Ok well have you seen his record the last two years?
Have you seen that game?
Yes! In fact where I live I get all of the 49ers games and have seen Alex Smith play a number of times. In his career he has looked good exactly 2 times: 1st when Norv Turner was in charge of the offense and lastly with Harbaugh. The last 2 years, he has been a glorified game manager. Very good at that, proficient, but in a league dominated by Elite QBs he not good enough.
He is better then Fitz in any statistical way and better then anyone in the draft.
This means absolutely nothing to me. Fitz sucks and we can agree on that but actually has a better QBR than Alex Smith in last two fully played season (2010/2011). As for this year's draftees it remains to be seen.
What we do know is that Smith will miss open WR much the same way Fitz did. Smith is good when he has a top 1 defense, a great RB and TE, and a lead. Then all he has to do is throw a few play action passes to wide open WR for the win. If you look at the final stats it can be misleading. Watching the games and the play by play breakdown, you will see what his limitations are. Further QBR can show some insight into this as it takes each play and how well the player performed into account:
2011 QBR:
Alex Smith: 45.8%
Ryan Fitzpatrick: 50.5%
2010 QBR:
Alex Smith: 40.1%
Ryan Fitzpatrick: 48.4%
*2009 Fitz was a backup and did n0t play full season, in 2012 Smith is now backup and did not play full season.
http://espn.go.com/nfl/qbr/_/year/2010
I don't know that he can "do it" in Buffalo for you to say that he cant is an uninformed opinion.
ITs all opinion... all of it, but some opinions are more realistic than others. HE Could not do it in SF with an all star cast. Look at how many Pro Bowlers the 49ers have this year. In fact, the NFC PB defense has a 49er at every level... Then look at their run game, their WR and line. They are better than the Bills in all areas save for RB. Their O-line is better, their TE is way better, their WR are much better, and SMITH with all of this talent around him could not Dominate. IF he is worth getting and trading for, he should be dominant. If you want Fitz 2.o let me know because thats what it seems like.
My main point is a new coach old or retread or new is not going to want fitz or a draft pic.
How could you possibly know what a new head coach will want. Maybe the new head coach decides to go after a QB in the 2014 draft or even 2015??? Maybe they do what Shanahan did.... that is play a bunch of retreads like Rex Grossman and trade an entire draft for a the next top QB prospect.
Alex Smith is a good qb. Just because his coach benched him for his guy doesn't change his stats...his potential or his performance or value in this league.
Depends on what you mean by good and by value in this league. In the last 30 years how many good QBs have won a SB? Do you know? Because it seems like you have no idea.
In the last 30years, 28 of the winning SB QBs were HOF or future HOF QBs! The other 2 played for a defense like the 49ers but better. THe other two SB winners were teams that had HISTORICALLY GREAT DEFENSES. So unless you think the Bills Defense can turn in the the Ravens defense or the 1985 Bears Defense and allow only 165 points for the whole season (remember that they gave up almost 200pts in 4 games!) and pitch shutouts in the post season while having a 2,000 yard rusher and a HOF TE and great O-Line then the Bills have .00000000001% Chance of winning SB with Alex Smith.
or shall we just throw away every qb one game shy of sb because he didn't cut it?
Is that your barometer for signing a player? That they made it to a championship game? Every year back up QBs make it to the SB, why not sign them? And why are you giving Smith most of the credit? It was the team that him there, not the other way around. He was an average QB in 2011. He was a game manager, nothing more. All he had to do, was not lose the game.
Your post is just silly man.
Your Post have no foundation. By reading them, I would guess that your the type of fan that would be happy with a 9-7 finish. A 10-6 and maybe and one and done in the playoffs. Our goals are clearly different. You want a few win, what I want is what the Pats have, what the Cowboys and 49ers had, but something that Buffalo has only dreamed of, a SB and a dynasty.
At the end, QBs like Alex Smith are not good enough. He will not be a HOF. He probably will not make a Pro Bowl anytime soon. And history shows that QBs like that don't win the big one. So there is the real difference between us. I prefer we go 1-15 the next 3 seasons and land a guy like RG3 or Luck or Johnny Football and then dominate for the next 15 years and win a SB oppose to going 9-7 next season...
value in this league?
Of course he has value. In the following two ways: 1) he is a back up on a great team with a good-great QB... in fact his current role 2) He becomes a starter to a QB starved team like Kevin Kolb became the starter for the Cards...