Our draft postion will be...

[Mr. Cynical]

...no better than our current position at #11 IMO.

http://cbs.sportsline.com/nfl/draft/update

The top 5 are untouchable now (from us).

I think the teams from 6-10 will pretty much stay the same given the remaining games, although one or two may swap.

If we lose to NYJ, we'll probably stay put at #11.

If we beat NYJ, we will probably drop down to #13 or #14.

I think the worst we can do is #14.

Well, we got Ruben Brown at #14 in 1995 so....

[OpIv37]

Re: Our draft postion will be...

I'm more concerned that the Jets don't get the #1 pick to get Reggie Bush- I don't want to play him twice a year. If SF can beat Houston, that won't happen. If Houston beats SF, we beat the Jets, NO loses, and GB loses that means the following teams will have 3 wins each: NJJ, Houston, SF, GB, NO (and no, NJ is not a typo).

[Michael82]

Re: Our draft postion will be...

Don't they do a coin toss if teams are all tied up with the same record?

[Ed]

Re: Our draft postion will be...

...no better than our current position at #11 IMO.

http://cbs.sportsline.com/nfl/draft/update

The top 5 are untouchable now (from us).

I think the teams from 6-10 will pretty much stay the same given the remaining games, although one or two may swap.

If we lose to NYJ, we'll probably stay put at #11.

If we beat NYJ, we will probably drop down to #13 or #14.

I think the worst we can do is #14.

Well, we got Ruben Brown at #14 in 1995 so....

We also had the #14 pick in 2001 and used it to trade down to #21 for an extra
2nd rounder. Clements and Henry were pretty good picks.

[Ickybaluky]

Re: Our draft postion will be...

Don't they do a coin toss if teams are all tied up with the same record?

No, strength of schedule is the tiebreaker for draft position. If the record is the same, the team with the highest winning% of oppenents gets the edge.

If strength of schedule is the same, then it goes to a coin toss.

I believe the Bills have played a fairly tough schedule, although I haven't done the math.

[lordofgun]

Re: Our draft postion will be...

No, strength of schedule is the tiebreaker for draft position. If the record is the same, the team with the highest winning% of oppenents gets the edge.

If strength of schedule is the same, then it goes to a coin toss.

I believe the Bills have played a fairly tough schedule, although I haven't done the math.

Actually, the team with lowest opponents' winning % gets the edge.

[Bmax]

Re: Our draft postion will be...

I take pick 11 or 12... Marcus Mcneil or Rod wright from texas would be good at these spots.

Bmax

[X-Era]

Re: Our draft postion will be...

...no better than our current position at #11 IMO.

http://cbs.sportsline.com/nfl/draft/update

The top 5 are untouchable now (from us).

I think the teams from 6-10 will pretty much stay the same given the remaining games, although one or two may swap.

If we lose to NYJ, we'll probably stay put at #11.

If we beat NYJ, we will probably drop down to #13 or #14.

I think the worst we can do is #14.

Well, we got Ruben Brown at #14 in 1995 so....

Dude, I just posted this yesterday:

http://www.billszone.com/fanzone/showthread.php?t=88535

[Mr. Cynical]

Re: Our draft postion will be...



That sig just keeps getting better....

[tampabay25690]

Re: Our draft postion will be...

I think around 11th we need to drat Ngata from Oregon this DT will fill a huge hole that we need and will start immediately....THE Bills need a DT to stop the run and rush the passer, would be a great fit for us...

[EDS]

Re: Our draft postion will be...

I am actually glad the Bills won't have a top 5 pick - the contracts are just to big. I think 8-15 is a nice sweet spot where you can get a franchise talent without the monster contract that can potentially cripple a teams salary cap if the player does not develop.

[TigerJ]

Re: Our draft postion will be...

The Great Blue North draft report has the Bills at #9. If I'm not mistaken, they have usually proven to be the most accurate in past years.

[Mr. Cynical]

Re: Our draft postion will be...

The Great Blue North draft report has the Bills at #9. If I'm not mistaken, they have usually plroven to be the most accurate in past years.

Sel	Team	W	L	T	Pct.	SOS
1	Houston	2	13	0	.133	.556
2	New Orleans	3	12	0	.200	.507
3	Green Bay	3	12	0	.200	.520
4	N.Y. Jets	3	12	0	.200	.547
5	San Francisco	3	12	0	.200	.573
6	Tennessee	4	11	0	.267	.493
7	Oakland	4	11	0	.267	.529
8	Arizona	5	10	0	.333	.480
9	St. Louis	5	10	0	.333	.480
10	Detroit	5	10	0	.333	.493
11	Buffalo	5	10	0	.333	.520
12	Cleveland	5	10	0	.333	.520
13	Philadelphia	6	9	0	.400	.524
14	Baltimore	6	9	0	.400	.529

Arizona, St. Louis and Detroit are most likely losing their last game, so they will have 5 wins. I also don't see Oakland or Tenn winning either.

So.....

If we lose to the Jets, we will have 5 wins and will stay at #11 assuming SOS doesn't radically change.

If we win, we won't move up IMO. The likely scenario if we win is we'll end up #11 also, since Cleve plays Balt which makes them vie for somewhere 12-14 (mixing it up with Philly).

So that's my guess...#11. Too bad no zonebucks anymore....what ever happened to those anyway?

[DaBills]

Re: Our draft postion will be...

I'm not worried at all. What with TD's uncanny Nostradamus-like ability to get value out of the 6th round, we're all set.

[TigerJ]

Re: Our draft postion will be...

I'm not disputing what you said, Cynical. I'm just stating (based on my recollection of previous years) that Great Blue North Draft report usually seems to beat the big boys (CBS Sportsline) for accuracy in draft order.
Here is the pertinent part of GBN's chart and the link:

http://www.gbnreport.com/weeklydraftorder.htm

1 Houston	2-13	.533
2	New Orleans	3-12	.517
3	New York Jets	3-12	.533
4	Green Bay	3-12	.542
5	San Francisco	3-12	546
6	Tennessee	4-11	508
7	Oakland	4-11	.538
8	St. Louis	5-10	.488
9	Buffalo	5-10	.500
10	Arizona	5-10	.504
11	Detroit	5-10	.504
12	Cleveland	5-10	.513