doomsdayvirus
11-03-2005, 03:14 PM
I've gone 10-4 (71%) for 5 weeks running now, but those first 3 weeks are still killing my season average. I've decided to try and be less smart this week and make some picks based on gut instinct. Sure, it may very well sink my ship, but most of my incorrect picks so far have come when I went against my instincts. Let's see what happens.
********** # ********** # ********** # **********
CINCINNATI @ BALTIMORE : BALTIMORE
I know I really shouldn't do this, but something keeps telling me that Cincinnati really isn't that good. They've yet to beat a real team, and could still make the playoffs without beating a single team over .500. Baltimore is hungry for a win, and their defense will give it to them at home this week in an upset that nobody in the media dares to call.
ATLANTA @ MIAMI : ATLANTA
Enough about Miami's spectacular defense shutting down Vick. Kind of like how they shut down Holcomb? Please...
DETROIT @ MINNESOTA : DETROIT
A bad situation in Minnesota just keeps getting worse by the minute. Culpepper's out for the season and the national news media has already taken to reporting coach Mike Tice's dismissal. And we're not even halfway through the season. Even bumbling Detroit can take advantage of this situation, as their QB fights to keep his career alive. At least the Lions have a QB.
SAN DIEGO @ NEW YORK (NYJ): SAN DIEGO
San Diego continues it's stretch of playing teams coming off bye weeks. However it won't make a difference this week because they're playing the Jets.
CAROLINA @ TAMPA BAY : TAMPA BAY
Both Carolina and Tampa have one thing in common. They both only lose to bad teams*. I've been seeing a lot of press picking Carolina and picking on Chris Simms this week, but I'm not buying it. Tampa historically has trouble winning on the west coast, so forget last week's debacle for a moment and consider:
Carolina has barely beaten the teams they have prevailed over.
Tampa's defense has steadily refused to give up points.
Losing Griese was a setback, but Simms and Galloway seem to be getting into rhythm now.
Cadillac is back.
Tampa is at home.*Carolina has lost to: Green Bay and New Orleans.
Tampa Bay has lost to: New York Jets and San Francisco.
TENNESSEE @ CLEVELAND : CLEVELAND
After they let me down last week I swore I would stop being over confident in Cleveland. But they have some serious making up to do this week, and what a better way to do it then at home on the blustery shores of Lake Erie against a struggling Titans team from the deep south.
HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE : JACKSONVILLE
Houston had their win for the season.
OAKLAND @ KANSAS CITY : KANSAS CITY
An old rivalry continues. Oakland may have finally found it's fire, but KC has been on fire all season. When they lose, it's not by much and Arrowhead is just one of those stadiums...
CHICAGO @ NEW ORLEANS : NEW ORLEANS
As much as I've coasted on Chicago all season, I have to pick the Saints here. They're overdue for a win, and Chicago is due for a loss. All the media attention this week has got them and their fans a fired up.
SEATTLE @ ARIZONA : SEATTLE
Seattle leads the league in offensive yards with a whopping 390.3 per game average. Arizona has potential, but not enough to overcome stats like that.
NEW YORK (NYG) @ SAN FRANCISCO : NEW YORK (NYG)
Speaking of league leaders, the Giants are first in points per game with 29.9. San Francisco is bringing up the rear with the league's worst defense and 2nd worst offensive yards per game.
PITTSBURGH @ GREEN BAY : PITTSBURGH
It was heart-wrenching to watch Brett Farve crawling around on the field at the end of last week's loss to the Bengals. But the pain isn't over yet. The Steelers are a team that can adapt to losing their quarterback. The Packers are a team with only a quarterback. If only poor Brett could jump ship this week.
PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON : WASHINGTON
McNabb is hurting, and Owens may be out. The good news is Washington is terrible against the run. The bad news is Philly has no running game and leads the league in pass defense (yards allowed). The battle for the NFC East is far from over.
INDIANAPOLIS @ NEW ENGLAND : NEW ENGLAND
Sorry Bruschi haters but this run is over. It's getting kind of cold in New England right now, and it will only get colder as night falls on the Colts in their place of nightmares... Foxboro, MA.
BUFFALO @ BYE WEEK : BYE WEEK
The Bills fall to 3-6 as they somehow find a way to lose to their bye week.
Season & Weekly Record
------------------------------
WK 1......8/16...(8-8)....50%
WK 2......6/16...(6-10)...38%
WK 3......6/14...(6-8)....42%
WK 4.....10/14...(10-4)...71%
WK 5.....10/14...(10-4)...71%
WK 6.....10/14...(10-4)...71%
WK 7.....10/14...(10-4)...71%
WK 8.....10/14...(10-4)...71%
------------------------------
Season...70/116..(70-46)..60%
------------------------------
********** # ********** # ********** # **********
CINCINNATI @ BALTIMORE : BALTIMORE
I know I really shouldn't do this, but something keeps telling me that Cincinnati really isn't that good. They've yet to beat a real team, and could still make the playoffs without beating a single team over .500. Baltimore is hungry for a win, and their defense will give it to them at home this week in an upset that nobody in the media dares to call.
ATLANTA @ MIAMI : ATLANTA
Enough about Miami's spectacular defense shutting down Vick. Kind of like how they shut down Holcomb? Please...
DETROIT @ MINNESOTA : DETROIT
A bad situation in Minnesota just keeps getting worse by the minute. Culpepper's out for the season and the national news media has already taken to reporting coach Mike Tice's dismissal. And we're not even halfway through the season. Even bumbling Detroit can take advantage of this situation, as their QB fights to keep his career alive. At least the Lions have a QB.
SAN DIEGO @ NEW YORK (NYJ): SAN DIEGO
San Diego continues it's stretch of playing teams coming off bye weeks. However it won't make a difference this week because they're playing the Jets.
CAROLINA @ TAMPA BAY : TAMPA BAY
Both Carolina and Tampa have one thing in common. They both only lose to bad teams*. I've been seeing a lot of press picking Carolina and picking on Chris Simms this week, but I'm not buying it. Tampa historically has trouble winning on the west coast, so forget last week's debacle for a moment and consider:
Carolina has barely beaten the teams they have prevailed over.
Tampa's defense has steadily refused to give up points.
Losing Griese was a setback, but Simms and Galloway seem to be getting into rhythm now.
Cadillac is back.
Tampa is at home.*Carolina has lost to: Green Bay and New Orleans.
Tampa Bay has lost to: New York Jets and San Francisco.
TENNESSEE @ CLEVELAND : CLEVELAND
After they let me down last week I swore I would stop being over confident in Cleveland. But they have some serious making up to do this week, and what a better way to do it then at home on the blustery shores of Lake Erie against a struggling Titans team from the deep south.
HOUSTON @ JACKSONVILLE : JACKSONVILLE
Houston had their win for the season.
OAKLAND @ KANSAS CITY : KANSAS CITY
An old rivalry continues. Oakland may have finally found it's fire, but KC has been on fire all season. When they lose, it's not by much and Arrowhead is just one of those stadiums...
CHICAGO @ NEW ORLEANS : NEW ORLEANS
As much as I've coasted on Chicago all season, I have to pick the Saints here. They're overdue for a win, and Chicago is due for a loss. All the media attention this week has got them and their fans a fired up.
SEATTLE @ ARIZONA : SEATTLE
Seattle leads the league in offensive yards with a whopping 390.3 per game average. Arizona has potential, but not enough to overcome stats like that.
NEW YORK (NYG) @ SAN FRANCISCO : NEW YORK (NYG)
Speaking of league leaders, the Giants are first in points per game with 29.9. San Francisco is bringing up the rear with the league's worst defense and 2nd worst offensive yards per game.
PITTSBURGH @ GREEN BAY : PITTSBURGH
It was heart-wrenching to watch Brett Farve crawling around on the field at the end of last week's loss to the Bengals. But the pain isn't over yet. The Steelers are a team that can adapt to losing their quarterback. The Packers are a team with only a quarterback. If only poor Brett could jump ship this week.
PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON : WASHINGTON
McNabb is hurting, and Owens may be out. The good news is Washington is terrible against the run. The bad news is Philly has no running game and leads the league in pass defense (yards allowed). The battle for the NFC East is far from over.
INDIANAPOLIS @ NEW ENGLAND : NEW ENGLAND
Sorry Bruschi haters but this run is over. It's getting kind of cold in New England right now, and it will only get colder as night falls on the Colts in their place of nightmares... Foxboro, MA.
BUFFALO @ BYE WEEK : BYE WEEK
The Bills fall to 3-6 as they somehow find a way to lose to their bye week.
Season & Weekly Record
------------------------------
WK 1......8/16...(8-8)....50%
WK 2......6/16...(6-10)...38%
WK 3......6/14...(6-8)....42%
WK 4.....10/14...(10-4)...71%
WK 5.....10/14...(10-4)...71%
WK 6.....10/14...(10-4)...71%
WK 7.....10/14...(10-4)...71%
WK 8.....10/14...(10-4)...71%
------------------------------
Season...70/116..(70-46)..60%
------------------------------