I thought of something else: 2 years ago a conservative friend was bragging that Obama would be a 1 term president. When he said that I started thinking how bad the economy was in Reagan's 1st 2 years and it got better before Reagan ran in 1984. So I figured it has to be getting better by the 2012 election. Then I looked at the probable field of Republican opponents against an incumbent & concluded Obama would be tough to beat. So I called him on it and we made a bet that kept growing. It got up to $100. I'm getting my money tomorrow.