Originally Posted by
Arm of Harm
I agree with what you've written about E.J. Manuel. Manuel was not a better player than Trent Edwards or J.P. Losman. Both Edwards and Losman were unable to hang onto NFL roster spots. I expect the same thing to happen to Manuel.
You also made a good point about Taylor's mobility. There have been a number of times when he used his legs to give the WRs more time to get open. That certainly provided a boost to the offense--a boost which may or may not have showed up on the stat sheet.
I too have read the articles about how Taylor is developing in the offseason. The problem with articles like that is that we've heard all this before, about previous Bills' quarterbacks. Quarterbacks who didn't pan out. I'm not dismissing the reports about Taylor's development, and it's quite possible that this time around the optimistic reports are true. But I personally will take a "wait and see" approach.
We should also keep in mind Greg Roman's ability to hide his QBs' weaknesses. Take Kaepernick for example. In his second year in the NFL, he averaged an astonishing 8.3 yards per attempt. Since then it's been all downhill. Below are his YPA stats:
2011 (rookie): 7.0
2012 (2nd year): 8.3
2013: 7.7
2014: 7.0
2015: 6.6 (for comparison, Losman's career average is 6.6)
You can see that Kaepernick has done worse without Roman's presence. Part of that is because there were throws that Roman didn't ask Kaepernick to make. Roman took some heat from the 49ers fan base for that. Some of them seemed to think Roman's understanding of offense was too basic to include those throws. After Roman's departure, the new OC asked Kaepernick to make those throws. At which point it became obvious he couldn't make them, and equally obvious that Roman had been hiding one of his QB's weaknesses. That's something to bear in mind when we consider all the throws Taylor isn't being asked to make.
The 2015 version of Taylor was a good fit for a team with a strong running game. If your running game is going well, you don't need your QB to carry you. But you do need a few big plays here and there, with escapability being a nice bonus. Taylor delivered that. Taylor was a good fit for the 2015 Bills, because we had a strong running game this past season. If the reports about his improvement are correct, and if he takes a substantial step up in 2016, then maybe he'll be able to carry a team--the way you'd expect from a franchise QB. If that happens, Whaley will probably wish he'd done a slightly better job of managing the salary cap. But his taking that step up is far from given, reports or no reports.