Nate Silver: Week 7 predictions

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  • trapezeus
    Legendary Zoner
    • Oct 2004
    • 19525

    Nate Silver: Week 7 predictions

    Not strictly bills related, Nate Silver's "analytics" is always interesting. Below the bills went from having a 24% chance of winning division before the pats game to 11%. And a 32% chance of making the playoffs to 18%.

    If mods don't have an issue with this being in the billszone for more readers than the NFL zone, i'll try to keep linking each week. it's fairly interesting.

    also, the model says we have a 62% chance of being the vikings.

    The Seattle Seahawks, No. 1 in our NFL Elo ratings since the start of the season, have relinquished that position after losing 30-23 at home against the Dallas …
  • Dr. Lecter
    Zero for Zero!
    • Mar 2003
    • 67937

    #2
    Re: Nate Silver: Week 7 predictions

    I don't care. It can stay here
    Originally posted by mysticsoto
    Lecter is right in everything he said.

    Comment

    • THATHURMANATOR
      Registered User
      • Jul 2002
      • 69112

      #3
      Re: Nate Silver: Week 7 predictions

      GET RID OF THIS ASAP.....


      Just joking....

      Comment

      • Dr. Lecter
        Zero for Zero!
        • Mar 2003
        • 67937

        #4
        Re: Nate Silver: Week 7 predictions

        Thurm DO NOT USURP my authority or ELSE!!!!
        Originally posted by mysticsoto
        Lecter is right in everything he said.

        Comment

        • THATHURMANATOR
          Registered User
          • Jul 2002
          • 69112

          #5
          Re: Nate Silver: Week 7 predictions

          K I wont

          Comment

          • trapezeus
            Legendary Zoner
            • Oct 2004
            • 19525

            #6
            Re: Nate Silver: Week 7 predictions

            Originally posted by trapezeus View Post
            Not strictly bills related, Nate Silver's "analytics" is always interesting. Below the bills went from having a 24% chance of winning division before the pats game to 11%. And a 32% chance of making the playoffs to 18%.

            If mods don't have an issue with this being in the billszone for more readers than the NFL zone, i'll try to keep linking each week. it's fairly interesting.

            also, the model says we have a 62% chance of being the vikings.

            http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/n...-playoff-odds/
            "chance of beating the vikings."

            correction to my original post. don't want people thinking Nate Silver is predicting the Bills transforming into another team. unless of course we lose. then we are definitely the vikings at that point. except with less hope at QB

            Comment

            • Fletch
              Registered User
              • May 2007
              • 3166

              #7
              Re: Nate Silver: Week 7 predictions

              Originally posted by trapezeus View Post
              also, the model says we have a 62% chance of being the vikings.
              Better than a third chance of us losing to the Vikes here at home?

              Doesn't say much for us. Vikes can't seem to score more than 10 points without Peterson. If we lose to them this weekend it will be a new low. Should end up being 38-6 by all rights. Minny has nothing, no RBs, no QB, Bridgewater has yet to throw a TD this season.
              http://www.billszone.com/fanzone/sho...s-haters/page3

              Post #46

              Originally posted by Yasgur's Farm
              (Moderator) My name's Max Yasgur, and I approve of this post.
              Originally Posted by pmoon6
              The idea that you "won't settle" presumes that you have some kind of control. Delusional thinking at best for a supposed fan of a spectators' sport. Your way to deal with it is to constantly ***** and denigrate any move, any result concerning the team even if it's positive because you don't want your whittle feewings hurt again. It's a protection mechanism.

              You shroud your childish approach in a vale of pompous, intellectual garbage in an attempt to look smart and "real". You over-analyze even minute points and manipulate statistics to fit your negative view of the team. Again, to feel good about yourself and to protect from getting hurt.

              Of course, the criticisms are obviously from someone who has no understanding of the team concept or what it takes to excel at athletics.

              The true "realist" understands that they have no control of what happens on the field or behind the closed doors at One Bills' Drive, so they do the prudent thing for a spectator. They enjoy the games on Sunday with family and friends, cheer for their team and realize that it's just entertainment.
              ------

              "I was an integral part in the drafting process of EJ Manuel," Whaley said Thursday on NFL Network's Total Access. "I was the person that handled the draft process and setting up the board."

              "We are committed. I want you to believe me when I say that," Whaley said of building around the second-year quarterback, per The Buffalo News. "I always tell you guys that I'll never say never because I don't want to paint myself in a corner, but when I do say something, I do it and I mean it and I try to fulfill it."

              "We believe the addition of Sammy is going to be instant impact, not only to our quarterback, but to what our offensive coordinator can come up with game-plan wise and how defenses attack us," Whaley said.

              Whaley on EJ Manuel: "We think we got a gem in this guy." (2:30)

              "And as Mark says, if in three years maybe he's not [our quarterback of the future], then I'll be sitting there saying 'hey guys', .... anybody got a job for me?" - Doug Whaley

              Comment

              • better days
                Registered User
                • Jan 2010
                • 22028

                #8
                Re: Nate Silver: Week 7 predictions

                Originally posted by Dr. Lecter View Post
                Thurm DO NOT USURP my authority or ELSE!!!!
                Cartman: RESPECT MY AUTHORITY!

                Best South Park line ever.

                Comment

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