What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

[notacon]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

Seriously, I follow Spotrac numbers now. I no longer have a spreadsheet and haven't for many years. I wish I had been able to do what Mike does there

Best source for accurate numbers.

As of today, 3/16/23 at 11:06AM PDT, the Bills have....

Est cap space (all) - $8.2M

Est cap space (top 51) - $16.3M


That is NOT including Jordan Poyer or Kyle Allen. Plus it does not include the “2023 projected Draft Cap Pool” cap hits of $7M (total) and $4.9M (top 51).

So, in reality, not that much.

[Woodman]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

Cut Siran Neal... saves just over $2 million

I'm sure they're considering a few cuts.

[Woodman]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

What players could be cut ?

McKenzie after todays signing. No snaps left for him.

McKenzie failed to capitalize that's for sure.

[Night Train]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

McKenzie due a 250K roster bonus later today. Uh oh..

[Forward_Lateral]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

Cuttin McKenzie saves 2.2 Million. Restructuring Tre saves 5 million. Restructuring Dawkins saves 3.8 Million.

Those three moves alone give the team 11 million in space.

There are other moves that can be made as well, like restructuring or even cutting Morse, the latter of which saves 5.3 million

They can still free up a bunch, it just depends how many restructures they want to do, and what they envision the cap looking like next year and a couple years from now.

[Woodman]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

Restructure all of them ..... time to get busy.

[Night Train]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

Siran Neal has a 400K roster bonus due Sunday. Could he be next ? Savings would only be 1.375 Mil when all is done. He backs up Taron Johnson inside besides playing Special Teams.

[Clumpy]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

Extension for Taron Johnson (as previously described in my earlier post) - $4 million

Convert Micah Hyde's roster bonus - saves about $1.1 million

Simple restructure of White's deal - saves about $6.75 million

Leave Dawkins contract as is

That's almost $12 million

[Clumpy]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

I think they can also extend DaQuan Jones and create $3-4 million more

[Woodman]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

Great stuff Clumpy!

[kgun12]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

What would all these restructuring and extensions do to next years cap and is there contracts to rework next year?

[YardRat]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

What would all these restructuring and extensions do to next years cap and is there contracts to rework next year?

According to to spotrac they are $18 million over the cap again in '24, with only 40 players signed. So a repeat of this year. The usual suspects (Allen, Diggs, Miller, Dawkins, Tre') have large enough base salary numbers that can be converted to bonuses. It looks like the restructures they have already done have added about $15mil per year cap hit for at least the next three years.

[Forward_Lateral]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

According to to spotrac they are $18 million over the cap again in '24, with only 40 players signed. So a repeat of this year. The usual suspects (Allen, Diggs, Miller, Dawkins, Tre') have large enough base salary numbers that can be converted to bonuses. It looks like the restructures they have already done have added about $15mil per year cap hit for at least the next three years.

You would think that soon the cap is going to go up more than just a little bit. All of this new TV money should kick in next year, right?

[notacon]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

According to to spotrac they are $18 million over the cap again in '24, with only 40 players signed. So a repeat of this year. The usual suspects (Allen, Diggs, Miller, Dawkins, Tre') have large enough base salary numbers that can be converted to bonuses. It looks like the restructures they have already done have added about $15mil per year cap hit for at least the next three years.

You would think that soon the cap is going to go up more than just a little bit. All of this new TV money should kick in next year, right?

Spotrac is being very conservative with their projected cap in 2024 of only $235M.

Since the cap’s inception, the increase has averaged 7% every year. From 2014 to 2022 the average increase has been 6.36% (affected by the Covid year, 2021 league year) drop of 7.92%, but made up the next year with increase of 14.08% for 2022.


1998 (26.37%) and 2006 (19.3%) were anomalies and brought up the average to 7%. 2010 was an “uncapped” year (the CBA ran out) and the new CBA of 2011 saw several years of more controlled increases.

2011 - minus 2.44%
2012 - .5%
2013 - 1.99%


Here is a history of the cap from 1994 to 2023

Year	In Millions	% Change
1994	$34.61
1995	$37.10	7.20%
1996	$40.75	9.85%
1997	$41.45	1.71%
1998	$52.38	26.37%
1999	$57.29	9.37%
2000	$62.17	8.52%
2001	$67.40	8.41%
2002	$71.10	5.49%
2003	$75.00	5.49%
2004	$80.58	7.44%
2005	$85.50	6.11%
2006	$102.00	19.30%
2007	$109.00	6.86%
2008	$116.00	6.42%
2009	$123.00	6.03%
2010	uncapped	n/a
2011	$120.00	-2.44%
2012	$120.60	0.50%
2013	$123.00	1.99%
2014	$133.00	8.13%
2015	$143.28	7.73%
2016	$155.27	8.37%
2017	$167.00	7.55%
2018	$177.20	6.11%
2019	$188.20	6.21%
2020	$198.20	5.31%
2021	$182.50	-7.92%
2022	$208.20	14.08%
2023	$224.86	8.00%

2023 had a 8% increase to the present $224.8M. Spotrac’s 2024 estimate of $235M represents only 4.91% increase.

If the increase for 2024 is similar to 2023, the cap will be $242.8M....which means the Bills would be $10.2M over, not $18, but the cap constraints are going to around for a while. That’s what happens when you have a few big time stars on the team.

The latest TV contracts kicked in for this year, 2023, so the cap is already are reflecting that event. All the speculation for 2024 and beyond is just that. Won’t know until about a year from now what the 2024 cap will be.

[Ginger Vitis]

Re: What contracts can be restructured, which players could be cut

Next year they could save just over $8 Million by cutting Morse

Cutting Dawkins and Johnson saves around $7.5 million each if they needed too/wanted too

Cutting Poyer would save 5.5 Million