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All this talk got me thinking about how we could check to see the draft value of the Bills' entire draft and see whether our surprise late picks even out our "reach" early picks - using the draft value chart (link included below) I went to the draft pick value chart that is used to make trades. This is what I found:
1a) Whitner at #8 is worth 1400 pts
Whitner at the latest would have gone with Miami at #16 which was worth 1000 - possibly earlier, but we'll be conservative here. Net loss: -400 pts
1b) Moved up to get McCargo. Our 2nd rd pick was at pick#42 = 480 pts. We moved up to #26 = 700 pts and lost our second 3rd rounder at #73 = -225. The net loss then was our second 3rd round pick = -225 since that is what we lost to be able to move up.
Total loss so far: -400 + -225 = -625
3) We ended up getting Ashton Youboty with our 3rd rd pick #70 = 240 pts. Many mock drafts had him anywhere in the mid/late 1st round. I will chose #25 as an "average" of when he might go. Pick#25 = 720. Net gain: 720-240 = 480 pts.
Total loss so far: -625+480 = -145 pts
4) Ko Simpson picked at: 105th = 84 pts. Most mock drafts rated him anywhere from the early 2nd round to late 2nd round. I'll choose the middle at pick#48 to rate him which is 420 pts. Net gain: 420-84 = 336 pts
Total gain so far = -145 + 336 = 191 pts
5) Kyle Williams was projected late 3rd round I'll even go so far as early 4th. Pick#134=39 pts. Early 4th round = Pick#100=100 pts. Net gain = 100-39 = 61 pts.
Total gain: 191 + 61 = 252 pts.
For picks second 5th rounder, 6th and both 7th rounders, I'd say they were about right and won't offer much either way even if we try to be more specific.
However, we do need to include undrafted free agent Martin Nance who was projected anywhere between late 2nd and early 4th. I'll go mid 3rd as an average: The pick where we obtained him "undrafted" has no value point so I will pick the last value point on the chart for a 256th pick which is .4 pts. Mid 3rd round I'll place at around pick 80 which =190 pts. Net gain: 190-.4 = 189 pts.
Total net gain: 252 + 189 = 441 pts.
And that includes our 3rd rd loss. So overall, I think we came out on top despite what it may look like!!! We may have had what appeared to be reaches, but our other picks more than made up for them!!! People should therefore be happy that we actually got good draft value overall!!!
Note: I do not include/add any "potential trade downs" at the beginning because that could cause the whole draft to change and affect who we would have taken later. As you can see, we gained alot with our 3rd and 4th round pick and a trade down could cause quite a change in a positive or negative way. Since this is not able to be determined, it is invalid to assume anything in either direction.
Link to draft value chart:http://www.nfldraftworld.com/tvc.htm
1a) Whitner at #8 is worth 1400 pts
Whitner at the latest would have gone with Miami at #16 which was worth 1000 - possibly earlier, but we'll be conservative here. Net loss: -400 pts
1b) Moved up to get McCargo. Our 2nd rd pick was at pick#42 = 480 pts. We moved up to #26 = 700 pts and lost our second 3rd rounder at #73 = -225. The net loss then was our second 3rd round pick = -225 since that is what we lost to be able to move up.
Total loss so far: -400 + -225 = -625
3) We ended up getting Ashton Youboty with our 3rd rd pick #70 = 240 pts. Many mock drafts had him anywhere in the mid/late 1st round. I will chose #25 as an "average" of when he might go. Pick#25 = 720. Net gain: 720-240 = 480 pts.
Total loss so far: -625+480 = -145 pts
4) Ko Simpson picked at: 105th = 84 pts. Most mock drafts rated him anywhere from the early 2nd round to late 2nd round. I'll choose the middle at pick#48 to rate him which is 420 pts. Net gain: 420-84 = 336 pts
Total gain so far = -145 + 336 = 191 pts
5) Kyle Williams was projected late 3rd round I'll even go so far as early 4th. Pick#134=39 pts. Early 4th round = Pick#100=100 pts. Net gain = 100-39 = 61 pts.
Total gain: 191 + 61 = 252 pts.
For picks second 5th rounder, 6th and both 7th rounders, I'd say they were about right and won't offer much either way even if we try to be more specific.
However, we do need to include undrafted free agent Martin Nance who was projected anywhere between late 2nd and early 4th. I'll go mid 3rd as an average: The pick where we obtained him "undrafted" has no value point so I will pick the last value point on the chart for a 256th pick which is .4 pts. Mid 3rd round I'll place at around pick 80 which =190 pts. Net gain: 190-.4 = 189 pts.
Total net gain: 252 + 189 = 441 pts.
And that includes our 3rd rd loss. So overall, I think we came out on top despite what it may look like!!! We may have had what appeared to be reaches, but our other picks more than made up for them!!! People should therefore be happy that we actually got good draft value overall!!!
Note: I do not include/add any "potential trade downs" at the beginning because that could cause the whole draft to change and affect who we would have taken later. As you can see, we gained alot with our 3rd and 4th round pick and a trade down could cause quite a change in a positive or negative way. Since this is not able to be determined, it is invalid to assume anything in either direction.
Link to draft value chart:http://www.nfldraftworld.com/tvc.htm
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