Originally Posted by
cookie G
I heard the podcast, again, its interesting. But this isn't the year to say, "We can get one down the road, there is no need to use a no. 1 pick on a WR."
There are some serious outliers at work here.
When you talk about the mid round picks that have made it, consider how many DIDN'T make it. In the list that you gave, as well as the one that Marino gave, these mid round gems pop up about 1 or two per year, once in a while, 3.
Examples:
Diggs was a 5th round pick in 2015. He was the 20th WR taken, the 15th past the first round. There were 35 WR taken that year, 29 after the 1st round. Of that...you have Diggs, taken in the 5th. Tyler Lockett was taken in the 3rd. Other than that, you have guys who contributed at times, like Jamison Crowder. But most...failed.
Tyreek Hill was a 5th round pick in 2016. He was the 18th WR taken and the 14th past the 1st round. There were 31 WRs taken that year, 27 past the 1st round. The vast majority failed.
I seriously doubt the Rams last year said to themselves, "we can wait, Puca will be there in the 5th. I'm sure the CHiefs didn't think that when they drafted Hill, or the Vikings when they drafted Diggs.
Its the same logic that says you can wait until the late rounds because Tom Brady was a 6th round pick or Brock Purdy was a 7th round pick.
Or its the same logic that would say you only take WRs who run a 4.6 because that's what Jerry Rice ran a 4.6 40 years ago.
The 2nd round picks are a little different. Many come from the 2nd. The 2019 draft was the best example, where Deebo, AJ Brown and Metcalf all came from the 2nd. But keep in mind that the Bills draft towards the end of the 2nd. Deebo and AJ Brown were taken towards the top of the 2nd. And as far as DK Metcalf, Im sure there are GM's still kicking themselves for letting him fall that far. Not too many will want to make the same mistake.
The Bills traded away their no.1 WR and their no 2 wr (sort of), is gone. This is no year to take some pass rusher, or safety, with the plan that they can get their No. 1 WR in the later rounds.
Rather, its a year to take the best WR at 28 and then another 1, or 2 in the later rounds.