WR 1st rounders risky?

[bocephuz]

2006 – PIT - Pick #23 Santonio Holmes (Solid Starter)

2005 – CLE - pick #3 Braylon Edwards ( Could be perennial pro bowler)

2005 – MIN - pick #7 Troy Williamson (Bust)

2005 – DET - #10 Mike Williams ( Big Bust)

2005 – JAC - #21 Matt Jones ( # 3 at best )

2005 – BAL - #22 Mark Clayton ( average)

2005 – ATL - #27 Roddy White ( sub par)

2004 – DET - #7 Roy Williams ( Solid Starter)

2004 – JAC - # 9 Reggie Williams ( sub par)

2004 – BUF - #13 Lee Evans ( Solid Starter)

2004 – TAM- #15 Michael Clayton ( has fallen of a cliff)

2004 – ATL - #29 Michael Jenkins ( average starter)

2004 – SFO - #31 Rashaun Woods
No longer in league

Out of 13 Wide receivers selected in the 1st round 4 are solid starters/potential pro bowlers - 5 Busts - and 4 are average at best. Seems like a crapshoot to me with WR... I think if you looked at the Defensive Ends drafted 2004-2006 you'd see fewer busts.

[HHURRICANE]

2006 – PIT - Pick #23 Santonio Holmes (Solid Starter)

2005 – CLE - pick #3 Braylon Edwards ( Could be perennial pro bowler)

2005 – MIN - pick #7 Troy Williamson (Bust)

2005 – DET - #10 Mike Williams ( Big Bust)

2005 – JAC - #21 Matt Jones ( # 3 at best )

2005 – BAL - #22 Mark Clayton ( average)

2005 – ATL - #27 Roddy White ( sub par)

2004 – DET - #7 Roy Williams ( Solid Starter)

2004 – JAC - # 9 Reggie Williams ( sub par)

2004 – BUF - #13 Lee Evans ( Solid Starter)

2004 – TAM- #15 Michael Clayton ( has fallen of a cliff)

2004 – ATL - #29 Michael Jenkins ( average starter)

2004 – SFO - #31 Rashaun Woods
No longer in league

Out of 13 Wide receivers selected in the 1st round 4 are solid starters/potential pro bowlers - 5 Busts - and 4 are average at best. Seems like a crapshoot to me with WR... I think if you looked at the Defensive Ends drafted 2004-2006 you'd see fewer busts.

But we need a WR!!! Even if he's missing a leg we should take him at #11.

Good post.

[Jan Reimers]

I think you could run this analysis for almost any position, and come up with about the same number of hits and misses.

[HHURRICANE]

I'd bet $10,000 that Harvey will outplay any of the WRs we are talking about.

[EDS]

2005 – ATL - #27 Roddy White ( sub par)

Roddy White had over 1100 receiving yards last year despite the Falcons going through three different starting QBs over the course of the season. I would argue that that is a pretty decent showing for a second year receiver. Obviously he has much to prove going forward, but characterizing him as "sub par" is unfair.

[Philagape]

Lee Evans was a reach. At the time. And he had knee surgery.

[ParanoidAndroid]

Mark Clayton is under-utilized. Get him a stable QB and he does better than the 12-start 67-catch, 939 yard season he had in 2006 courtesy of McNair.
Roddy White had a break-out year.
You somehow left Larry Fitzgerald off your list.

The "risk" gets even greater as you progress through the draft, so if you need a WR, then round one is the place to look. Your point is lost here.

I'm an advocate for Harvey, but not for the simple reason of "risk."

[yordad]

I read this on buffalobills.com. Seems interesting. I've posted it on here already, but....

[Night Train]

It's not so much about actual big production but whether the WR & TE we draft can attract enough coverage to give Lee Evans an 85-1400 12 TD season he is more than capable of, if he isn't double/triple teamed like he has been lately.

Evans is a player worth throwing the big $$ at. Now give him the help.

[YardRat]

I'd bet $10,000 that Harvey will outplay any of the WRs we are talking about.

Are you talking catches, yards, TD's or YAC? Either way, you choose...I'll take that bet.