2012 Election Prediction Thread

[imbondz]

not a chance Romney wins tomorrow

[SpikedLemonade]

I have an ugly feeling about this.

I think Rom wins both the majority vote and EC by a very very small margin -- less than 1% and less than 5 seats.

I see court and recount activities for another 6 weeks thereafter.

In a time when the US needs to get its **** together, I see the exact opposite happening.

[YardRat]

I'm rooting for a tie.

[DraftBoy]

I'm rooting for a tie.

I would laugh so hard if that happened, and also stay up all night watching coverage and thinking up scenarios of what could be.

[notacon]

Obama will win electoral college with well over 300
Obama wins popular vote 51-48
Senate Dems 53-47
GOP loses around 6 seats but still maintains majority

[BLeonard]

Obama wins the Electoral College 303-235. I also think he'll win the popular by a very small margin, possibly less than a percentage point.

Of the Battlegrond states, I think Obama wins NV, CO, WI, MI, OH, PA, IA, NH and VA. Romney wins NC and FL. Virginia going blue early in the evening will all but seal Romney's fate.

Local House Race: I'll take Kevin Boyd over incumbent Marlin Stutzman... People locally here can't stand Stutzman... He only took the seat due to Mark Souder resigning due to a sex scandal.
Local Senate Race: Joe Donnelly over Richard Mourdock... Mourdock killed his campaign with his rape pregnancy "God intended it to happen" comment. Until then, it was a close race.
Local Amendments: Only things on my ballot are to retain judges, all of which I will personally vote no for.

-Bill

[Mouldsie]

All of you predicting an Obama win over Romney are over-estimating the American public.... I mean they might live to fight another day but they could just as easily ask for more neo-con ****ups.

[denverboz]

All of you predicting an Obama win over Romney are over-estimating the American public.... I mean they might live to fight another day but they could just as easily ask for more neo-con ****ups.

Not even! The only way Romney wins is for the Repugs to steal it again. And they're working very hard at it again, especially in Ohio and Florida.

[clumping platelets]

Obama 281-257

(I have Obama winning Pa, Ohio, Iowa, Nevada, Wisc, NH and Romney taking Va, NC, Fla, Colo. Romney alos picks up the 1 EV from Neb that Obama won in 2008)

The only states I can see a reversal is Virginia going to Obama and NH going to Romney



Romney wins popular vote by 1%

Dems pick up 1 seat in the Senate and 12 in the House

[Historian]

Either way...if this republic could survive Bush...it can survive anybody.

Either one of these candidates are light years ahead of him.

[Dr. Lecter]

Electoral vote will be 303-235. Only Florida goes to Romney.

The popular vote will be very close - within 1%.

Local races - Congress is close. I will go with what I hope for and say Hochul beats Collins, but it won't be decided for weeks.

[Historian]

Just for the record, Our founder, Ted P, felt that whomever followed Bush would be a one-termer.

He was usually right at predicting elections.

[Discotrish]

Just came back from our "field trip" to the polling booth. My students helped me fill out my ballot. (I almost missed a race, heh heh) Given the choices available and the fact that Florida is a swing state, I voted Romney. This is a vote against Obama, as I don't expect Romney to take office or be our next president. As to what will happen tonight, there are several states where voting could be a mess, including Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida, all swing states. So I think either Romney will win, or they won't be able to determine the outcome.

I did finally see a sign for Obama though. It looked lonely.

Patti

[Historian]

I though he wasn't going to be on the ballott Discofetalposition?

[Mr. Pink]

Romney wins the electoral by a slim margin. Obama wins the popular by a slim margin. Chaos ensues.

[mysticsoto]

Just came back from our "field trip" to the polling booth. My students helped me fill out my ballot. (I almost missed a race, heh heh) Given the choices available and the fact that Florida is a swing state, I voted Romney. This is a vote against Obama, as I don't expect Romney to take office or be our next president. As to what will happen tonight, there are several states where voting could be a mess, including Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida, all swing states. So I think either Romney will win, or they won't be able to determine the outcome.

I did finally see a sign for Obama though. It looked lonely.

Patti

Let's see...Obama was sick and won't make it thru his term...
Neither Obama nor Romney will be on the ballot...
And now, you voted Romney...

I'm making the call here before CNN, MSNBC or anyone else. Obama will win. My source? Discopatti's record...

[MST3KBillsfan]

Tomorrow is the Big Day so let's hear the predictions;

Who wins the Electoral College? Total Numbers? Obama, 295 to 243
Who wins the Popular? Romney, by between 100,000 and 500,000 votes
Local House Race? Sam Graves, God damn it!
Local Senate Race? Claire McCaskill, because Todd Akin is too stupid to wait until he gets sent to DC to say something retarded
Local Amendments? Prop B: Tax on tobacco and alchol to fund healthcare and education gets voted down (I voted for it). Prop E: lets people decide if they want the legislature and people, not the governor, to decide if Missouri gets healthcare gets passed (I voted for it).

Get your official predictions in now, and let's say 10K ZB's to the zoner who gets closest on the EC prediction just to have fun with it?

[imbondz]

Just for the record, Our founder, Ted P, felt that whomever followed Bush would be a one-termer.

He was usually right at predicting elections.

Aw man. glad you brought up Ted. I'm gonna have a drink in his honor tonight.

[DraftBoy]

Aw man. glad you brought up Ted. I'm gonna have a drink in his honor tonight.

Same here. I didnt know him personally but I can only imagine tonight is the kind of night he would of loved.

[Historian]

Hard to face an election without him, guys.

Very hard.