Playoffs?

[Patrick76777]

Ok, before I even write this, I ask that you save all responses that have to do with me taking some sort of drug or living in some sort of fantasy world. I present this thread to simply inform you all of the facts. I fully understand that the chances of this team making the playoffs are slim and none. But we’ve all heard about being “mathematically alive”. So here are two of the more semi-realistic scenarios that would get us in.

1. Win the division.

What would it take?

Buffalo – SD win, at GB win, Cin win
NYJ – at Chi loss, at NE win, GB loss
NE – at Ten loss, NYJ loss, Mia, loss
Mia – Oak loss, at Min loss, at NE Win

Final standings
Buf 9-7
Mia 9-7
NE 8-8
NYJ 8-8

Problems: I don’t see us winning in GB and the SD game will also be tough. The Jets probably won’t lose in Chicago. That being said, I can see them beating NE and losing to GB. The Titan’s can beat the Pats at home, and the Jets and Phins will give them problems, but losing 3 in a row? I just don’t think so. I also don’t see Miami losing to the Vikes.

Chances: slim – We’d need a couple of breaks.

2. Wild Card

What would it take?

Buffalo – SD win, at GB win, Cin win finish 9-7
NE – at Ten win, NYJ win, Mia, win finish 11-5
Mia – Oak loss, at Min win, at NE loss finish 9-7
NYJ – at Chi win, at NE loss, GB loss finish 8-8
SD – at Buf Loss, at KC win, Sea loss finish 9-7
Den – KC Loss, At Oak Loss, Ari win finish 8-8
KC – at Den win, SD loss, at Oak loss finish 8-8
Cle – Ind loss, at Balt loss, Atl loss finish 7-9
Balt – At Hou win, Cle win, at Pit, loss finish 8-8

Assuming Tenn and Indy both get in, one as a division winner and one as the first wild card. 3 teams tie for the last Wild Card spot at 9-7. Buffalo, Miami and SD. Under NFL tiebreaking rules, in the event of a 3-way tie, any ties within the division are settled first. Since, we beat Miami twice, we would move to the next tiebreaker with SD. And in this scenario, we beat SD giving us the final spot. Meaning a road playoff game against either Indy or Tenn.

Problems: Although the list may seem daunting at first view, most of the outcomes are not unrealistic. The only major upsets would be Buf over GB, Sea over SD. However, the chances of all of these games ending in our favor are not good. Let me also say that a few of these games can be substituted for others, For example, if Denver can beat Oak but loses to Arizona, or Cleveland can win one of those games without making a difference. I just presented the most likely scenario.

Chances: Slightly higher then slim.


I still wouldn’t get my hopes up.

[The Natrix]

put down the crack pipe and turn off the sponge bob.

[The Natrix]

Re: Playoffs?

Originally posted by Patrick76777
chances of this team making the playoffs are slim and none.

Chances: slim – We’d need a couple of breaks.

Chances: Slightly higher then slim.

These results are too vague. I want percentages including all of the equations and work leading up to them

[Patrick76777]

Re: Playoffs?

Originally posted by Patrick76777
Ok, before I even write this, I ask that you save all responses that have to do with me taking some sort of drug or living in some sort of fantasy world. I present this thread to simply inform you all of the facts. I fully understand that the chances of this team making the playoffs are slim and none. But we’ve all heard about being “mathematically alive”. So here are two of the more semi-realistic scenarios that would get us in.

Now I have to quote myself

[The Natrix]

Originally posted by The Natrix
put down the crack pipe and turn off the sponge bob.

now I have to quote myself

[fabolouspaul]

Re: Playoffs?

Originally posted by Patrick76777
Ok, before I even write this, I ask that you save all responses that have to do with me taking some sort of drug or living in some sort of fantasy world. I present this thread to simply inform you all of the facts. I fully understand that the chances of this team making the playoffs are slim and none. But we’ve all heard about being “mathematically alive”. So here are two of the more semi-realistic scenarios that would get us in.

1. Win the division.

What would it take?

Buffalo – SD win, at GB win, Cin win
NYJ – at Chi loss, at NE win, GB loss
NE – at Ten loss, NYJ loss, Mia, loss
Mia – Oak loss, at Min loss, at NE Win

Final standings
Buf 9-7
Mia 9-7
NE 8-8
NYJ 8-8

Problems: I don’t see us winning in GB and the SD game will also be tough. The Jets probably won’t lose in Chicago. That being said, I can see them beating NE and losing to GB. The Titan’s can beat the Pats at home, and the Jets and Phins will give them problems, but losing 3 in a row? I just don’t think so. I also don’t see Miami losing to the Vikes.

Chances: slim – We’d need a couple of breaks.

2. Wild Card

What would it take?

Buffalo – SD win, at GB win, Cin win finish 9-7
NE – at Ten win, NYJ win, Mia, win finish 11-5
Mia – Oak loss, at Min win, at NE loss finish 9-7
NYJ – at Chi win, at NE loss, GB loss finish 8-8
SD – at Buf Loss, at KC win, Sea loss finish 9-7
Den – KC Loss, At Oak Loss, Ari win finish 8-8
KC – at Den win, SD loss, at Oak loss finish 8-8
Cle – Ind loss, at Balt loss, Atl loss finish 7-9
Balt – At Hou win, Cle win, at Pit, loss finish 8-8

Assuming Tenn and Indy both get in, one as a division winner and one as the first wild card. 3 teams tie for the last Wild Card spot at 9-7. Buffalo, Miami and SD. Under NFL tiebreaking rules, in the event of a 3-way tie, any ties within the division are settled first. Since, we beat Miami twice, we would move to the next tiebreaker with SD. And in this scenario, we beat SD giving us the final spot. Meaning a road playoff game against either Indy or Tenn.

Problems: Although the list may seem daunting at first view, most of the outcomes are not unrealistic. The only major upsets would be Buf over GB, Sea over SD. However, the chances of all of these games ending in our favor are not good. Let me also say that a few of these games can be substituted for others, For example, if Denver can beat Oak but loses to Arizona, or Cleveland can win one of those games without making a difference. I just presented the most likely scenario.

Chances: Slightly higher then slim.


I still wouldn’t get my hopes up.

Since there's 2 different scenarios, I have no idea who I should root for this weekend!

[fabolouspaul]

BTW, thanks for all of your info! Your work is appreciated.

[lordofgun]

Re: Playoffs?

Originally posted by Patrick76777
Ok, before I even write this, I ask that you save all responses that have to do with me taking some sort of drug or living in some sort of fantasy world. I present this thread to simply inform you all of the facts. I fully understand that the chances of this team making the playoffs are slim and none. But we’ve all heard about being “mathematically alive”. So here are two of the more semi-realistic scenarios that would get us in.

1. Win the division.

What would it take?

Buffalo – SD win, at GB win, Cin win
NYJ – at Chi loss, at NE win, GB loss
NE – at Ten loss, NYJ loss, Mia, loss
Mia – Oak loss, at Min loss, at NE Win

Final standings
Buf 9-7
Mia 9-7
NE 8-8
NYJ 8-8

Problems: I don’t see us winning in GB and the SD game will also be tough. The Jets probably won’t lose in Chicago. That being said, I can see them beating NE and losing to GB. The Titan’s can beat the Pats at home, and the Jets and Phins will give them problems, but losing 3 in a row? I just don’t think so. I also don’t see Miami losing to the Vikes.

Chances: slim – We’d need a couple of breaks.

2. Wild Card

What would it take?

Buffalo – SD win, at GB win, Cin win finish 9-7
NE – at Ten win, NYJ win, Mia, win finish 11-5
Mia – Oak loss, at Min win, at NE loss finish 9-7
NYJ – at Chi win, at NE loss, GB loss finish 8-8
SD – at Buf Loss, at KC win, Sea loss finish 9-7
Den – KC Loss, At Oak Loss, Ari win finish 8-8
KC – at Den win, SD loss, at Oak loss finish 8-8
Cle – Ind loss, at Balt loss, Atl loss finish 7-9
Balt – At Hou win, Cle win, at Pit, loss finish 8-8

Assuming Tenn and Indy both get in, one as a division winner and one as the first wild card. 3 teams tie for the last Wild Card spot at 9-7. Buffalo, Miami and SD. Under NFL tiebreaking rules, in the event of a 3-way tie, any ties within the division are settled first. Since, we beat Miami twice, we would move to the next tiebreaker with SD. And in this scenario, we beat SD giving us the final spot. Meaning a road playoff game against either Indy or Tenn.

Problems: Although the list may seem daunting at first view, most of the outcomes are not unrealistic. The only major upsets would be Buf over GB, Sea over SD. However, the chances of all of these games ending in our favor are not good. Let me also say that a few of these games can be substituted for others, For example, if Denver can beat Oak but loses to Arizona, or Cleveland can win one of those games without making a difference. I just presented the most likely scenario.

Chances: Slightly higher then slim.


I still wouldn’t get my hopes up.

Good Stuff bro!

I don't see it happening, but you never know.

[The Natrix]

Although I will be interested in seeing what happens over the next three games, I pretty much lost all hope after the the NE loss (2nd one). Not bad, considering many lost hope the week before. Even if we made it, the chances of going deep in the playoffs are just below the slimmest of slim. Getting to the playoffs isn't good enough. From here on out, it is SB win or bust. Hopefully it will happen while I'm still young

[The Natrix]

what has a better chance?

a. Bills win next three

b. Given Bills win next three, Bills make playoffs

[Earthquake Enyart]

Re: Re: Playoffs?

Originally posted by lordofgun


Good Stuff bro!

I don't see it happening, but you never know.

A few more mistakes and typos and you will be ready for the front page! :fartdie:

[Patrick76777]

I wouldn’t mind getting some stuff on the front page. Of course I’d have to write at home so I would have more time and my work would be more coherent. It’s tough to be eloquent when you’re posting at work.

[Phins054]

"Playoffs?!?...Playoffs??? Don't talk to me about playoffs...playoffs?!? I hope we can just win another game"

"We didn't do diddly poo..."

"We sucked, we couldn't run the ball. We couldn't throw the ball. We just sucked!"

The immortal words of the great Jim Mora.


BTW...Pat

Great job on the stats...Hopefully Miami wins out and gets the #1 seed and all of this is a moot point...

[WCoastFin]

Man, theres still playoff talk around here?...great work though gotta hand it to you....lets all root for Miami!

[TedMock]

Re: Playoffs?

Originally posted by Patrick76777
Ok, before I even write this, I ask that you save all responses that have to do with me taking some sort of drug or living in some sort of fantasy world. I present this thread to simply inform you all of the facts. I fully understand that the chances of this team making the playoffs are slim and none. But we’ve all heard about being “mathematically alive”. So here are two of the more semi-realistic scenarios that would get us in.

1. Win the division.

What would it take?

Buffalo – SD win, at GB win, Cin win
NYJ – at Chi loss, at NE win, GB loss
NE – at Ten loss, NYJ loss, Mia, loss
Mia – Oak loss, at Min loss, at NE Win

Final standings
Buf 9-7
Mia 9-7
NE 8-8
NYJ 8-8

Problems: I don’t see us winning in GB and the SD game will also be tough. The Jets probably won’t lose in Chicago. That being said, I can see them beating NE and losing to GB. The Titan’s can beat the Pats at home, and the Jets and Phins will give them problems, but losing 3 in a row? I just don’t think so. I also don’t see Miami losing to the Vikes.

Chances: slim – We’d need a couple of breaks.

2. Wild Card

What would it take?

Buffalo – SD win, at GB win, Cin win finish 9-7
NE – at Ten win, NYJ win, Mia, win finish 11-5
Mia – Oak loss, at Min win, at NE loss finish 9-7
NYJ – at Chi win, at NE loss, GB loss finish 8-8
SD – at Buf Loss, at KC win, Sea loss finish 9-7
Den – KC Loss, At Oak Loss, Ari win finish 8-8
KC – at Den win, SD loss, at Oak loss finish 8-8
Cle – Ind loss, at Balt loss, Atl loss finish 7-9
Balt – At Hou win, Cle win, at Pit, loss finish 8-8

Assuming Tenn and Indy both get in, one as a division winner and one as the first wild card. 3 teams tie for the last Wild Card spot at 9-7. Buffalo, Miami and SD. Under NFL tiebreaking rules, in the event of a 3-way tie, any ties within the division are settled first. Since, we beat Miami twice, we would move to the next tiebreaker with SD. And in this scenario, we beat SD giving us the final spot. Meaning a road playoff game against either Indy or Tenn.

Problems: Although the list may seem daunting at first view, most of the outcomes are not unrealistic. The only major upsets would be Buf over GB, Sea over SD. However, the chances of all of these games ending in our favor are not good. Let me also say that a few of these games can be substituted for others, For example, if Denver can beat Oak but loses to Arizona, or Cleveland can win one of those games without making a difference. I just presented the most likely scenario.

Chances: Slightly higher then slim.


I still wouldn’t get my hopes up.

So you're saying there's a chance!