2012 Election Prediction Thread

[BLeonard]

Obama wins the Electoral College 303-235. I also think he'll win the popular by a very small margin, possibly less than a percentage point.

Of the Battlegrond states, I think Obama wins NV, CO, WI, MI, OH, PA, IA, NH and VA. Romney wins NC and FL. Virginia going blue early in the evening will all but seal Romney's fate.

Local House Race: I'll take Kevin Boyd over incumbent Marlin Stutzman... People locally here can't stand Stutzman... He only took the seat due to Mark Souder resigning due to a sex scandal.
Local Senate Race: Joe Donnelly over Richard Mourdock... Mourdock killed his campaign with his rape pregnancy "God intended it to happen" comment. Until then, it was a close race.
Local Amendments: Only things on my ballot are to retain judges, all of which I will personally vote no for.

-Bill

Well, if Florida ends up in Romney's column, I'll have a pefrect Electoral College and Swing State prediction.

Locally, I went 1-1... Boyd lost but Donnelly won... If I had to choose one of the two, I'd rather have it the way it went.

Haven't heard anything on the judges results yet. Local news website is down currently.

-Bill

[YardRat]

So what did I win?

[BLeonard]

So what did I win?

Who wins the Electoral College? Total Numbers? Obama 301, Romney 237
Who wins the Popular? Obama
Local House Race? Reed - they really re-drew the lines for WNY.
Local Senate Race? Gillibrand

Nothing... The only thing I could potentially miss is Florida, if Obama ends up winning the state.

Did anyone else have what I had, with Obama getting Florida as well? Cause that would be the winner if Obama wins FL.

-Bill

[DraftBoy]

Nothing... The only thing I could potentially miss is Florida, if Obama ends up winning the state.

Did anyone else have what I had, with Obama getting Florida as well? Cause that would be the winner if Obama wins FL.

-Bill

Nobody had anything above 304 I believe. Still waiting on FL results.

[notacon]

Nobody had anything above 304 I believe. Still waiting on FL results.

Well, I said "well over 300".

And, I had popular vote at 51-48. Final was 50.8-47.8.

[DraftBoy]

Well, I said "well over 300".

And, I had popular vote at 51-48. Final was 50.8-47.8.

Well over 300 isn't a number, but Ill shoot some ZB's for the popular vote, that's well done.

[BLeonard]

Nobody had anything above 304 I believe. Still waiting on FL results.

We might be waiting a while, from what I've read...

Like I said, worst case, I only missed Florida (had it going Romney) but picked all of the other swing states correctly.

-Bill

[YardRat]

Nothing... The only thing I could potentially miss is Florida, if Obama ends up winning the state.

Did anyone else have what I had, with Obama getting Florida as well? Cause that would be the winner if Obama wins FL.

-Bill

Hell, you didn't even call the local races correct. I went 4 for 4. You owe me a concession speech.

[BLeonard]

Hell, you didn't even call the local races correct. I went 4 for 4. You owe me a concession speech.

I concede nothing... The prize had nothing to do with local races...

Get your official predictions in now, and let's say 10K ZB's to the zoner who gets closest on the EC prediction just to have fun with it?

-Bill