Bills Truth #1:

[WG]

Our best chances for winning are best when the ball is in Bledsoe's hands.

T or F? You decide!

ATT W/L

53 L
51 L
49 W
45 L
41 L
39 L
36 W
36 W
36 L
33 W
33 L
33 W
31 W
27 W

[WG]

Bledsoe Myth #2:

The team plays better as a result of Drew passing more.

T or F? You decide!

ATT PA

53 49
51 27
49 39
45 38
41 28
39 37
36 27
36 17
36 17
33 24
33 31
33 13
31 10
27 21

[WG]

Bledsoe Myth #3:

Bledsoe needs time to gel and build chemistry.

T or F? You decide!

If this were true, then we could have expected troubles at the onset of the season. Instead, he played very well in the first 6 games before tapering off his play to a very average, and that's being kind, level. His QB Rating has gone from 1st in the league after the first couple of weeks to 11th and has steadily dropped ever since.

Meanwhile, the rest of the team has improved from the OL, to Henry, to the Defense!

Drew's first 6 games QB Rating:

73.8
121.4
102.0
141.7
74.2
102.3

Drew's last 8 games QB Rating:

77.6
94.9
80.0
81.4
52.7
132.6
61.6
43.4

[4thAndLong]

[WG]

Bledsoe Myth #4:

The team around him is not playing very well.

T or F? You decide?

Henry has had 972 of his 1312 yards over the last 9 games for a 108 YPG average.

The OL has improved as the season has gone on. It is playing at an above average level easily.

6 of the 11 starting players for the Bills have made the Pro Bowl. It will never get any better than that!

The defense has only played poorly when Drew has had the most attempts. 36 PPG in the 6 games of Drew's most attempts.

The defense has given up only 19.8 PPG in the 5 games in which Drew has thrown for the least number of attempts.

In the 7 games in which Henry's carried the ball the most times, the team has allowed an average of less than 20 PPG.

[WG]

Bledsoe Myth #5:

The Bills have been behind in games thus forcing Gilbride/Bledsoe to throw.

T or F? You decide!

In game 1 v. the Jets, Bledsoe put up 39 attempts in spite of his not having a great day and Henry having a stellar day w/ 149 yards on 4.8 YPC and 3 TDs. The Bills never trailed in that game by more than 4 points in the 1st half and led for 75% of the half. The Bills never trailed by more than 7 in the 2nd half and led for some of it.

In game 2 v. the Vikes, Bledsoe dropped back to pass 52 times to Henry's 12 rushing attempts. The Bills never trailed by more than 7 pts. in the 1st half and led for some of it. The Bills trailed by 7 points for :40 in the 2nd half. Other than that, their greatest deficit was only 3 points and they led for much of the 2nd half.

In game 5 v. Oakland, the Bills never trailed by more than 7 in the first half and was tied at three times and tied at the half. Henry had only 5 carries in the first half. Buffalo led by 3 for about half of the 3rd Q and never trailed by more than 4 points in the 3rd Q. They led after 3 Qs by 3. The lead only went to 11 when Drew threw an INT to Buchanon for a TD return midway through the 4th Q. Bledsoe then was sacked twice and overthrew Moulds on 3rd down to give the ball back to Oakland to seal the game late in the 4th.

In game 1 v. the Pats, the Bills only trailed by 10 at the half while Drew on the merits of dropping back to pass 49 times that game vice Henry's 11 carries, could not manage to help the Bills to more than 7 points all game long. If the Bills were far behind in this one, it was due to the offense's inability to generate any points. Since all the Bills were doing was throwing for the most part, the onus for that has to fall onto Drew.

In game 2 v. the Pats, the Bills only trailed by 10 points until Drew threw an INT to a DT to set the Pats up for a TD at our own 6 YL. That made the lead 17 and on the very next drive Drew threw another INT in the red zone off of which the Pats scored another FG to increase their lead to 20. So yes, the Bills were trailing, but only b/c of Drew's errors and his inability to lead the team to any points at all until a FG midway through the 3rd Q. Drew dropped back to pass 53 times to Henry's 15 carries. That's 78% passing.

Since that line of reasoning only applies in games in which Drew had lots of attempts, games w/ 36 or fewer attempts were not qualified. If those three games are counted, the Bills trailed only briefly by 7 for 2 minutes out of 60 in the Lions game. The Bills never trailed at all in the Bears game. In the K.C. game, the lead was never more than 7 points either way and the Bills led off and on for approximately half of the game. The Bills led from halftime through to 4:53 remaining in the 4th Q.

[Don Cherry]

He's gonna do this all night......


Don't you have X-mas shopping to do?

[WG]

Bills Truth #1:

The Bills do worse when Drew throws the ball more.

The team is 1-5 in the 6 games that Drew has thrown the ball the most.

6 games of Drew's most attempts:

ATT W/L

53 L
51 L
49 W
45 L
41 L
39 L

[WG]

Team Truth #2:

The more carries Henry gets, the better the Bills do.

ATT W/L

35 W
31 L
28 W
24 L
22 W
22 W
19 W

[WG]

Team Truth #3:

The more carries that Henry gets, the better the D performs.

ATT PA

35 21
31 37
28 24
24 17
22 10
22 13
19 17

PA = 19.9 PPG; the team allowed 239 points in those 7 games.

The fewer carries he gets, the worse the D performs.

ATT PA

17 31
15 49
15 27
12 39
12 28
12 27
11 38

PA = 34.1 PPG; the team allowed 139 points in those 7 games.

[WG]

Team Truth #4:

The defense has improved during the course of this season.

In the first 5 games, the team has allowed:

PA

37
39
28
27
49

or 36.0 PPG

In the last 8 games, the team has allowed:

PA

10
17
38
17
31
21
27
13

or 21.8 PPG

[Pistol GB]

Wow. You guys pass a lot.

I've always liked Bledsoe, but if I were you, I'd hope they run it against the Packers this Sunday. Our run defense is highly suspect and ranked near the bottom, but the secondary is pretty good.

I don't know about in general, but this Sunday Henry's your best bet.

[The_Philster]

We've been saying the same thing all season, Pistol GB

[DIHARD2]

Wys, how many balls were dropped during these games that were right in the hands of the receivers? I'm interested in those stats also, they too would show a different picture from what you are saying.

That's right, they don't keep stats on that. In order to have a complete picture of each game you have to see how many times third and long were not converted because of receiver mistakes.

GO!!!...BUFFALO!!!...

[Mr. Miyagi]

Wys I think your stats are biased and mean nothing.

Here are Brady's stats:

ATT W/L
43 W
35 W
54 W
53 L
31 L
44 L
29 L
26 W
55 W
30 L
34 W
30 W
27 W
29 L

Oh, how about Peyton Manning? He sucks too doesn't he???

ATT W/L
31 W
45 L
28 W
34 W
40 W
48 L
32 L
50 L
23 W
38 W
44 W
28 W
42 L
34 W

What actually happens is when a team falls behind early and deeply, the QB HAS to throw the ball more to try to play catchup. That's why most of those losses show high pass attempts. If you're winning early or at least playing close, you don't have to throw every down. I'll bet you will see similar stats in every QB.

Do not so bias against Bledsoe. Would you rather have Rob Johnson back???