teams they’ll finish at 10-6 and (3-3) which will tie us for the first 3 tie breakers. It will then go to common opponents and we’ll beat them 9-3 to 7-5. We’ll finish ahead of them based on that.
3. Baltimore – The toughest one. They have injury issues and should have no problem losing to Indy and Pitts, but Cin, NYG or Miami need to go to Baltimore and upset them which would put them at 9-7, one game behind us
4. Jacksonville – They need to finish the year 3-2, the tough games against Pitts and GB are big and should be tough for them
5. Houston should lose at least one game. They have Indy, J-ville and the Jets.
So what do we need this weekend. Well all 4 teams losing would be great but is not necessary.
The Jets and the Texans play each other. No matter what happens in this one, it will have some positive impact on our chances. But if the Texans beat the Jets, it’s much better for us in the long run. In my scenario, I’m giving this one to the Jets, so if they do end up losing and with Pits, NE, Stl and Sea over their last 4 weeks, things will be looking very good for us to pass them. (assuming we win out)
The Jags are playing Pittsburgh. This is a big one because in my scenario, I’m counting on the Steelers winning this game.
Baltimore plays Cincinnati in a very big game. This is one of the 3 teams that we need to upset the Ravens. If they can pull it out it’s very big for us.
Hope this helps.
We make the playoffs if,
1. Buffalo - We win all 5 remaining games.
2. NYJ – They lose to Pits, NE and either Stl or Sea
3. Baltimore – They lose to Indy, Pits and one of the following, Cin, NYG, Mia
4. Jacksonville – They lose to Pits and GB
5. Houston – They lose any game.
That doesn’t look so bad.
Breakdown,
1. Buffalo – We win all 5 games and finish 10-6. The win over Cincy means they can’t catch us.
2. NY Jets – If they lose to Pitts, NE and one of the NFC West teams they’ll finish at 10-6 and (3-3) which will tie us for the first 3 tie breakers. It will then go to common opponents and we’ll beat them 9-3 to 7-5. We’ll finish ahead of them based on that.
3. Baltimore – The toughest one. They have injury issues and should have no problem losing to Indy and Pitts, but Cin, NYG or Miami need to go to Baltimore and upset them which would put them at 9-7, one game behind us
4. Jacksonville – They need to finish the year 3-2, the tough games against Pitts and GB are big and should be tough for them
5. Houston should lose at least one game. They have Indy, J-ville and the Jets.
So what do we need this weekend. Well all 4 teams losing would be great but is not necessary.
The Jets and the Texans play each other. No matter what happens in this one, it will have some positive impact on our chances. But if the Texans beat the Jets, it’s much better for us in the long run. In my scenario, I’m giving this one to the Jets, so if they do end up losing and with Pits, NE, Stl and Sea over their last 4 weeks, things will be looking very good for us to pass them. (assuming we win out)
The Jags are playing Pittsburgh. This is a big one because in my scenario, I’m counting on the Steelers winning this game.
Baltimore plays Cincinnati in a very big game. This is one of the 3 teams that we need to upset the Ravens. If they can pull it out it’s very big for us.
Hope this helps.
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